Disastrous-Fisherman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

290

Trades

290

lifetime

Volume

$3.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-03 17:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-14 07:32
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:07
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 10:01
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:47
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 07:59
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 05:18
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 10:30
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:32
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 10:40
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 01:38
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 15:17
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 04:14
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:31
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 05:49
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 12:26
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 04:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:19
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:14
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:53
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 6 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:40
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 08:53
highest temperature in lucknow on april 4 2026 35c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-04 13:43
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 3 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 12:27
highest temperature in los angeles on april 2 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 02:14
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 14:41
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 17:16:49	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x099ccc…
11-02 06:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf16daa…
10-31 15:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1822ec…
10-30 14:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed03d7…
10-29 17:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b8b06…
10-29 09:40:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1e354…
10-28 07:54:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x341a21…
10-27 09:20:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca13e1…
10-26 09:33:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x43b866…
10-24 11:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe47407…
10-22 10:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc89f8f…
10-20 07:43:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d4275…
10-19 09:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a1c59…
10-18 10:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x959937…
10-17 15:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x97d127…
10-16 10:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea44c7…
10-15 13:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75bd8c…
10-14 09:45:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa01cd…
10-13 09:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8eb609…
10-12 09:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x329ac5…
10-11 09:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7baafa…
10-08 12:28:56	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed002b…
10-07 15:42:20	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d97de…
10-06 15:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d1376…
10-05 06:26:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x753204…
10-03 09:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x555c9f…
10-02 13:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1b16d…
10-01 08:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f950d…
09-30 02:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C or below on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8df8eb…
09-28 09:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc77d8d…
09-27 09:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf85c6f…
09-25 16:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe06d6…
09-24 08:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x260394…
09-23 08:49:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5743d…
09-22 08:35:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5169b8…
09-21 09:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda1e4a…
09-20 05:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b5f84…
09-19 08:58:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21cc69…
09-18 07:46:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4c637…
09-17 04:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x128ae6…
09-16 08:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e4be8…
09-15 10:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d5852…
09-14 09:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b56ca…
09-13 02:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd671e4…
09-11 09:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13c6dc…
09-10 08:43:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16d0e7…
09-09 02:39:21	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a33d5…
09-08 06:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f72e0…
09-07 08:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6490f4…
09-06 16:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1693fa…
09-06 10:43:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x74d431…
09-05 01:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4abb5a…
09-04 01:00:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40cf40…
09-02 07:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f07a3…
08-30 09:30:25	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7962f…
08-29 09:44:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49b475…
08-28 08:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9dce01…
08-27 09:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6cae67…
08-26 08:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5db8a2…
08-25 09:42:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f37fc…
08-24 14:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd82b6f…
08-23 15:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x878782…
08-22 09:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf9a423…
08-21 07:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53c088…
08-20 09:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb2b78…
08-18 08:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe26916…
08-17 08:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7175c6…
08-16 14:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79499a…
08-15 10:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc99c58…
08-14 06:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc5b21e…
08-13 09:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd71dff…
08-12 09:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f1c65…
08-11 07:02:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1dfab1…
08-10 08:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdef29f…
08-09 06:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x429750…
08-08 07:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf02e8…
08-07 07:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x108115…
08-06 07:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb78bc2…
08-05 08:03:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e597f…
08-04 08:27:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8c11e…
08-03 07:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5e05f…
08-02 06:34:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde6c09…
08-01 07:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50f54a…
07-31 13:51:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe157a5…
07-30 07:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdafc27…
07-29 07:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6af745…
07-28 07:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd620b1…
07-27 09:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x142c87…
07-26 07:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb1131c…
07-25 09:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39ceb7…
07-24 13:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb40783…
07-23 08:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd57496…
07-22 02:10:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5638da…
07-21 09:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb5995…
07-21 00:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d93e3…
07-20 08:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9826e3…
07-18 23:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e467d…
07-18 05:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea62dd…
07-17 07:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85f03e…
07-15 22:17:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2d90e…