Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$36

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

Trades

130

lifetime

Volume

$596

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-11-03

last 11-06 05:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 49% +$36

Other

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	Yes		+5	$2	58¢	$3	+$1	11-03 21:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$66	57	57	+0	Up	+$46	11-03 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	8	$43	120	35	+85	Down	-$7	11-03 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	5	$43	53	41	+11	Up	+$3	11-03 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	11	$28	557	57	+500	Up	+$2	11-03 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	3	$27	25	25	+0	Up	+$7	11-03 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$27	20	20	+0	Up	+$7	11-03 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$24	22	22	+0	Up	+$4	11-03 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$22	18	18	+0	Up	+$2	11-03 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$21	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	11-03 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$20	19	19	+0	Up	$0	11-03 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	4	$18	22	22	+0	Down	-$2	11-03 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$18	13	13	+0	Down	+$8	11-03 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	4	$17	16	16	+0	Down	-$3	11-03 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	4	$17	17	17	+0	Up	-$3	11-03 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	4	$14	13	13	+0	Up	+$2	11-03 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	11-03 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	11-03 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	4	$12	31	2	+29	Up	+$19	11-05 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	11-03 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	4	$11	14	14	+0	Down	+$3	11-05 10:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$11	14	14	+0	Up	-$9	11-03 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$11	993	13	+980	Up	-$9	11-05 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$10	24	0	+24	Down	-$10	11-05 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$9	9	9	+0	Down	-$1	11-03 17:00
US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	11-05 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$6	9	9	+0	Down	-$4	11-03 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$6	21	0	+21	Up	-$6	11-03 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$5	7	7	+0	Down	-$1	11-05 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$5	21	0	+21	Down	-$5	11-05 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Down	-$5	11-03 16:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 05:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x91f56a…
11-06 05:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x638b97…
11-05 18:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xdc61e1…
11-05 18:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x10594b…
11-05 18:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xfd051d…
11-05 17:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x05c015…
11-05 17:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd09815…
11-05 14:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4e9f56…
11-05 14:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7274e1…
11-05 13:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xc6ba49…
11-05 13:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9490d1…
11-05 13:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xb8cf93…
11-05 13:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	980	1¢	$5	0x9e13f9…
11-05 13:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0x174c90…
11-05 13:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x4853c0…
11-05 13:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x5350e2…
11-05 13:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x1ac46b…
11-05 13:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xccdb02…
11-05 13:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x933652…
11-05 13:34:51	US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xa93e32…
11-05 13:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x1c8fe5…
11-05 13:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x0b9495…
11-05 13:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd8fe37…
11-05 11:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x70f849…
11-05 11:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x4b2922…
11-05 11:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x33feba…
11-05 10:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x53ce1b…
11-05 10:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	37¢	$2	0xa92823…
11-05 10:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x8ea738…
11-05 10:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x180e50…
11-05 10:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xf39e13…
11-05 10:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x019fca…
11-05 10:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xfd5b56…
11-05 10:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xca395a…
11-05 10:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x9f48ad…
11-05 10:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xab7f43…
11-04 05:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x96895b…
11-04 05:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4541ab…
11-04 03:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$2	0x64eb36…
11-04 03:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xac5578…
11-03 21:09:21	US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xb6cdbe…
11-03 21:07:13	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa28e1c…
11-03 19:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xed115c…
11-03 19:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xba5c80…
11-03 19:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x1814d7…
11-03 19:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb4734c…
11-03 19:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	25	67¢	$17	0x3ca59f…
11-03 19:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xdcf29f…
11-03 19:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x3c9a54…
11-03 18:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x055b5f…
11-03 18:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x646387…
11-03 18:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x3b1cb1…
11-03 18:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x77a15c…
11-03 18:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x9f94b2…
11-03 18:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x6f3e68…
11-03 18:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xadc139…
11-03 18:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x006091…
11-03 18:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xc07434…
11-03 17:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	58¢	$11	0xee4610…
11-03 17:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x06b497…
11-03 17:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0xb7a1cc…
11-03 17:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xe561fc…
11-03 17:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x982946…
11-03 17:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xca4aef…
11-03 17:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	83¢	$9	0x76db46…
11-03 17:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x041292…
11-03 17:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x5c8f6f…
11-03 17:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8c9080…
11-03 17:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xfaff40…
11-03 17:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xaed6e8…
11-03 17:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3dd614…
11-03 17:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe37da4…
11-03 17:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	13¢	$1	0x80db2d…
11-03 17:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x2f8211…
11-03 17:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x03ac17…
11-03 17:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x87ddba…
11-03 17:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	12	54¢	$6	0x9422d3…
11-03 17:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x963945…
11-03 17:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xdabca7…
11-03 17:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x050869…
11-03 17:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	14	43¢	$6	0x4e144a…
11-03 17:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x3268f3…
11-03 17:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	82¢	$8	0xbb01a9…
11-03 17:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0xb97ccc…
11-03 17:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x482426…
11-03 17:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x80196b…
11-03 17:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb04adf…
11-03 17:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0x0b0a97…
11-03 16:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe18922…
11-03 16:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc7f08d…
11-03 16:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	41	55¢	$23	0x7f6d15…
11-03 16:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xc5e139…
11-03 16:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xd9c74d…
11-03 16:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xffa6ab…
11-03 16:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xd13560…
11-03 16:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xad4b95…
11-03 16:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x8969f4…
11-03 16:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa1fb94…
11-03 16:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xfe2b1e…
11-03 16:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb9ccb7…