Avaricious-Mule — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.62K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.6%

Resolved

779

Trades

1,791

lifetime

Volume

$37.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-26

last 10-29 01:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 43% -$1,431

Politics

6% 22% -$114

Other

1% 47% -$64

Sports

0% 41% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	7	$2.1K	4,135	4,135	+0	No	-$113	06-12 02:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	5	$483	843	663	+180	Down	+$107	10-23 22:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:50 UTC	5	$371	458	444	+14	Up	+$33	10-16 22:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 00:50 UTC	8	$335	306	306	+0	Up	+$155	06-20 00:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 02:15 UTC	4	$319	723	723	+0	Down	+$41	06-21 02:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 00:40 UTC	4	$307	426	426	+0	Up	+$63	06-20 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$304	433	408	+25	Up	+$71	09-01 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 00:45 UTC	4	$304	481	481	+0	Up	+$16	06-21 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	5	$281	308	294	+14	Down	+$20	10-17 22:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 04:30 UTC	4	$277	326	326	+0	Up	+$21	06-21 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	3	$272	373	373	+0	Up	+$132	10-24 01:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 00:55 UTC	5	$255	411	289	+122	Down	+$21	07-12 00:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 00:40 UTC	4	$249	309	309	+0	Down	+$36	06-21 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	3	$249	384	168	+216	Down	-$67	10-24 02:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 00:30 UTC	3	$237	349	297	+52	Up	+$31	06-20 00:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:00 UTC	5	$234	265	260	+5	Down	+$77	06-21 01:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 01:50 UTC	5	$232	295	275	+19	Down	+$42	07-27 01:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:05 UTC	1	$227	587	0	+587	Down	-$227	10-16 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$226	623	0	+623	Down	-$226	10-24 03:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 22:50 UTC	8	$223	332	332	+0	Up	+$49	06-20 22:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 04:25 UTC	3	$210	230	173	+57	Up	+$12	08-31 04:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 03:15 UTC	4	$210	224	224	+0	Up	+$35	06-21 03:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:45 UTC	2	$206	244	244	+0	Up	+$74	10-16 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	5	$199	379	329	+50	Down	+$7	10-10 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 22:30 UTC	5	$196	250	200	+50	Up	+$42	06-20 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 02:10 UTC	6	$195	240	229	+11	Down	+$37	07-27 02:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 04:20 UTC	4	$193	185	185	+0	Down	+$4	08-31 04:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 00:20 UTC	7	$189	339	239	+100	Down	+$47	08-17 00:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 04:35 UTC	4	$188	326	306	+20	Up	+$20	08-31 04:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 04:45 UTC	3	$186	301	207	+95	Down	+$12	06-21 04:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 01:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0xb3f014…
10-29 01:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	69¢	$8	0x34e522…
10-29 01:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x177735…
10-29 01:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0xbd52ea…
10-29 01:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xab2668…
10-24 03:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	623	36¢	$226	0xa9fe66…
10-24 03:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x5ee672…
10-24 02:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	216	37¢	$80	0x512671…
10-24 02:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	168	54¢	$91	0xec38cf…
10-24 02:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	168	46¢	$78	0xeeea18…
10-24 02:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	133	30¢	$40	0x441d48…
10-24 02:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x3232b6…
10-24 02:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xf7cd86…
10-24 02:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	123	31¢	$38	0x34c4fd…
10-24 02:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	115	24¢	$28	0x02c779…
10-24 02:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x56e070…
10-24 02:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x100bc1…
10-24 02:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x2b3ce8…
10-24 02:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	68	61¢	$42	0x917825…
10-24 02:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	68	28¢	$19	0xd80451…
10-24 02:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x25ae7f…
10-24 02:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x703057…
10-24 02:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x86c86e…
10-24 02:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x3d076d…
10-24 02:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x53aa2a…
10-24 02:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8efe37…
10-24 02:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x0f7c13…
10-24 02:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	37	70¢	$26	0xff695e…
10-24 02:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	30¢	$11	0xa7f5d2…
10-24 02:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	110	10¢	$11	0x78d5cc…
