Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.1%

Resolved

Trades

859

lifetime

Volume

$11.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 05-08 15:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

36% — —

Politics

34% — —

Tech

16% — —

Other

14% 50% +$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	3	$981	1,120	1,120	+0	open	—	03-07 19:32
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	27	$837	1,081	1,081	+0	open	—	04-05 19:38
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	3	$593	1,256	1,256	+0	open	—	03-07 19:32
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	9	$373	481	481	+0	open	—	04-09 13:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$347	288	288	+0	open	—	05-08 15:22
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	11	$338	272	272	+0	Yes	+$29	04-16 07:41
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	7	$333	266	266	+0	open	—	04-17 17:27
will anthropic have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	2	$246	241	241	+0	open	—	03-07 01:38
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	6	$204	3,773	3,773	+0	open	—	04-07 20:02
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	8	$202	235	235	+0	open	—	04-09 13:26
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	12	$199	307	190	+117	open	—	04-15 14:52
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	5	$196	235	235	+0	open	—	04-15 17:41
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	4	$192	200	200	+0	open	—	04-08 19:19
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?	10	$172	142	42	+100	open	—	04-12 13:35
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	3	$152	301	105	+196	open	—	04-21 08:24
highest temperature in seoul on february 28 2026 14corhigher	4	$133	85	85	+0	open	—	02-28 14:49
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	3	$125	293	100	+193	open	—	04-19 08:25
btc updown 5m 1774563900	5	$90	69	43	+26	open	—	03-26 22:30
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?	2	$90	200	200	+0	open	—	04-09 15:35
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	4	$89	196	196	+0	No	$-9	04-12 21:55
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	3	$88	173	79	+94	open	—	04-20 21:00
highest temperature in miami on february 28 2026 86 87f	3	$88	47	47	+0	open	—	02-28 19:05
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$86	77	77	+0	open	—	04-15 14:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	3	$84	159	120	+39	open	—	04-23 06:42
btc updown 5m 1774623300	5	$81	42	42	+0	open	—	03-27 14:59
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	2	$76	124	124	+0	open	—	04-21 22:11
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	4	$75	68	68	+0	open	—	04-07 22:33
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	8	$72	71	71	+0	open	—	04-09 13:26
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	1	$70	144	0	+144	open	—	04-17 14:29
highest temperature in miami on march 1 2026 80 81f	5	$67	70	17	+53	open	—	03-01 20:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 15:22:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	133	100¢	$132	0xddd4f1…
04-23 14:20:24	btc updown 5m 1776954000	Up	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xa1e1a0…
04-23 14:07:34	btc updown 5m 1776953100	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x1e5d8b…
04-23 14:07:22	btc updown 5m 1776953100	Down	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xfbc20b…
04-23 06:42:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x5c9b6a…
04-22 14:14:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	35¢	$28	0xbc737b…
04-22 13:56:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	159	32¢	$51	0xe188c9…
04-21 22:11:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	Yes	SELL	124	28¢	$35	0x6f6c0e…
04-21 21:20:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	124	33¢	$41	0x735fca…
04-21 08:24:34	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	196	23¢	$45	0x92ca57…
04-20 21:00:14	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	66	26¢	$17	0xbe6098…
04-20 19:49:56	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	13	30¢	$4	0x726004…
04-19 14:45:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	148	42¢	$62	0xab7996…
04-19 08:25:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	BUY	193	26¢	$50	0x9e5009…
04-19 06:48:06	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0216eb…
04-19 01:28:40	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	188	34¢	$63	0x4b02c5…
04-18 06:56:34	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	173	39¢	$67	0x079b1d…
04-17 17:27:46	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	SELL	156	96¢	$149	0xe107b8…
04-17 15:03:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	133	49¢	$65	0x017ea1…
04-17 14:29:50	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	BUY	144	49¢	$70	0xa6fffd…
04-17 14:09:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	156	51¢	$79	0x648321…
04-17 12:56:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	156	45¢	$70	0x9f4f4e…
04-17 12:15:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0xf52310…
04-16 07:41:34	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0x8031bd…
04-16 07:20:22	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	SELL	60	75¢	$45	0x09ca35…
04-15 17:41:06	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	73	47¢	$34	0x6fb1bb…
04-15 17:26:34	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	34	52¢	$18	0x8efc40…
04-15 15:33:16	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x734fa8…
04-15 14:59:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	67¢	$52	0x681c94…
04-15 14:52:56	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	75¢	$17	0x67dd3b…
04-15 13:44:02	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	128	35¢	$45	0x5776eb…
04-15 13:40:54	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x8d2886…
