Nifty-Bone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$287

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.3%

Resolved

234

Trades

296

lifetime

Volume

$3.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 05-28 03:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 94% -$19

Politics

25% 85% -$270

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-28).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	3	$307	160	160	+0	No	+$12	02-28 03:51
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$284	340	0	+340	Yes	-$284	02-28 03:52
bitcoin above 68k on february 9	2	$48	26	26	+0	Yes	+$1	02-09 15:40
bitcoin above 74k on february 7	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	02-07 14:28
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	2	$46	24	24	+0	No	+$1	05-28 01:57
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	2	$46	23	23	+0	No	+$0	02-07 05:18
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 04:00 UTC	3	$45	30	15	+15	Up	+$0	02-10 04:14
bitcoin up or down february 6 7am et	2	$45	23	23	+0	Down	+$1	02-06 13:17
bitcoin above 70k on february 9	4	$44	40	40	+0	Yes	-$16	02-09 17:05
bitcoin above 70k on february 7	2	$44	25	25	+0	No	-$4	02-07 15:38
will claude 5 be released by february 6 2026 173 394	4	$40	21	21	+0	No	+$2	02-06 10:52
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	$0	05-27 15:15
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$35	18	18	+0	Up	+$0	05-27 15:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$34	18	18	+0	No	+$0	05-27 02:24
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	02-27 03:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 13:30 UTC	3	$26	26	0	+26	Up	+$0	02-06 13:42
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$25	24	24	+0	Up	-$23	05-28 02:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 14:30 UTC	2	$25	25	0	+25	Up	+$0	02-06 14:41
will trump say job 20 times during the 2026 state of the union address 563	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	02-25 08:53
will trump say america or american 50 times during the 2026 state of the union address 966	2	$24	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	02-25 05:46
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 07:30 UTC	1	$24	24	0	+24	Down	+$0	02-09 07:43
will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	2	$24	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	02-25 04:06
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$24	24	0	+24	Down	+$0	05-28 02:34
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$23	24	0	+24	Down	+$0	05-28 02:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 13:45 UTC	1	$23	41	0	+41	Up	-$23	02-10 13:59
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 06:30 UTC	1	$23	24	0	+24	Up	+$1	02-09 06:43
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 11:20 UTC	1	$23	23	0	+23	Up	+$0	02-27 11:24
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$23	23	0	+23	Down	+$0	05-27 17:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 06:15 UTC	1	$23	23	0	+23	Down	+$0	02-09 06:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 11:15 UTC	1	$23	23	0	+23	Down	+$0	02-27 11:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 03:02:47	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4b7063…
05-28 02:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x640ac5…
05-28 02:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x288d92…
05-28 02:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x033a3c…
05-28 02:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xa61d2a…
05-28 02:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x00cfc6…
05-28 02:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9d4a4e…
05-28 02:52:23	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xe5ccf9…
05-28 02:51:49	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x41b765…
05-28 02:49:54	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	24	5¢	$1	0xf955df…
05-28 02:49:17	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x864e7f…
05-28 02:44:53	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xf0aca0…
05-28 02:34:56	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x88721e…
05-28 02:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xd9f675…
05-28 02:19:30	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0x292d6a…
05-28 01:57:06	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0x664aa7…
05-27 17:42:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x55939c…
05-27 17:14:04	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x946e78…
05-27 16:34:34	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x74bb2a…
05-27 16:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x5658f4…
05-27 16:24:55	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	95¢	$21	0xfa96c0…
05-27 16:09:41	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0x5ffb76…
05-27 16:04:54	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x66b90e…
05-27 15:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0ed00d…
05-27 15:54:12	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xa2e7a9…
05-27 15:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdefe9a…
05-27 15:32:16	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x8ee59e…
05-27 15:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0x5c670b…
05-27 15:18:39	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x7813a1…
05-27 15:17:46	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xcb3b24…
05-27 15:15:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x76c6e1…
05-27 11:32:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x426adb…
05-27 02:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x4e60ea…
05-27 02:54:21	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0x5437b3…
05-27 02:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0x6b9384…
05-27 02:24:50	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x232726…
05-27 02:24:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0x1082fd…
05-26 16:25:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x960423…
05-26 15:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xb0c959…
05-26 15:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x2abe41…
05-26 15:04:02	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x94a510…
05-26 14:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf3fd55…
05-26 14:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xdc9752…
05-26 14:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x19f3fe…
05-26 14:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0x5da7bd…
05-26 14:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0x54342d…
05-26 14:38:06	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x46fec1…
05-26 14:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x5f1afc…
05-26 14:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xdb9bb8…
05-26 14:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x087efb…
05-26 14:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x00bed8…
05-26 14:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xafa221…
05-26 14:08:34	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xef5377…
05-26 14:07:10	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xbd99be…
05-26 13:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x2b0fa5…
05-26 13:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x69375a…
05-26 13:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x3a1fd2…
05-26 13:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd3030e…
05-26 13:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc84f2b…
05-26 13:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xa51082…
05-26 13:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x8cfeb6…
05-26 12:48:49	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xafcaa7…
05-26 12:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf4d48a…
05-26 12:24:16	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x658801…
05-26 12:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x4f18a0…
05-26 11:09:46	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xef6555…
05-26 11:04:50	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x228e5f…
05-26 10:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x2e327a…
05-26 10:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x67c0e4…
05-26 10:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0x3f358e…
05-26 10:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf13c02…
05-26 10:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x76b764…
05-26 10:24:06	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x8cc8a6…
05-26 10:19:15	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x86a7c9…
05-26 10:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x7c51d3…
05-26 10:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc1e004…
05-26 10:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xf8ddc2…
05-26 09:59:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0xef0b43…
05-26 09:59:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7d37f6…
05-26 09:44:15	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xde1967…
05-26 09:39:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0x1dbf2d…
05-26 09:35:00	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x5052a8…
05-26 09:34:38	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xd6aaef…
05-26 09:34:13	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd7bb59…
05-26 09:27:41	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5a1582…
05-26 09:23:52	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1149ce…
05-26 09:13:36	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$6	0x58c2ca…
05-26 09:09:33	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x4fa9ee…
05-26 09:08:17	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x0bd060…
05-26 09:07:07	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x18929e…
05-26 09:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x08907d…
05-26 08:59:36	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x81baa7…
05-26 08:57:39	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5b3377…
05-26 08:54:47	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xce2b2e…
05-26 08:30:00	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x9e750a…
05-26 08:18:14	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6bd4f2…
05-26 05:49:28	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1dae6c…
05-26 05:44:44	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x566be0…
05-26 05:19:06	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb145c1…
05-26 05:14:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbfbb73…