Realized P&L (30d)
-$5.72K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.84K
Hit rate
2.8%
Resolved (30d)
3,289
Trades (30d)
40,061
50,362 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$992.6K
$1.17M lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$77.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-20
last 10-27 01:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
64% 13% -$4,064
Politics
28% 8% -$1,078
Tech
5% 3% -$676
Sports
1% 14% -$4
Crypto
1% 4% -$44
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$65
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 2020 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +7,355 $4,649 90¢ $6.7K +$2,008 10-24 20:32
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +5,065 $4,091 78¢ $3.9K -$165 10-23 09:26
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +4,443 $3,446 82¢ $3.6K +$176 10-19 06:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +3,498 $2,912 92¢ $3.2K +$324 10-21 18:52
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +3,218 $2,783 99¢ $3.2K +$391 10-23 02:29
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +3,777 $2,997 76¢ $2.9K -$108 10-24 02:12
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5,080 $2,931 56¢ $2.9K -$69 10-20 18:05
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +3,627 $2,642 76¢ $2.8K +$118 10-13 10:34
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +3,367 $2,381 82¢ $2.8K +$370 10-26 16:00
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,908 $2,345 94¢ $2.7K +$374 10-25 19:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +4,317 $2,534 62¢ $2.7K +$121 10-25 22:03
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +4,021 $2,765 66¢ $2.6K -$132 10-26 00:17
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +2,929 $2,314 86¢ $2.5K +$220 10-14 11:08
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +2,746 $1,660 88¢ $2.4K +$771 10-26 11:17
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,311 $2,079 54¢ $2.3K +$253 10-26 16:50
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,080 $2,169 44¢ $2.2K +$48 10-20 14:21
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +2,524 $1,854 87¢ $2.2K +$338 10-26 17:59
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +2,503 $2,047 86¢ $2.2K +$112 10-25 13:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +3,207 $1,961 66¢ $2.1K +$172 10-22 15:53
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +2,120 $742 99¢ $2.1K +$1,354 10-23 14:17
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +2,121 $1,900 98¢ $2.1K +$176 10-19 19:13
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +2,100 $1,808 96¢ $2.0K +$212 10-02 15:42
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,053 $1,702 98¢ $2.0K +$312 10-25 07:10
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,311 $2,264 46¢ $2.0K -$286 10-26 23:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +1,960 $1,579 97¢ $1.9K +$322 10-25 21:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +2,271 $1,866 84¢ $1.9K +$31 10-24 22:31
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,256 $1,580 84¢ $1.9K +$315 10-17 07:39
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +2,010 $1,502 92¢ $1.9K +$357 10-26 11:18
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +2,783 $1,186 67¢ $1.9K +$673 10-26 14:51
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +1,858 $1,753 97¢ $1.8K +$50 10-21 09:53