Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$80

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved

15,385

Trades

15,630

lifetime

Volume

$76.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$63

11 positions

First seen

2026-06-18

last 10-30 21:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 54% -$380

Other

21% 63% +$302

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% 33% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 210 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	—	+9	$5	100¢	$9	+$4	10-30 21:14
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+30	$10	30¢	$9	-$1	10-28 02:39
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up		+8	$4	79¢	$7	+$2	10-30 20:00
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+20	$6	29¢	$6	$0	10-29 13:25
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up		+9	$5	56¢	$5	+$0	10-30 20:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on October 30?	No	—	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	10-30 04:17
will bitcoin dip to 75k on october 30 2026	No	—	+5	$4	94¢	$5	+$0	10-30 04:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 30?	No	—	+6	$4	78¢	$5	+$0	10-30 04:17
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+20	$6	24¢	$5	-$1	10-29 05:59
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+5	$5	90¢	$5	$0	10-29 04:00
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No		+5	$4	69¢	$3	-$1	10-30 14:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	17	$146	83	83	+0	Down	+$2	10-24 04:11
Solana Up or Down on October 24?	16	$138	78	78	+0	Down	-$1	10-24 04:11
Ethereum Up or Down on October 24?	15	$125	73	73	+0	Down	+$1	10-24 04:12
XRP Up or Down on October 24?	13	$108	62	62	+0	Down	-$1	10-24 04:12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 23?	13	$79	61	30	+31	No	+$5	07-23 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3PM ET	6	$27	31	0	+31	Down	-$12	10-29 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$20	35	0	+35	Down	-$20	10-12 12:45
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$20	34	0	+34	Down	-$20	10-12 12:44
XRP Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$19	35	0	+35	Up	+$16	10-10 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10PM ET	4	$19	22	0	+22	Down	-$3	10-20 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1PM ET	4	$18	21	0	+21	Down	-$2	10-25 17:59
lol al we 2026 08 21	2	$16	30	30	+0	Team WE	+$6	08-21 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	3	$14	16	0	+16	Down	-$14	10-28 02:59
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 14?	3	$14	15	7	+7	No	-$4	08-13 07:53
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8AM ET	3	$14	15	0	+15	Down	+$2	10-21 12:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11AM ET	3	$14	15	0	+15	Down	+$2	10-23 15:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	3	$14	15	0	+15	Up	+$2	10-27 03:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11AM ET	3	$14	16	0	+16	Up	+$2	10-26 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6PM ET	3	$14	16	0	+16	Down	+$2	10-29 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3PM ET	3	$14	16	0	+16	Up	+$2	10-26 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6AM ET	3	$14	15	0	+15	Down	+$2	10-21 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET	3	$14	15	0	+15	Up	+$2	10-30 14:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5AM ET	3	$14	15	0	+15	Up	+$2	10-30 09:59
Solana Up or Down on October 25?	3	$14	16	0	+16	Up	+$2	10-25 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12PM ET	3	$13	15	0	+15	Up	+$2	10-23 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11PM ET	3	$13	15	0	+15	Down	+$2	10-24 03:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET	3	$13	16	0	+16	Down	-$8	10-30 20:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8AM ET	3	$13	15	0	+15	Up	+$2	10-23 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12PM ET	3	$13	15	0	+15	Up	+$2	10-21 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11AM ET	3	$13	15	0	+15	Down	+$2	10-25 15:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 21:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xf978d8…
10-30 21:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x2f962a…
10-30 20:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x916034…
10-30 20:59:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa523a1…
10-30 20:59:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x278f43…
10-30 20:44:58	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x7ee09b…
10-30 20:44:57	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0cb641…
10-30 20:29:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x71ef38…
10-30 20:29:58	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x63cdf2…
10-30 20:00:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf338e3…
10-30 20:00:10	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xbf662f…
10-30 19:59:58	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x6f0c25…
10-30 19:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x968f53…
10-30 19:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x848205…
10-30 18:44:58	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xb52d1c…
10-30 18:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x916488…
10-30 18:44:57	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2c39de…
10-30 18:30:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x05c7d7…
10-30 18:29:58	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd3f629…
10-30 18:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x534378…
10-30 18:29:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x4e52f0…
10-30 18:21:19	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Liquid	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x48cca3…
10-30 17:29:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x35b319…
10-30 16:59:37	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5dbc9c…
