Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$124

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved

15,345

Trades

15,576

lifetime

Volume

$76.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$40

7 positions

First seen

2026-06-18

last 10-30 06:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 54% -$392

Other

21% 63% +$269

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% 33% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 210 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Down	+10	$9	98¢	$10	+$1	10-29 22:22
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+30	$10	32¢	$9	-$1	10-28 02:39
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+20	$6	29¢	$6	$0	10-29 13:25
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+20	$6	23¢	$5	-$1	10-29 05:59
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+5	$5	90¢	$4	$0	10-29 04:00
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	+5	$4	73¢	$4	-$1	10-27 00:01
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	+6	$5	30¢	$2	-$3	10-27 00:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	17	$146	83	83	+0	Down	+$2	10-24 04:11
Solana Up or Down on October 24?	16	$138	78	78	+0	Down	-$1	10-24 04:11
Ethereum Up or Down on October 24?	15	$125	73	73	+0	Down	+$1	10-24 04:12
XRP Up or Down on October 24?	13	$108	62	62	+0	Down	-$1	10-24 04:12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 23?	13	$79	61	30	+31	No	+$5	07-23 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3PM ET	6	$27	31	0	+31	Down	-$12	10-29 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$20	35	0	+35	Down	-$20	10-12 12:45
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$20	34	0	+34	Down	-$20	10-12 12:44
XRP Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$19	35	0	+35	Up	+$16	10-10 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10PM ET	4	$19	22	0	+22	Down	-$3	10-20 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1PM ET	4	$18	21	0	+21	Down	-$2	10-25 17:59
lol al we 2026 08 21	2	$16	30	30	+0	Team WE	+$6	08-21 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	3	$14	16	0	+16	Down	-$14	10-28 02:59
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 14?	3	$14	15	7	+7	No	-$4	08-13 07:53
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8AM ET	3	$14	15	0	+15	Down	+$2	10-21 12:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11AM ET	3	$14	15	0	+15	Down	+$2	10-23 15:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	3	$14	15	0	+15	Up	+$2	10-27 03:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11AM ET	3	$14	16	0	+16	Up	+$2	10-26 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6PM ET	3	$14	16	0	+16	Down	+$2	10-29 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3PM ET	3	$14	16	0	+16	Up	+$2	10-26 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6AM ET	3	$14	15	0	+15	Down	+$2	10-21 10:59
Solana Up or Down on October 25?	3	$14	16	0	+16	Up	+$2	10-25 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12PM ET	3	$13	15	0	+15	Up	+$2	10-23 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11PM ET	3	$13	15	0	+15	Down	+$2	10-24 03:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8AM ET	3	$13	15	0	+15	Up	+$2	10-23 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12PM ET	3	$13	15	0	+15	Up	+$2	10-21 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11AM ET	3	$13	15	0	+15	Down	+$2	10-25 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	3	$13	15	0	+15	Up	-$13	10-27 03:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	3	$13	15	0	+15	Up	+$2	10-28 09:59
Ethereum Up or Down on October 25?	3	$13	16	0	+16	Up	+$2	10-24 23:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:07:37	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x67bde0…
10-30 06:20:12	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 30?	No	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x007ce4…
10-30 05:59:58	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x9c3678…
10-30 05:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe1336b…
10-30 05:44:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xb94742…
10-30 05:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0xd35235…
10-30 05:19:10	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa6c87e…
10-30 05:19:10	will ethereum dip to 2150 on october 30 2026	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9c6f37…
10-30 05:19:09	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on October 30?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x54d0d5…
10-30 05:19:09	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x3b25c3…
10-30 04:33:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xd0b328…
10-30 04:30:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xb11f05…
10-30 04:29:58	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x3e070d…
10-30 04:17:39	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xefdee0…
10-30 04:17:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb315cc…
10-30 04:17:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xa5f5bd…
10-30 04:17:39	will bitcoin reach 81k on october 30 2026	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x8b1ee9…
10-30 04:17:39	will bitcoin dip to 75k on october 30 2026	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x408bb7…
10-30 04:17:37	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6dce7c…
10-30 04:00:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xbd775c…
10-30 04:00:00	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa15224…
10-30 04:00:00	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x6f559f…
10-30 03:59:58	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xd5eabd…
10-30 03:45:00	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7d6b80…
10-30 03:45:00	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$5	0x661fb2…
10-30 03:45:00	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x1c7945…
10-30 03:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xa1badb…
10-30 03:44:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x3e1e25…
10-30 03:30:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x832275…
10-30 03:30:00	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x33b76b…
10-30 03:29:58	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xe1931c…
10-30 02:44:58	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xcc86b0…
10-30 02:30:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xba1385…
10-30 02:30:01	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x375503…
10-30 01:29:57	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x2cba76…
10-30 00:59:58	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd3d2d6…
10-30 00:59:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa82968…
10-30 00:59:57	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x9d58cc…
10-30 00:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x3a9657…
10-30 00:29:58	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xeccfe4…
10-30 00:29:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x198ee7…
10-30 00:29:57	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x5a8a4c…
10-30 00:14:58	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6c2f56…
10-30 00:00:39	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x614c4d…
10-30 00:00:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x5dfe02…
10-30 00:00:39	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x3fcf0a…
10-30 00:00:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x081387…
10-30 00:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0xf00801…
10-30 00:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x13dba8…
10-29 23:59:58	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1107e5…
10-29 23:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xbbc3a6…
10-29 22:59:58	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x21fe9e…
10-29 22:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x89596a…
10-29 22:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0f65ec…
10-29 22:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x08bc4a…
10-29 22:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xb4db59…
10-29 22:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd7d166…
10-29 22:03:22	XRP Up or Down on October 30?	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc8303c…
10-29 22:02:28	XRP Up or Down on October 30?	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x08cc20…
10-29 22:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf71567…
10-29 22:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down on October 30?	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x473fbf…
10-29 21:29:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xd46a61…
10-29 21:29:57	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8f9be9…
10-29 21:14:57	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xb8e418…
10-29 21:14:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x729328…
10-29 20:44:58	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x99e0fa…
10-29 20:44:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x6eb20e…
10-29 20:44:57	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb7b71b…
10-29 20:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x60a1c0…
10-29 20:29:57	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x4acfb4…
10-29 20:15:12	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x6a42af…
10-29 20:15:00	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xdd597f…
10-29 20:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x94a600…
10-29 20:14:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xd9baa0…
10-29 20:14:57	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xbc9c9a…
10-29 20:00:37	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xccee93…
10-29 19:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xeea386…
10-29 19:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x075672…
10-29 19:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x7812bd…
10-29 19:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xd6934e…
10-29 19:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0xc0dea5…
10-29 19:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x50302e…
10-29 17:15:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0x0a6984…
10-29 16:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0xde6b32…
10-29 16:00:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xd3cb79…
10-29 16:00:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x0c2ebb…
10-29 15:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x975168…
10-29 15:59:58	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x089958…
10-29 15:53:20	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Yandex	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x215383…
10-29 13:30:47	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 29?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x593ecb…
10-29 13:29:59	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xdbdd58…
10-29 13:29:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc7f854…
10-29 13:29:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xa49901…
10-29 13:29:58	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x15cdfd…
10-29 13:25:26	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xddfc99…
10-29 12:44:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0xd4ae5b…
10-29 11:29:58	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x0e5f09…
10-29 11:00:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0xb01f9d…
10-29 10:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x45fae5…
10-29 10:29:58	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd9345f…