Fumbling-Colonisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$170

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved

Trades

572

lifetime

Volume

$15.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 05-07 09:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 30% $-170

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$689	615	615	+0	Down	+$529	05-05 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	4	$458	351	351	+0	open	—	05-03 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$456	259	259	+0	open	—	05-02 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	3	$380	242	242	+0	open	—	05-04 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	3	$355	297	297	+0	open	—	05-01 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	3	$316	277	277	+0	open	—	05-02 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$311	172	172	+0	Down	+$30	05-06 08:20
btc updown 5m 1777005300	2	$286	144	144	+0	open	—	04-24 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	3	$280	192	192	+0	open	—	04-29 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$255	150	128	+22	open	—	04-28 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$252	143	143	+0	open	—	04-30 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$241	143	143	+0	open	—	05-01 15:45
btc updown 5m 1777005600	3	$241	134	133	+2	open	—	04-24 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	3	$239	168	168	+0	open	—	05-02 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$234	135	135	+0	open	—	04-30 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$227	148	148	+0	open	—	05-02 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$224	172	172	+0	open	—	05-03 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$220	176	176	+0	Down	+$128	05-05 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$216	117	117	+0	Down	+$16	05-06 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	3	$202	104	104	+0	open	—	04-27 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$200	10,205	0	+10,205	open	—	05-03 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	3	$193	155	155	+0	open	—	05-03 08:25
btc updown 5m 1776961200	3	$188	107	107	+0	open	—	04-23 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	3	$168	135	135	+0	Down	+$65	05-05 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	3	$160	279	0	+279	Up	$-160	05-06 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	3	$138	100	100	+0	open	—	05-03 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$138	75	74	+1	open	—	04-27 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$135	186	31	+155	open	—	04-27 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	5	$127	81	79	+1	open	—	04-27 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$127	84	59	+25	open	—	04-27 12:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 09:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	851	1¢	$9	0x500fc5…
05-07 09:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xdae744…
05-07 09:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x14e8b5…
05-07 09:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x8f289d…
05-07 09:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x32d157…
05-07 09:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xb5cec1…
05-07 09:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xffac02…
05-07 09:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xed2ed7…
05-07 09:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x6c1fed…
05-07 08:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x96b63f…
05-07 08:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xbcc4c7…
05-07 08:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xabd773…
05-07 08:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x38fac0…
05-07 08:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x4fcd07…
05-07 08:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x67b8b0…
05-07 08:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2b13d4…
05-06 08:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	108	8¢	$9	0x4b98c4…
05-06 08:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0xf2a361…
05-06 08:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xff6e94…
05-06 08:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0x16dc1a…
05-06 08:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x2413ca…
05-06 08:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xeb187c…
05-06 08:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1,500	2¢	$30	0x6ee9f6…
05-06 08:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	250	28¢	$70	0x73f294…
05-06 08:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	172	99¢	$170	0x92f385…
05-06 08:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	121	83¢	$101	0x98f7f8…
05-06 08:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0xa3d487…
05-06 08:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	136	74¢	$100	0x2fd0c7…
05-06 08:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x6da5c9…
05-06 08:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0x22e359…
05-06 08:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xfb61d7…
05-06 08:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x0b84d6…
05-06 08:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x5a1d71…
05-06 08:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xf308b3…
05-06 08:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x8c9ac1…
05-06 08:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xf3c76c…
05-06 08:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x8592f8…
05-06 08:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xdeda72…
05-06 08:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x08de5a…
05-06 07:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	117	99¢	$116	0x1b951f…
05-06 07:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0x4eed03…
05-06 07:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xff4891…
05-06 06:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	41	88¢	$36	0x1f0c26…
05-06 06:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xee6328…
05-06 06:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0x6573d7…
05-06 06:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xc55fe7…
05-06 05:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xdf4b70…
05-06 05:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xc8ae5f…
05-06 05:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xcf1053…
05-05 17:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x8541f4…
05-05 17:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0x9b4d5d…
05-05 17:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x3ea17c…
05-05 17:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x44544a…
05-05 17:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xe7fdfd…
05-05 17:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x591433…
05-05 14:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	135	86¢	$116	0x9f1ae9…
05-05 14:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	54	40¢	$22	0xe3439e…
05-05 14:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0xbbda9a…
05-05 14:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x241126…
05-05 14:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x240dd5…
05-05 14:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xdc2d1a…
05-05 14:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x5973c1…
05-05 14:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	176	99¢	$174	0x3f17d9…
05-05 14:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	93	11¢	$10	0x267592…
05-05 14:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0xd9d15b…
05-05 14:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x1491b6…
05-05 14:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6453d4…
05-05 14:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x1b6dfb…
05-05 12:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xdf8bdb…
05-05 12:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x17b2cc…
05-05 12:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0xfe71a6…
05-05 12:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x3596d1…
05-05 12:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x2b1e03…
05-05 12:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	163	61¢	$100	0xf70a43…
05-05 12:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xdb2598…
05-05 12:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0x328213…
05-05 12:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xdc25aa…
05-05 12:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0xe8cf77…
05-05 12:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xdc558e…
05-05 12:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc889c1…
05-05 12:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x435e24…
05-05 10:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x7a0983…
05-05 10:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xe2cb4f…
05-05 10:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x50e96e…
05-05 10:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xc297bb…
05-05 10:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x364755…
05-05 10:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0xee3a39…
05-05 10:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x09c97a…
05-05 10:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x3a4cb6…
05-05 10:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	80	21¢	$17	0xac1358…
05-05 10:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	62	36¢	$22	0x814f55…
05-05 10:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x0bcacf…
05-05 10:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0x486621…
05-05 09:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0x7e4081…
05-05 09:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	615	99¢	$609	0xa1c3e3…
05-05 09:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	615	13¢	$80	0x8840a0…
05-05 09:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	56	12¢	$7	0x334498…
05-05 09:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x7278a6…
05-05 09:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	99	40¢	$40	0x12586b…
05-04 17:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	231	43¢	$100	0x6ceb8a…