Grizzled-Surgery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

287

Trades

288

lifetime

Volume

$3.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-03 17:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 233 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 07:27
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:15
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 05:25
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:46
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 07:57
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 06:42
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 10:19
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 01:35
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 12:18
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 04:13
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 11:22
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 05:49
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:30
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 12:26
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 04:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:18
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:13
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:52
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 6 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:40
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 08:53
highest temperature in lucknow on april 4 2026 37c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-04 13:36
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 3 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 12:27
highest temperature in los angeles on april 2 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 02:13
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 14:32
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 17:17:34	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5896fa…
11-02 06:27:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x681b4f…
10-31 15:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88e0e4…
10-30 14:56:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86073b…
10-29 17:53:20	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7fc01…
10-29 09:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5bff7b…
10-28 07:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6a4cc…
10-27 09:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf160e…
10-26 09:42:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d34dc…
10-24 11:49:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae34ab…
10-22 10:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17ff52…
10-20 07:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x200a0e…
10-19 09:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa95386…
10-18 10:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f4a59…
10-17 15:42:29	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbace95…
10-16 10:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x154d3f…
10-15 13:36:22	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x780d46…
10-14 09:46:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2af76…
10-13 10:29:25	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C or higher on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40c691…
10-12 09:33:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4095db…
10-11 09:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa832a4…
10-08 12:29:41	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9e757…
10-07 15:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05a508…
10-06 15:07:26	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86d0fa…
10-05 06:27:02	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcce045…
10-03 09:10:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd27e8…
10-02 13:28:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7968c1…
10-01 09:24:53	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6dc67…
09-30 02:44:08	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C or below on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f4422…
09-28 09:59:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d9f1b…
09-27 09:07:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef184f…
09-25 16:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9caa38…
09-24 08:45:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab4c9b…
09-23 08:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05f43c…
09-22 08:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xced968…
09-21 09:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2cf3a…
09-20 05:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d9b1f…
09-19 08:59:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37086a…
09-18 07:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc84813…
09-17 04:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e5204…
09-16 08:56:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fa83a…
09-15 10:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3113cd…
09-14 09:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdbbb90…
09-13 03:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d230c…
09-11 09:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x490cc1…
09-10 08:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c2cb4…
09-09 02:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x738061…
09-08 06:18:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb47939…
09-07 08:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b376a…
09-06 11:09:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb65f1…
09-05 01:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x570996…
09-04 01:01:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x603d34…
09-02 07:56:31	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4de300…
08-30 14:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc58e85…
08-29 09:44:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc8ced…
08-28 08:53:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x392481…
08-27 09:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x117066…
08-26 08:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1633fe…
08-25 09:43:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b5244…
08-24 14:06:55	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x260b92…
08-23 15:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x77882d…
08-22 09:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x824afc…
08-21 08:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x688856…
08-20 09:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x936580…
08-18 08:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb931f2…
08-17 08:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25cd28…
08-16 14:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1771e7…
08-15 10:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xafef29…
08-14 06:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc20059…
08-13 09:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95004a…
08-12 09:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa3950…
08-11 07:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92737b…
08-10 08:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd36bbc…
08-09 06:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3232d5…
08-08 07:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57e497…
08-07 08:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe641e…
08-06 07:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9263c5…
08-05 08:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5efe55…
08-04 08:27:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc987c…
08-03 07:45:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9eb18e…
08-02 06:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x871b29…
08-01 07:16:26	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e719c…
07-31 14:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 43°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4040df…
07-30 07:05:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcbd2cd…
07-29 07:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x90528a…
07-28 07:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d21b2…
07-27 09:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa54b3d…
07-26 08:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x579f76…
07-25 09:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd17c3c…
07-24 13:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19aa5f…
07-23 08:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89d17f…
07-22 02:11:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa48b28…
07-21 09:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x073b3d…
07-21 00:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd262f2…
07-20 08:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x831b6d…
07-18 23:28:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7b2b0…
07-18 05:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdcd537…
07-17 07:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x869075…
07-15 22:18:32	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xf6706c…
07-15 08:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 15?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8e67fc…