04-14 18:32:44	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	117	29¢	$34	0x496881…
04-14 17:46:56	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	31¢	$43	0x228735…
04-14 15:38:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	Yes	BUY	83	58¢	$48	0xe0024a…
04-14 15:25:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	157	37¢	$58	0x5a7596…
04-14 07:17:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xa0d333…
04-14 02:31:37	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xcf7f11…
04-13 22:28:45	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	105	64¢	$67	0x13c916…
04-13 16:25:57	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	44¢	$34	0xa9383e…
04-13 13:22:43	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0xe495e3…
04-13 12:14:37	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0x48b998…
04-13 12:14:05	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x7ea1e3…
04-12 21:55:07	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	92	22¢	$21	0x84a3d2…
04-12 19:18:31	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	104	19¢	$20	0x3a0d9c…
04-12 18:40:11	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	92	26¢	$24	0xd88aa9…
04-12 18:34:47	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x20281a…
04-12 18:04:07	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	SELL	113	25¢	$28	0xb35ebe…
04-12 18:00:29	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	113	23¢	$26	0xc870d8…
04-12 17:54:45	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	BUY	46	57¢	$26	0xdf3e0c…
04-12 15:05:47	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0xa0ea6b…
04-12 14:12:01	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	No	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x12b01e…
04-12 14:11:27	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	No	BUY	62	50¢	$31	0x653e11…
04-12 13:56:59	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	Yes	SELL	48	20¢	$10	0x5ecc40…
04-12 13:50:29	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x975435…
04-12 13:35:03	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x30edb7…
04-11 17:36:53	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x536215…
04-11 17:14:53	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0xbbe39f…
04-11 01:09:57	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x500ede…
04-11 01:08:11	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc79b3f…
04-11 01:02:55	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xca7a14…
04-11 01:01:43	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9148dc…
04-11 00:59:37	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x58e1d4…
04-11 00:54:43	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2127ae…
04-10 21:40:45	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xf6ef5b…
04-10 20:21:41	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xf16811…
04-10 17:27:15	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	97	36¢	$35	0xa39d8e…
04-10 16:03:55	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0xbe70e9…
04-10 15:30:37	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xdf1144…
04-09 19:21:11	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	SELL	22	72¢	$16	0x34c285…
04-09 19:15:23	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	SELL	49	72¢	$35	0xdfde31…
04-09 18:16:07	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	SELL	47	70¢	$33	0xc6b057…
04-09 16:51:23	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0xbb160c…
04-09 16:51:23	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x21af29…
04-09 16:51:21	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0xd3316a…
04-09 16:51:21	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x12e262…
04-09 16:51:17	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xd832d0…
04-09 16:51:17	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xa5c5c1…
04-09 16:51:17	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1b2c90…
04-09 16:49:47	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?	No	SELL	81	4¢	$3	0x10ef4c…
04-09 15:35:03	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?	No	SELL	200	30¢	$60	0x053a5b…
04-09 13:26:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x4f8577…
04-09 13:26:53	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x05a357…
04-09 13:26:45	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x9af022…
04-09 13:14:45	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	No	SELL	125	2¢	$3	0xf7bacc…
04-09 13:03:11	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?	No	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xfedf32…
04-09 12:45:27	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0x6dee7a…
04-09 12:17:59	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?	No	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0x75145c…
04-09 11:44:37	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	BUY	53	60¢	$32	0x60b9cc…
04-09 07:42:53	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	SELL	90	49¢	$44	0xad3b17…
04-09 07:04:33	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	BUY	90	40¢	$36	0x9decd4…
04-08 19:19:09	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	SELL	200	59¢	$117	0xde18fa…
04-08 18:16:55	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xbeb069…
04-08 14:54:21	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	BUY	82	30¢	$25	0xaa26b7…
04-08 14:42:17	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0x5a9d6f…
04-08 14:30:29	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x077665…
04-08 13:48:33	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x1b4e7a…
04-08 12:55:51	Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?	No	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0x6e290c…
04-08 12:50:29	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	28	88¢	$24	0x6cc837…
04-08 12:03:55	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	BUY	64	53¢	$34	0x26d96e…