Old-Inclusion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$24.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$447

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-08 08:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 61% +$10

Other

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No		+3	$3	99¢	$3	+$0	05-13 06:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum dip to 1750 on july 14	1	$2.0K	2,048	+2,048	No	+$4	07-15 01:54
xrp above 1pt2 on july 14 2026	1	$2.0K	2,043	+2,043	No	+$4	07-14 07:23
will ethereum reach 1850 on july 13	1	$2.0K	2,040	+2,040	No	+$4	07-14 01:43
ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	1	$2.0K	2,036	+2,036	Yes	+$4	07-13 06:42
will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	1	$2.0K	2,033	+2,033	No	+$4	07-13 01:57
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on July 12?	1	$2.0K	2,029	+2,029	No	+$4	07-12 08:20
ethereum above 2300 on february 11	1	$1.1K	1,087	+1,087	No	+$3	02-11 02:58
will the price of solana be less than 60 on february 10	1	$1.1K	1,084	+1,084	No	+$2	02-10 04:16
will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on february 9	1	$1.1K	1,082	+1,082	No	+$3	02-09 02:21
will the price of solana be between 110 120 on february 8	1	$1.1K	1,078	+1,078	No	+$3	02-08 03:15
will the price of xrp be greater than 2pt10 on february 7	1	$1.1K	1,075	+1,075	No	+$3	02-07 03:26
xrp above 2pt1 on february 6	1	$1.1K	1,072	+1,072	No	+$3	02-06 03:33
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on february 5	1	$1.1K	1,067	+1,067	No	+$2	02-05 03:34
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 4	1	$1.1K	1,065	+1,065	No	+$2	02-04 07:38
will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on february 2	1	$1.1K	1,058	+1,058	No	+$1	02-02 02:11
ethereum above 2900 on february 1	1	$1.1K	1,057	+1,057	No	+$1	02-01 09:44
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 3	1	$1.1K	1,061	+1,061	No	+$6	02-03 09:05
bitcoin above 60k on july 31 2026	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	07-30 07:18
bitcoin above 58k on august 13 2026	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	08-12 05:08
bitcoin above 60k on august 8 2026	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	08-07 05:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 9?	1	$13	13	+13	Yes	+$0	09-08 08:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 26?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	07-25 03:41
bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	07-02 08:50
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	06-21 05:22
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	04-10 13:26
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	04-22 08:29
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	05-13 06:35
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	05-21 05:23
ethereum above 1600 on july 7 2026	1	$4	2,063	+2,063	Yes	-$4	07-07 05:46
will bitcoin reach 66k on july 5	1	$4	2,050	+2,050	No	-$4	07-06 01:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 08:35:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa09bfe…
08-12 05:08:34	bitcoin above 58k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb79bae…
08-07 05:50:34	bitcoin above 60k on august 8 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xbd1039…
07-30 07:18:11	bitcoin above 60k on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x8421a8…
07-25 03:41:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 26?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x83d805…
07-15 01:54:55	will ethereum dip to 1750 on july 14	No	BUY	2,048	100¢	$2,044	0x077bd7…
07-14 07:23:23	xrp above 1pt2 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	2,043	100¢	$2,039	0x2c4da8…
07-14 01:43:10	will ethereum reach 1850 on july 13	No	BUY	2,040	100¢	$2,036	0x689408…
07-13 06:42:52	ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	2,036	100¢	$2,032	0x30af79…
07-13 01:57:26	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	2,033	100¢	$2,029	0x587e86…
