Naughty-Shakedown — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$988

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

1,597

Trades

7,450

lifetime

Volume

$21.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 11-05 20:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 55% -$913

Other

3% 66% -$11

Politics

0% 0% -$82

Sports

0% 33% +$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 1819 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 08:30 UTC	2	$210	112	111	+1	Up	+$11	06-22 08:35
bitcoin up or down august 14 2026 3am et	46	$150	218	0	+218	Down	-$124	08-14 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 06:45 UTC	2	$146	259	259	+0	Down	+$46	06-24 06:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 21:25 UTC	32	$146	274	0	+274	Up	+$10	08-11 21:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 19:20 UTC	41	$144	305	0	+305	Up	+$30	08-11 19:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:10 UTC	28	$115	237	0	+237	Down	+$36	08-12 19:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 19:40 UTC	43	$106	315	0	+315	Up	+$19	08-11 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 08:15 UTC	35	$105	276	0	+276	Down	+$59	08-11 08:17
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 08:20 UTC	1	$100	160	0	+160	Down	-$100	06-22 08:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 18:55 UTC	23	$99	181	0	+181	Up	+$18	08-12 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 23:35 UTC	26	$98	238	0	+238	Up	+$11	08-11 23:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 09:30 UTC	40	$97	203	0	+203	Down	-$4	08-11 09:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 22:05 UTC	38	$97	214	0	+214	Down	-$1	08-11 22:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:10 UTC	37	$95	235	0	+235	Up	-$16	08-12 20:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 18:25 UTC	15	$94	133	0	+133	Up	+$30	08-12 18:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 12:55 UTC	37	$93	185	0	+185	Down	+$12	08-12 12:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 09:50 UTC	48	$89	237	0	+237	Down	-$12	08-11 09:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 18:30 UTC	23	$87	173	0	+173	Down	-$26	08-11 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4PM ET	39	$86	184	0	+184	Up	+$15	08-13 20:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 01:45 UTC	22	$84	221	0	+221	Up	+$36	08-12 01:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:55 UTC	21	$84	190	0	+190	Down	-$59	08-12 10:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 20:45 UTC	22	$84	147	0	+147	Up	+$13	08-11 20:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 08:55 UTC	10	$84	167	0	+167	Up	-$84	08-12 08:43
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$82	12,700	0	+12,700	Yes	-$82	06-17 00:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 00:25 UTC	35	$80	220	0	+220	Down	+$57	08-12 00:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 19:25 UTC	28	$80	142	0	+142	Up	+$6	08-11 19:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:00 UTC	20	$79	133	0	+133	Up	+$1	08-12 19:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 23:10 UTC	18	$77	157	0	+157	Down	+$4	08-11 23:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 21:50 UTC	24	$75	204	0	+204	Up	-$24	08-12 21:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:55 UTC	29	$73	145	0	+145	Up	+$12	08-12 07:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 20:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd52ba3…
11-05 20:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xc1077f…
11-05 20:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xbd5e39…
11-05 20:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5d8bca…
11-05 20:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x547d59…
11-05 20:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0x27f9f2…
11-05 20:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xae6f31…
11-05 20:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x288dee…
11-05 20:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xcaecbe…
11-05 20:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xc58029…
11-05 20:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xb0aa97…
11-05 20:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x233a8d…
11-05 20:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe341d8…
11-05 20:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x4a7c0e…
11-05 20:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x0a3c80…
11-05 20:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5f09ed…
11-05 20:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x59458e…
11-05 20:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa04193…
11-05 20:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1821a9…
11-05 20:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x5fc18f…
11-05 20:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3382ce…
11-05 19:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x29f6e2…
11-05 19:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xaec12a…
11-05 19:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xf70efc…
11-05 19:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x33dc50…
11-05 19:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x410c1c…
11-05 19:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x085654…
11-05 19:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0xaa9049…
11-05 19:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x63b874…
11-05 19:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xc21a39…
11-05 19:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x8d4a9e…
11-05 19:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x82808a…
11-05 19:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x55762b…
11-05 19:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x486e00…
11-05 19:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xa49143…
11-05 19:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x3da513…
11-05 19:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x01189f…
11-05 19:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xfa5e69…
11-05 19:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xac26ef…
11-05 19:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x58f5cd…
11-05 19:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x58d3f8…
11-05 19:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0xd18bc4…
11-05 19:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1b6bb1…
11-05 19:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x400fea…
11-05 19:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x04d2cb…
11-05 19:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x99f2d3…
11-05 19:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8a8d98…
11-05 19:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x1bbe23…
11-05 19:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x65fa8c…
11-05 19:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8b74c8…
11-05 19:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2153a3…
11-05 19:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x005d77…
11-05 19:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xed2ae5…
11-05 19:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb719d1…
11-05 19:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0xeff3dd…
11-05 19:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0xe5a3c3…
11-05 19:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9268bf…
11-05 19:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe51160…
11-04 07:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc0e3fb…
11-04 07:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x074ba1…
11-04 07:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc6243c…
11-04 07:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x5d0be5…
11-04 07:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x9aa079…
11-04 07:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x9a1f3b…
11-04 07:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0cf427…
11-04 06:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x990cf6…
11-04 06:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xc49f0e…
11-04 06:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4ff2aa…
11-04 06:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x5b6a72…
11-04 06:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8d187b…
11-04 06:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x1804e7…
11-04 06:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0x337911…
11-04 06:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x73b644…
11-04 06:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x69a146…
11-04 06:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x3eff0c…
11-04 06:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x63dd7c…
11-04 06:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x698571…
11-04 06:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x047bd4…
11-04 06:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb1ba3f…
11-04 06:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xbbc6c8…
11-04 06:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x8ee7e7…
11-04 06:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa2b48a…
11-04 06:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x3e2ff1…
11-04 06:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x91781a…
11-04 06:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x30fff0…
11-04 06:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x6d524e…
11-04 06:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3fe464…
10-29 20:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x54ba30…
10-28 18:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd1dcc1…
10-28 18:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf18f62…
10-28 18:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8ea708…
10-26 20:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xe965fe…
10-26 20:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0xdfb882…
10-26 20:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0x7279c0…
10-26 20:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xbd5675…
10-26 20:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x8d8adb…
10-26 20:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x6f437d…
10-26 18:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x96df37…
10-10 23:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xcfc6e4…
10-10 23:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd5822d…