Scholarly-Traditionalism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

289

Trades

290

lifetime

Volume

$3.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-03 17:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 233 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:16
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 07:28
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 10:01
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:47
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 08:11
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 05:18
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 10:30
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:32
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 10:40
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 01:38
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 15:17
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 04:14
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:24
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 05:49
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:31
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 12:26
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 04:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:19
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:14
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:53
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 6 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:40
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 08:53
highest temperature in lucknow on april 4 2026 35c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-04 13:43
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 3 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 12:27
highest temperature in san francisco on april 2 2026 62 63f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 02:18
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 14:41
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 17:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x44fe57…
11-02 06:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x66ec8d…
10-31 15:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27c54e…
10-30 14:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63338e…
10-29 17:52:29	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xede6b4…
10-29 09:28:26	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x866693…
10-28 07:54:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95427f…
10-27 09:19:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c0177…
10-26 09:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef5fb2…
10-24 11:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf087eb…
10-22 10:27:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ee135…
10-20 07:42:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x725378…
10-19 09:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3a274…
10-18 10:15:35	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd78907…
10-17 15:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x350849…
10-16 10:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf279df…
10-15 13:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb81781…
10-14 09:45:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8c9744…
10-13 09:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5cb534…
10-12 09:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa83494…
10-11 09:14:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a2e3d…
10-08 12:28:50	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10fb67…
10-07 15:42:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2071ea…
10-06 15:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x174d14…
10-05 06:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e3bd9…
10-03 09:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa08dda…
10-02 13:14:53	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb600d5…
10-01 08:32:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x181b81…
09-30 02:43:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C or below on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad3248…
09-28 09:58:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe19ea…
09-27 09:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd648e…
09-25 16:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb8550…
09-24 08:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3f69a…
09-23 08:49:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd38083…
09-22 08:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5914a…
09-21 09:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c7eac…
09-20 05:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc426c1…
09-19 08:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78daae…
09-18 07:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03f435…
09-17 04:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb974ea…
09-16 08:56:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde187a…
09-15 10:20:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2176be…
09-14 09:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f8168…
09-13 02:51:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda152e…
09-11 09:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6ee38…
09-10 08:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b511a…
09-09 02:39:15	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48491d…
09-08 06:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x763da8…
09-07 08:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a1619…
09-06 16:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29e101…
09-06 10:43:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0778b1…
09-05 01:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4cd044…
09-04 01:00:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d6125…
09-02 07:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5c653…
08-30 09:23:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d5e22…
08-29 09:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb41d95…
08-28 08:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21fc4b…
08-27 09:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6865d5…
08-26 08:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x254dd0…
08-25 09:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d3b7e…
08-24 14:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa2a9d7…
08-23 15:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e6cdc…
08-22 09:05:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2f1e4…
08-21 07:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbefab3…
08-20 09:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c7b68…
08-18 08:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8e700…
08-17 08:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9e1ff…
08-16 14:24:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf169ae…
08-15 10:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x957911…
08-14 06:57:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93816f…
08-13 09:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87f1e9…
08-12 09:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01e95d…
08-11 07:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70005b…
08-10 08:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20a10c…
08-09 06:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeea4a5…
08-08 07:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4aee7a…
08-07 07:52:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a7046…
08-06 07:41:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab98ca…
08-05 08:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91a8a8…
08-04 08:27:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdaa753…
08-03 07:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ba7df…
08-02 06:34:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8c441f…
08-01 07:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39caa0…
07-31 13:51:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x228e23…
07-30 07:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x428b1f…
07-29 07:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x317ca0…
07-28 07:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4daf34…
07-27 09:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x194bf0…
07-26 07:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x236634…
07-25 09:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7e1b0…
07-24 13:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72c10d…
07-23 08:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xafaac5…
07-22 02:10:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a2cc8…
07-21 09:20:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x272d53…
07-21 00:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x923a17…
07-20 08:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x000fa2…
07-18 23:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03be73…
07-18 05:11:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd7654…
07-17 07:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x625f4c…
07-15 22:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x217bba…