Poor-Denominator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$968

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.5%

Resolved

109

Trades

654

lifetime

Volume

$8.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 05-21 20:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 18% $-968

Politics

3% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	8	$500	983	983	+0	Up	+$380	05-09 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	6	$357	486	406	+80	Down	+$187	05-13 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$351	330	330	+0	Down	+$301	05-13 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	6	$267	722	722	+0	Up	+$147	05-12 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	4	$264	877	314	+563	Up	+$154	05-12 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$223	1,045	0	+1,045	Down	$-223	05-13 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	6	$196	141	141	+0	open	—	05-03 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	6	$174	424	185	+239	Down	$-26	05-12 22:29
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	4	$163	4,185	4,185	+0	open	—	05-02 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	6	$161	419	219	+200	Up	+$89	05-07 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	8	$157	324	131	+192	Up	+$17	05-07 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	10	$156	908	154	+754	open	—	05-19 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	6	$141	402	106	+295	Up	$-9	05-09 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	7	$138	1,109	71	+1,038	Up	$-78	05-13 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	7	$128	4,873	0	+4,873	Up	$-128	05-09 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	7	$122	122	82	+40	open	—	05-19 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	5	$116	378	341	+37	Down	$-44	05-09 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$115	443	0	+443	Down	$-115	05-09 20:49
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	3	$114	600	600	+0	open	—	05-07 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$110	536	0	+536	open	—	05-03 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	8	$108	430	106	+324	open	—	05-19 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	7	$108	446	91	+355	open	—	05-18 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	9	$98	438	90	+348	Down	+$32	05-07 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	16	$97	454	0	+454	open	—	05-17 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	7	$95	299	0	+299	Down	+$204	05-12 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	11	$92	392	0	+392	open	—	05-14 23:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	8	$88	441	62	+379	Up	$-22	05-09 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	5	$85	975	0	+975	Up	$-85	05-12 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	6	$85	1,106	0	+1,106	Down	$-85	05-07 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$81	359	132	+228	Down	$-5	05-13 20:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 20:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6bbf64…
05-21 20:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1ad83d…
05-21 20:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x85bba1…
05-21 20:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x5473a1…
05-21 20:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xf5b4aa…
05-21 20:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x4e0d15…
05-21 20:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x6aee78…
05-21 20:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x08af2e…
05-21 19:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe16cec…
05-21 19:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa8004b…
05-21 19:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x53ac04…
05-21 19:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7bf8ed…
05-21 19:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x83247a…
05-21 19:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	52	18¢	$9	0x5d5563…
05-21 19:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xff18b2…
05-21 19:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	105	6¢	$6	0x342cd1…
05-21 19:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x9d3669…
05-21 19:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	103	5¢	$5	0x1c5517…
05-21 19:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x1393fb…
05-21 19:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x6fc98c…
05-21 19:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0xd46ceb…
05-21 19:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x1dc2e6…
05-21 19:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x195361…
05-21 18:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0x1c563b…
05-21 18:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x484579…
05-21 18:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x956e67…
05-21 15:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x2b5359…
05-19 23:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8c4148…
05-19 23:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x758adc…
05-19 23:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x747012…
05-19 23:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6be998…
05-19 23:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe8f666…
05-19 23:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x517463…
05-19 23:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x237214…
05-19 23:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x29ce78…
05-19 23:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x3e92f5…
05-19 23:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x8b77d4…
05-19 23:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x2f07d5…
05-19 23:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x6c6dc5…
05-19 23:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xe89cba…
05-19 23:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x22d5b7…
05-19 23:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xa7f659…
05-19 23:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x797e81…
05-19 23:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	62	58¢	$36	0xe99b70…
05-19 23:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0x3f0529…
05-19 23:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x99ce81…
05-19 23:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	93	47¢	$43	0xedee92…
05-19 23:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x918980…
05-19 23:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x235808…
05-19 23:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x6bd889…
05-19 23:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	82	97¢	$80	0x385e8a…
05-19 23:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x13960c…
05-19 23:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa03ede…
05-19 23:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xfc46f9…
05-19 23:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x444f7f…
05-19 23:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb7c959…
05-19 23:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x88c99e…
05-19 23:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x88b79f…
05-19 23:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xcfeea3…
05-19 23:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xdd7594…
05-19 23:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x615ad1…
05-19 23:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xb6d5d6…
05-19 23:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x89ba34…
05-19 23:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	74	14¢	$10	0xc9fbaf…
05-19 23:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	55	46¢	$25	0x827d6b…
05-19 23:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x33e19a…
05-19 23:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xa873bd…
05-19 23:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	51	45¢	$23	0x4eaf28…
05-19 23:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x979071…
05-19 23:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x186d71…
05-19 23:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	125	2¢	$2	0x306371…
05-19 23:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x0d0d13…
05-19 23:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	291	13¢	$38	0x061881…
05-19 23:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x56b6c4…
05-19 23:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x65c85b…
05-19 22:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x6c0f1a…
05-19 22:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xab25f9…
05-18 22:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6c149a…
05-18 22:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x26da50…
05-18 21:55:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x47d35f…
05-18 21:55:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8a91e2…
05-18 21:55:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6a8f73…
05-18 21:54:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6fbe53…
05-18 21:53:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb1efa9…
05-18 21:53:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x404495…
05-18 21:53:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x05d8fc…
05-18 21:53:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd1eef5…
05-18 21:53:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	116	9¢	$10	0xb9ebf6…
05-18 21:53:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	115	9¢	$10	0x3c9651…
05-18 21:53:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	129	8¢	$10	0x52720f…
05-18 21:52:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	82	12¢	$10	0x8e2d69…
05-18 21:52:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x567496…
05-18 21:51:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0c3bc1…
05-18 21:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	160	2¢	$3	0x4611d4…
05-18 21:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0xfa3581…
05-18 21:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xaf73d9…
05-18 21:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	83	41¢	$34	0x6e602f…
05-18 21:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x54b49e…
05-18 21:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x27c0ef…
05-18 21:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xf8e729…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	152	$101.1K	4,334	05-21 20:14
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	149	$30.5K	5,125	05-21 20:14
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	149	$29.0K	8,424	05-21 20:14
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	149	$28.0K	5,159	05-21 20:13
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	149	$27.7K	7,989	05-21 20:14
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	149	$27.3K	4,422	05-21 20:14
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	146	$16.6K	3,057	05-21 20:13
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	145	$73.4K	6,172	05-21 20:14