Harmless-Hourglass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$144

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.8%

Resolved

6,246

Trades

8,510

lifetime

Volume

$33.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-30

last 10-28 07:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 86% +$150

Other

0% 74% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 20:00 UTC	2	$40	33	18	+14	Down	-$3	07-01 20:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 16:00 UTC	4	$39	45	0	+45	Down	+$5	08-04 16:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 16:45 UTC	3	$37	39	8	+31	Up	-$2	08-03 16:56
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 22:30 UTC	2	$35	39	0	+39	Down	+$4	08-16 22:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 16:00 UTC	1	$34	39	0	+39	Up	+$5	08-07 16:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 16:00 UTC	3	$33	23	19	+4	Up	-$5	08-06 16:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 18:00 UTC	4	$33	37	0	+37	Up	+$4	08-13 18:06
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 08:15 UTC	1	$33	36	0	+36	Down	+$4	08-04 08:21
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 17:50 UTC	2	$32	21	15	+6	Up	$0	06-16 17:54
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 07:00 UTC	5	$31	34	0	+34	Down	+$3	08-13 07:05
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 17:15 UTC	2	$31	20	14	+6	Up	+$0	06-16 17:19
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 19:00 UTC	2	$30	34	0	+34	Down	+$3	07-20 19:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 14:00 UTC	1	$29	33	0	+33	Up	+$3	07-28 14:08
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 16:30 UTC	1	$29	32	0	+32	Up	+$3	08-14 16:36
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 16:45 UTC	15	$29	31	9	+21	Up	-$26	08-05 16:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 09:15 UTC	2	$29	32	0	+32	Up	+$3	08-13 09:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 18:15 UTC	2	$29	32	0	+32	Down	+$4	06-26 18:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 19:00 UTC	3	$29	32	1	+31	Up	-$29	08-21 19:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 08:15 UTC	1	$29	31	0	+31	Down	+$3	08-03 08:20
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 16:30 UTC	1	$28	31	0	+31	Down	+$3	08-03 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$28	32	0	+32	Up	+$4	07-20 16:54
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 20:00 UTC	2	$28	32	3	+30	Down	-$27	06-26 20:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 07:15 UTC	28	$28	30	11	+19	Up	-$25	07-17 07:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 17:45 UTC	3	$28	32	0	+32	Down	+$4	07-02 17:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 16:00 UTC	1	$28	33	0	+33	Down	+$5	06-26 16:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 19:15 UTC	2	$28	31	0	+31	Up	+$3	07-04 19:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 07:30 UTC	2	$28	32	0	+32	Down	+$4	07-27 07:35
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 09:00 UTC	2	$28	31	0	+31	Up	+$3	07-29 09:07
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 19:00 UTC	2	$27	31	0	+31	Down	+$4	06-28 19:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 12:30 UTC	2	$27	30	0	+30	Down	+$3	06-29 12:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 07:21:34	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xa6cd93…
10-28 01:04:06	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x24df13…
10-27 22:26:14	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x4966fd…
10-27 20:54:17	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $149 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xa92d55…
10-27 19:53:11	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x318f2e…
10-27 17:14:59	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x791128…
10-26 16:02:02	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xbf6e2a…
10-26 16:02:00	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xed07a1…
10-26 16:02:00	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x0cbd45…
10-26 16:01:59	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x21c207…
10-26 06:37:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xae5507…
10-26 06:17:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xd0e2dd…
10-22 10:32:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xcde4fa…
10-22 02:08:17	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $59 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xa0eb88…
10-22 00:12:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xddc64b…
10-21 23:51:57	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xaa0a46…
10-21 23:26:42	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0xe10391…
10-21 19:52:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x152d1d…
10-21 18:35:08	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xf26add…
10-02 05:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1b9a0e…
10-02 05:42:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x5f0f6b…
10-02 05:06:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x998fb0…
10-02 05:05:14	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4c0974…
10-02 04:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xecc5b3…
10-02 04:37:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x56d55e…
10-02 04:36:18	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xcf504f…
10-02 04:10:11	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x835b86…
10-02 03:42:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x392957…
10-02 02:23:03	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf42925…
10-02 02:12:39	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd303c6…
10-02 01:07:30	XRP Up or Down - October 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3d96a0…
10-02 00:56:30	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4fd27e…
10-02 00:44:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x0f7a5b…
10-02 00:39:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xcbc090…
10-02 00:26:50	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xdeb28a…
10-02 00:26:50	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x152902…
10-02 00:25:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2569b4…
10-02 00:24:05	XRP Up or Down - October 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa94eed…
10-01 23:24:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x220872…
10-01 22:56:42	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x142cd5…
10-01 22:12:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa6faa4…
10-01 21:50:18	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0x61b669…
10-01 21:47:11	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2979db…
10-01 21:11:36	XRP Up or Down - October 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbdaad3…
10-01 20:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x677827…
10-01 20:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4e1865…
10-01 20:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0xc2ce91…
10-01 19:41:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x9e257d…
10-01 18:54:08	XRP Up or Down - October 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x9d84ee…
10-01 18:51:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x9b12b3…
10-01 18:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x5910b7…
10-01 18:12:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0xef058e…
10-01 18:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x916f17…
10-01 18:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x2f4cd9…
10-01 18:12:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0xa80491…
10-01 18:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0xe044cf…
10-01 18:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xb74d31…
10-01 18:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x47eaf5…
10-01 18:07:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc6f0cb…
10-01 18:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x2ee64f…
10-01 16:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xe34aac…
10-01 15:10:29	XRP Up or Down - October 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x90a0a5…
10-01 15:10:27	XRP Up or Down - October 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x9a2444…
10-01 15:09:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x81ecfc…
10-01 14:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x130108…
10-01 14:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x4c5a4f…
10-01 14:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x139909…
10-01 14:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa21b18…
10-01 14:12:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa1438e…
10-01 14:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$7	0x5ee208…
10-01 12:40:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x354d46…
10-01 12:37:27	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x863c0c…
10-01 11:33:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x026b11…
10-01 11:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2e1be5…
10-01 11:09:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xb6ac6c…
10-01 10:57:48	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0x65dde3…
10-01 10:38:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xea59f7…
10-01 10:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x35a345…
10-01 09:53:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa16ca8…
10-01 09:53:09	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2efedf…
10-01 08:56:39	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0x028fd3…
10-01 08:55:56	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x4f7d9c…
10-01 08:42:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 08:30 UTC	Down	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0xa144e4…
10-01 08:42:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 08:30 UTC	Down	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x2332ee…
10-01 08:41:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 08:30 UTC	Down	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x76cede…
10-01 08:41:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 08:30 UTC	Down	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x99df34…
10-01 08:41:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 08:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xeaeeff…
10-01 08:39:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 08:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x952d68…
10-01 08:35:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x466290…
10-01 06:23:41	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd198e5…
10-01 06:09:30	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x12ba0a…
10-01 06:09:17	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb7f80b…
10-01 05:38:00	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x09881c…
10-01 04:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x601d1c…
10-01 04:24:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x775972…
10-01 03:55:44	Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xafd024…
10-01 03:02:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x978308…
10-01 02:39:35	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x1431f6…
10-01 02:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xdb0aca…
10-01 01:24:32	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x370dcd…