10-30 16:18:34	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xbc1cd7…
10-30 16:00:13	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x0d4203…
10-30 14:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x44c9aa…
10-30 14:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe504f4…
10-30 14:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x2f1c36…
10-30 14:15:34	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf25b11…
10-30 14:10:34	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x900fad…
10-30 13:45:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x42b257…
10-30 13:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x7c344a…
10-30 13:44:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x79fae9…
10-30 13:44:58	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1f3769…
10-30 13:44:58	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x023165…
10-30 13:38:34	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x7ffadf…
10-30 13:30:00	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xbe11bc…
10-30 13:30:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x4e4507…
10-30 13:29:58	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x73cecc…
10-30 13:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf5fd38…
10-30 12:45:34	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xc6946e…
10-30 12:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0xd0feb6…
10-30 12:45:00	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x23b310…
10-30 12:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd21f09…
10-30 12:00:09	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x78def5…
10-30 11:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x4b406b…
10-30 11:59:57	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xbb3e9b…
10-30 11:44:58	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x719336…
10-30 11:14:58	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x84ad87…
10-30 11:00:30	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x40976b…
10-30 09:59:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x911055…
10-30 09:59:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x2317fd…
10-30 09:59:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x11a1b0…
10-30 09:07:37	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x67bde0…
10-30 06:20:12	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 30?	No	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x007ce4…
10-30 05:59:58	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x9c3678…
10-30 05:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe1336b…
10-30 05:44:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xb94742…
10-30 05:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0xd35235…
10-30 05:19:10	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa6c87e…
10-30 05:19:10	will ethereum dip to 2150 on october 30 2026	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9c6f37…
10-30 05:19:09	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on October 30?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x54d0d5…
10-30 05:19:09	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x3b25c3…
10-30 04:33:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xd0b328…
10-30 04:30:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xb11f05…
10-30 04:29:58	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x3e070d…
10-30 04:17:39	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xefdee0…
10-30 04:17:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb315cc…
10-30 04:17:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xa5f5bd…
10-30 04:17:39	will bitcoin reach 81k on october 30 2026	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x8b1ee9…
10-30 04:17:39	will bitcoin dip to 75k on october 30 2026	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x408bb7…
10-30 04:17:37	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6dce7c…
10-30 04:00:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xbd775c…
10-30 04:00:00	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa15224…
10-30 04:00:00	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x6f559f…
10-30 03:59:58	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xd5eabd…
10-30 03:45:00	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7d6b80…
10-30 03:45:00	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$5	0x661fb2…
10-30 03:45:00	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x1c7945…
10-30 03:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xa1badb…
10-30 03:44:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x3e1e25…
10-30 03:30:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x832275…
10-30 03:30:00	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x33b76b…
10-30 03:29:58	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xe1931c…
10-30 02:44:58	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xcc86b0…
10-30 02:30:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xba1385…
10-30 02:30:01	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x375503…
10-30 01:29:57	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x2cba76…
10-30 00:59:58	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd3d2d6…
10-30 00:59:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa82968…
10-30 00:59:57	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x9d58cc…
10-30 00:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x3a9657…
10-30 00:29:58	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xeccfe4…
10-30 00:29:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x198ee7…
10-30 00:29:57	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x5a8a4c…
10-30 00:14:58	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6c2f56…
10-30 00:00:39	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x614c4d…
10-30 00:00:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x5dfe02…
10-30 00:00:39	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x3fcf0a…