10-24 02:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	136	55¢	$75	0x0fe2b5…
10-24 02:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0xd12512…
10-24 02:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x6f2346…
10-24 02:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xb136c0…
10-24 01:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfaeedf…
10-24 01:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x359ea8…
10-24 01:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	285	32¢	$90	0x8d637e…
10-24 01:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	32	46¢	$15	0x7c1fe0…
10-24 01:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x1dd6e1…
10-24 01:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	40	69¢	$28	0xe78519…
10-24 01:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xb7e0d1…
10-24 01:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x71139c…
10-24 01:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x6df03c…
10-24 01:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	86	7¢	$6	0x284012…
10-24 01:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x0857df…
10-24 01:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	16¢	$6	0x537a81…
10-24 01:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	187	85¢	$159	0xf57f1a…
10-24 01:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	187	24¢	$44	0x9f7d29…
10-24 01:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	373	19¢	$70	0x191b2c…
10-24 01:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	77	43¢	$33	0xd8eb13…
10-24 01:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x8615a5…
10-23 22:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	136	90¢	$122	0x7f70ba…
10-23 22:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	136	47¢	$63	0x97e429…
10-23 22:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	237	28¢	$66	0x031e53…
10-23 22:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x994b79…
10-23 22:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	180	8¢	$15	0xeaba00…
10-23 22:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	403	47¢	$188	0xf0e248…
10-23 22:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	403	24¢	$97	0x79fffa…
10-23 22:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	259	41¢	$106	0x4c1b08…
10-23 22:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	259	29¢	$76	0xfe0adc…
10-23 22:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	357	17¢	$61	0x33fbc7…
10-23 22:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	245	31¢	$76	0xe02c18…
10-23 22:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0x9f9c70…
10-23 22:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	173	57¢	$99	0x38300e…
10-23 22:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	173	40¢	$69	0xcf89b8…
10-23 22:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	176	17¢	$30	0x4eb4b9…
10-23 22:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0x2d52fb…
10-23 22:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x801fb5…
10-23 22:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8ae398…
10-23 22:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x9eb3f2…
10-23 22:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xe78749…
10-23 22:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	206	25¢	$51	0x8b2985…
10-23 22:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	206	16¢	$33	0x788518…
10-23 21:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xc7d8ff…
10-23 21:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xb10605…
10-23 21:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	141	45¢	$63	0xd971f8…
10-23 21:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	141	29¢	$41	0xc6ef3d…
10-23 21:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	42	81¢	$34	0xa43ad6…
10-23 21:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	42	45¢	$19	0x0a3c6a…
10-23 21:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	47	43¢	$20	0xec640f…
10-23 21:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	47	15¢	$7	0x822714…
10-23 21:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	51	95¢	$49	0x88a60b…
10-23 21:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	51	35¢	$18	0xe044dd…
10-23 21:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	63	59¢	$37	0x5960aa…
10-23 21:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	63	49¢	$31	0x111ef6…
10-23 21:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	67	27¢	$18	0x9d8f19…
10-23 21:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0xe7ba10…
10-23 21:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	21	85¢	$18	0x8a8a23…
10-23 21:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x4042c0…
10-18 00:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	95	39¢	$37	0x6ed139…
10-18 00:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	64	11¢	$7	0x1aac6c…
10-18 00:21:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 00:20 UTC	Up	SELL	105	46¢	$48	0x2c7eea…
10-18 00:19:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	105	45¢	$47	0x8a3aef…
10-18 00:16:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xa28ee6…
10-18 00:15:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	87	61¢	$53	0xf04e6e…
10-18 00:14:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	87	52¢	$45	0xb201d6…
10-18 00:13:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0x786b0c…
10-18 00:08:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x0e5217…
10-18 00:07:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 00:05 UTC	Down	SELL	33	52¢	$17	0xc001db…
10-18 00:06:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	33	18¢	$6	0x341fdc…