Sarcastic-Forehead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$578

Unrealized P&L

+$99

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$118

Open exposure

$1.13K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-16 00:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

66% 100% +$489

Politics

33% 100% +$86

Sports

1% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes		+1,150	$1,031	98¢	$1.1K	+$99	10-16 00:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	14	$1.6K	4,421	4,421	+0	open	—	10-13 09:44
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	6	$1.4K	785	785	+0	No	+$0	10-05 12:26
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	27	$1.0K	1,150	0	+1,150	open	—	10-16 00:21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,365	0	+1,365	No	+$341	08-28 03:55
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	4	$1.0K	1,024	0	+1,024	Yes	+$4	08-15 04:46
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	1	$858	860	0	+860	Yes	+$2	07-21 13:28
over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	1	$854	949	0	+949	Yes	+$95	07-24 15:42
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	1	$519	520	0	+520	Yes	+$1	08-02 13:47
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	1	$430	500	0	+500	Yes	+$70	08-02 13:46
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$273	137	137	+0	No	+$0	07-17 16:35
Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$200	208	0	+208	No	+$8	10-09 03:01
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	1	$192	203	0	+203	No	+$11	10-09 02:59
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	1	$136	136	0	+136	No	+$0	06-20 02:27
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	1	$136	136	0	+136	No	+$1	07-03 05:54
over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	3	$136	149	0	+149	Yes	+$13	07-17 16:36
Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?	1	$135	136	0	+136	Yes	+$0	06-18 01:08
pedro porro 20260609173616765	1	$135	135	0	+135	No	+$1	06-15 15:16
iran closes its airspace by june 8	1	$135	135	0	+135	Yes	+$0	06-08 08:35
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$131	131	0	+131	Yes	+$0	05-25 04:40
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$128	131	0	+131	No	+$3	05-21 01:54
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$124	125	0	+125	No	+$1	04-22 03:46
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$112	113	0	+113	Yes	+$1	01-30 08:31
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$112	112	0	+112	Yes	+$0	03-18 06:50
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$73	82	0	+82	Yes	+$9	01-02 09:21
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$66	68	0	+68	No	+$3	06-04 19:24
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	1	$66	66	0	+66	No	+$1	06-04 15:41
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	1	$63	64	0	+64	No	+$1	05-13 03:47
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	1	$63	64	0	+64	No	+$1	05-13 04:09
will jumanji welcome to the jungle be the top us netflix movie this week	1	$60	64	0	+64	No	+$4	04-13 03:01
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	2	$58	60	0	+60	Yes	+$1	04-10 03:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 00:21:33	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x14f1fb…
10-15 18:19:14	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	87¢	$45	0x812fd5…
10-15 13:30:23	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0xec14a1…
10-15 04:34:55	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	87¢	$102	0xf5e650…
10-15 02:47:25	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	154	87¢	$134	0xa0a1b2…
10-14 17:47:36	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xb48e77…
10-14 16:44:03	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xa3ffe7…
10-14 11:21:08	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x427a07…
10-14 10:26:28	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x64a49b…
10-13 22:33:28	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x1e5d39…
10-13 17:44:48	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xfb18d4…
10-13 17:41:48	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xd4eb7b…
10-13 16:52:04	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	87¢	$31	0xebeaf5…
10-13 16:40:06	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x2135d3…
10-13 15:53:40	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x4fc910…
10-13 15:52:31	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x21e633…
10-13 15:52:24	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x4e89e4…
10-13 14:16:43	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	87¢	$67	0xf4b428…
10-13 14:13:49	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	87¢	$64	0x70e79f…
10-13 13:31:23	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x0ece2d…
10-13 09:44:37	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,097	14¢	$574	0xcc8574…
10-13 08:08:46	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	236	14¢	$33	0x8de031…
10-13 08:00:14	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x35dfda…
10-13 07:56:55	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xa4260d…
10-13 07:51:23	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xcfb230…
10-13 07:39:11	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x9cc45b…
10-13 07:37:46	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	14¢	$4	0x47c5b4…
10-13 05:54:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x73943a…
10-13 05:30:23	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0xe2b138…
10-13 04:55:02	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	14¢	$4	0xa48561…
10-10 05:45:54	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	146	94¢	$138	0xf523fe…
10-10 04:44:55	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xa2a3d6…
