Talkative-Mukluk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$860

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.9%

Resolved

Trades

481

lifetime

Volume

$12.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-26 06:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 67% +$850

Other

19% 100% +$8

Tech

7% 100% +$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-26).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$910	616	309	+307	Yes	+$2	04-24 10:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	43	$823	600	600	+0	Up	+$25	07-26 00:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 07:30 UTC	32	$616	500	500	+0	Up	+$84	07-25 07:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:00 UTC	7	$561	400	400	+0	Up	+$51	07-26 00:11
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	10	$536	270	270	+0	No	+$2	06-15 07:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 06:15 UTC	11	$534	541	541	+0	Down	+$115	07-26 06:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	2	$471	236	236	+0	Yes	+$0	05-21 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	13	$460	300	300	+0	Down	+$110	05-05 05:15
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	1	$376	376	0	+376	No	+$0	03-29 04:39
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 20 39	1	$376	376	0	+376	No	+$0	03-17 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	17	$348	400	200	+200	Up	-$88	05-05 08:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:00 UTC	6	$303	302	300	+2	Down	+$43	07-25 23:10
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$298	150	150	+0	No	+$1	03-17 10:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 10:00 UTC	10	$274	200	200	+0	Down	+$122	04-04 10:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 21:45 UTC	6	$268	300	300	+0	Down	+$44	07-24 21:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 21:30 UTC	20	$266	800	300	+500	Down	+$46	07-24 21:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 02:45 UTC	13	$264	650	650	+0	Down	+$80	07-25 02:55
Will Planet Fitness be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	5	$264	133	133	+0	No	+$2	06-13 09:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 22:45 UTC	7	$261	400	400	+0	Down	-$43	07-24 22:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:45 UTC	2	$257	300	300	+0	Down	+$13	07-25 23:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 22:30 UTC	3	$255	600	0	+600	Up	+$45	07-25 22:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 00:00 UTC	5	$236	400	0	+400	Down	-$36	07-25 00:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 00:30 UTC	33	$231	595	0	+595	Down	-$36	07-25 00:42
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 0 19	1	$226	226	0	+226	No	+$0	03-07 09:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:30 UTC	14	$218	307	307	+0	Down	+$89	07-25 23:39
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	05-21 12:32
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 12:30 UTC	8	$199	200	200	+0	Up	+$59	07-25 12:40
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?	4	$183	92	92	+0	No	+$0	06-12 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	5	$156	300	300	+0	Up	+$24	05-05 08:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 22:30 UTC	12	$156	300	300	+0	Up	-$24	07-24 22:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 06:33:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xfa402d…
07-26 06:32:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x85acd5…
07-26 06:32:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x4c089d…
07-26 06:32:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	35	26¢	$9	0x443631…
07-26 06:32:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0x9ae696…
07-26 06:32:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	300	27¢	$81	0x44fd4a…
07-26 06:19:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x04a675…
07-26 06:19:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	109	60¢	$65	0xeac103…
07-26 06:19:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xc63734…
07-26 06:19:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x7478c4…
07-26 06:19:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$3	0x557970…
07-26 06:19:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	356	60¢	$214	0x51f1c7…
07-26 06:19:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x4ea0e9…
07-26 06:18:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	223	39¢	$87	0x51cd34…
07-26 06:17:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	114	40¢	$46	0xb2c113…
07-26 06:16:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xfb8f45…
07-26 06:16:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x0e88fb…
07-26 04:43:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	500	26¢	$129	0xaeeafd…
07-26 00:29:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x472cd9…
07-26 00:28:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbec4a1…
07-26 00:28:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x19bd57…
07-26 00:28:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xfe94b2…
07-26 00:28:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd86f62…
07-26 00:28:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9157a5…
07-26 00:28:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x21ac12…
07-26 00:28:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa10437…
07-26 00:28:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe59680…
07-26 00:28:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe130af…
07-26 00:28:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xdfe77a…
07-26 00:28:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x5ead90…
07-26 00:28:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xea8cb0…
07-26 00:28:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xb8ed4b…
07-26 00:28:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x7d95f5…
07-26 00:28:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc67d7d…
07-26 00:28:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xa14534…
07-26 00:28:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xa5f27b…
07-26 00:28:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xe9aa03…
07-26 00:28:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1b8828…
07-26 00:28:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x8eb1c7…
07-26 00:25:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x684e78…
07-26 00:25:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	34	90¢	$31	0x178651…
07-26 00:25:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0x59ce9d…
07-26 00:25:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0xf2d811…
07-26 00:25:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xcf25d4…
07-26 00:25:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x48479a…
07-26 00:25:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x87dc39…
07-26 00:25:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x828df8…
07-26 00:25:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x123f49…
07-26 00:20:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x51aece…
07-26 00:19:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0xd1a3ba…
07-26 00:19:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	78	43¢	$34	0xbc455f…
07-26 00:19:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0x8aea44…
07-26 00:19:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x8104e2…
07-26 00:19:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	42	43¢	$18	0x59b102…
07-26 00:19:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	42	43¢	$18	0x3c850f…
07-26 00:19:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	25	43¢	$11	0x02fcb0…
07-26 00:19:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	57	41¢	$23	0x20ac9c…
07-26 00:18:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	57	43¢	$24	0xdb17c8…
07-26 00:18:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x5a669e…
07-26 00:18:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x89f1db…
07-26 00:18:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	223	43¢	$96	0xfb26ff…
07-26 00:11:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x9544fd…
07-26 00:10:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	92¢	$18	0xb9ef47…
07-26 00:10:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	47	92¢	$43	0xa58819…
07-26 00:10:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	34	92¢	$31	0x923c3d…
07-26 00:10:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x3f8afb…
07-26 00:03:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	200	57¢	$114	0xb4ecf8…
07-26 00:01:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	200	36¢	$71	0x617ed0…
07-25 23:50:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:45 UTC	Down	SELL	300	45¢	$135	0xb8687f…
07-25 23:49:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	300	41¢	$122	0xc913ed…
07-25 23:39:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xd20072…
07-25 23:39:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xca05ca…
07-25 23:39:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	117	50¢	$59	0xaf570b…
07-25 23:39:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	99	50¢	$50	0xaad8a9…
07-25 23:39:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x330f13…
07-25 23:39:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	46	50¢	$23	0x76822b…
07-25 23:37:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	56	23¢	$13	0x458ddd…
07-25 23:37:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x3c398d…
07-25 23:37:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	22¢	$3	0x4c625e…
07-25 23:37:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	83	21¢	$17	0x297641…
07-25 23:37:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0xe716b1…
07-25 23:37:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x12e5b0…
07-25 23:37:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x5dd8c8…
07-25 23:37:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	120	20¢	$24	0xa37019…
07-25 23:10:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x13af17…
07-25 23:05:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:00 UTC	Down	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0x8e2665…
07-25 23:04:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:00 UTC	Down	SELL	285	59¢	$167	0xee4fe2…
07-25 23:04:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0x053de6…
07-25 23:04:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x2df42b…
07-25 23:04:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	275	43¢	$118	0xd57b86…
07-25 22:43:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	300	35¢	$106	0xd69243…
07-25 22:43:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	75	51¢	$38	0x8487d3…
07-25 22:43:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	225	49¢	$110	0x700080…
07-25 22:06:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	165	18¢	$30	0xcbd3fa…
07-25 22:06:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	35	18¢	$6	0x44d466…
07-25 22:04:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xf9dc98…
07-25 22:04:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0xc2a645…
07-25 22:04:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x863b15…
07-25 22:04:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	70	40¢	$28	0x634e6c…
07-25 22:04:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x55e34b…