07-12 08:20:11	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on July 12?	No	BUY	2,029	100¢	$2,025	0xbf394f…
07-12 06:33:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 12?	Yes	BUY	2,039	0¢	$4	0x17bd4b…
07-11 07:15:23	ethereum above 1900 on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	2,031	0¢	$4	0x1fea95…
07-10 07:52:08	xrp above 1pt3 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf75f82…
07-10 07:36:55	xrp above 1pt3 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x4b16de…
07-10 07:30:46	xrp above 1pt3 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	2,024	0¢	$4	0x3750a5…
07-09 07:21:38	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 9?	Yes	BUY	2,017	0¢	$4	0x68b73e…
07-07 05:46:19	ethereum above 1600 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	2,063	0¢	$4	0x687b7f…
07-06 01:18:55	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 5	Yes	BUY	2,050	0¢	$4	0xfd641d…
07-02 08:50:56	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0daf90…
06-26 06:26:22	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf2203a…
06-21 05:22:23	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbfb6e0…
05-21 05:23:57	Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x870c94…
05-13 06:41:08	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x6cf794…
05-13 06:35:28	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9f921a…
04-22 08:29:00	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5e60cb…
04-10 13:26:35	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9a284d…
03-18 02:11:31	xrp above 1pt9 on march 18	Yes	BUY	1,065	0¢	$2	0x8b5c47…
03-08 01:30:47	bitcoin above 60k on march 8	No	BUY	1,075	0¢	$2	0xf874c9…
03-05 02:49:03	xrp above 1pt7 on march 5	Yes	BUY	1,067	0¢	$2	0xb527cd…
02-28 05:11:57	xrp above 1pt1 on february 28	No	BUY	1,058	0¢	$2	0x6dd0d7…
02-24 02:52:44	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 24	Yes	BUY	1,089	0¢	$2	0x01e191…
02-18 02:57:24	ethereum above 1700 on february 18	No	BUY	1,072	0¢	$3	0x050d4b…
02-11 02:58:21	ethereum above 2300 on february 11	No	BUY	1,087	100¢	$1,083	0x216d55…
02-10 04:16:03	will the price of solana be less than 60 on february 10	No	BUY	1,084	100¢	$1,081	0x3cb5f7…
02-09 02:21:01	will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on february 9	No	BUY	1,082	100¢	$1,078	0xbe4d53…
02-08 03:15:23	will the price of solana be between 110 120 on february 8	No	BUY	1,078	100¢	$1,075	0x951dbd…
02-07 03:26:27	will the price of xrp be greater than 2pt10 on february 7	No	BUY	1,075	100¢	$1,071	0xf012f0…
02-06 03:33:29	xrp above 2pt1 on february 6	No	BUY	1,072	100¢	$1,069	0x67f1f3…
02-05 03:34:19	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on february 5	No	BUY	1,067	100¢	$1,065	0x25e462…
02-04 07:38:28	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 4	No	BUY	1,065	100¢	$1,063	0xbf3768…
02-03 09:05:04	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 3	No	BUY	1,061	99¢	$1,055	0xe54ea8…
02-02 02:11:26	will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on february 2	No	BUY	1,058	100¢	$1,057	0x81182b…
02-01 09:44:12	ethereum above 2900 on february 1	No	BUY	1,057	100¢	$1,056	0x5b67eb…
01-31 11:30:14	us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x921c9a…
01-30 08:14:52	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfea5cf…
01-29 07:33:56	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd790cd…
01-26 09:46:23	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6ff6a8…
01-25 02:38:48	ethereum above 3200 on january 25	Yes	BUY	1,032	0¢	$2	0xb9484c…
01-01 02:03:33	ethereum above 3400 on january 1	Yes	BUY	1,029	0¢	$1	0x945d0d…
01-01 02:00:03	ethereum above 3400 on january 1	Yes	BUY	1,041	0¢	$1	0xc4f8c8…
01-01 01:47:59	bitcoin above 80k on january 1	No	BUY	1,039	0¢	$1	0x476e94…
01-01 01:45:53	bitcoin above 80k on january 1	No	BUY	1,039	0¢	$1	0xb89e53…
01-01 01:41:53	bitcoin above 80k on january 1	No	BUY	1,039	0¢	$1	0xaed129…