10-10 03:38:59	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x0953dd…
10-10 03:37:21	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0x117c3e…
10-10 03:37:18	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	166	94¢	$156	0x69d148…
10-10 03:25:36	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	94¢	$64	0xd48877…
10-09 03:01:39	Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	201	96¢	$193	0x680430…
10-09 02:59:00	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	203	95¢	$192	0x9321d8…
10-09 02:58:39	Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x3f10e0…
10-05 13:24:05	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,392	22¢	$966	0x68c5a8…
10-05 13:16:17	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe55802…
10-05 13:16:17	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x080f2c…
10-05 13:15:59	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x14efc8…
10-05 13:01:55	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x8c5e04…
10-05 12:26:04	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	448	87¢	$390	0x5c7331…
10-05 12:23:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 15 2026	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x573bfa…
10-05 12:23:02	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 15 2026	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x2acf7e…
10-05 12:22:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 15 2026	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x984999…
10-05 12:21:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 15 2026	No	SELL	333	87¢	$289	0xd3e141…
10-05 10:28:41	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 15 2026	No	BUY	785	87¢	$683	0x107fe3…
08-28 03:55:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,365	75¢	$1,024	0xef7d94…
08-15 04:46:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	246	100¢	$245	0xddb5a6…
08-15 04:16:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x61c987…
08-15 03:58:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$101	0xb4626b…
08-15 03:33:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	671	100¢	$668	0x68ab14…
08-02 13:47:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	520	100¢	$519	0xc25a7e…
08-02 13:46:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	500	86¢	$430	0xf89664…
07-24 15:42:55	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	Yes	BUY	949	90¢	$854	0x67a273…
07-21 13:28:21	Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	Yes	BUY	860	100¢	$858	0x5824cb…
07-17 16:36:46	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	47	91¢	$43	0x860c0e…
07-17 16:36:45	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	53	91¢	$48	0x373777…
07-17 16:36:34	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	49	91¢	$44	0xd5e78b…
07-17 16:35:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	137	100¢	$137	0x708b03…
07-13 12:56:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xef52a5…
07-03 05:54:44	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xb4aaf9…
06-20 02:27:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xaaedd3…
06-18 01:08:02	Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?	Yes	BUY	136	100¢	$135	0xb9a9d1…
06-15 15:16:13	pedro porro 20260609173616765	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xf8b1cd…
06-08 08:35:03	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x0503c9…
06-04 19:24:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	68	96¢	$66	0x1d395b…
06-04 15:41:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	No	BUY	66	99¢	$66	0x570140…
05-25 04:40:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xffa26d…
05-21 01:54:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	131	98¢	$128	0x0a8430…
05-13 04:09:26	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0x8031e6…
05-13 03:47:27	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x6c1a69…
04-27 00:40:14	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe2f90a…
04-26 17:43:14	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x4621f8…
04-25 17:39:24	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x53c270…
04-25 15:38:00	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x055019…
04-25 13:34:22	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x0e1c5a…
04-25 04:07:16	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xbf8e5a…
04-25 03:59:40	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x728c71…
04-25 03:36:02	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb76e5b…
04-22 03:46:02	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	125	100¢	$124	0x2d88f3…
04-13 03:01:57	will jumanji welcome to the jungle be the top us netflix movie this week	No	BUY	64	93¢	$60	0x24e101…
04-10 07:25:47	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	60	98¢	$58	0xcb2147…
04-10 03:27:31	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0x06e6f9…
04-10 03:26:29	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x0d5b1b…
03-25 15:54:23	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0xa81001…
03-25 15:21:53	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x357f52…
03-25 15:02:01	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x2835a5…
03-25 14:50:23	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x9a1c2a…
03-25 14:48:31	will alabama win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x52dfad…
03-25 14:48:25	will iowa win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xe464b5…
03-18 06:50:41	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x26c81d…
01-30 08:31:32	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0xc99ccd…
01-02 09:21:37	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	82	89¢	$73	0xb80e4b…
01-02 09:12:53	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x9db35d…