Key-Salsa — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$343

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 07-08 20:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

47% — —

Other

39% — —

Crypto

11% 29% $-13

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	3	$35	1,090	0	+1,090	open	—	02-02 12:51
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	01-26 13:07
ukraine hits moscow by january 31	2	$20	339	339	+0	open	—	02-02 12:52
will the us strike somalia next 656	1	$19	61	0	+61	open	—	01-19 21:08
us downs another iranian drone by february 28	2	$18	15	15	+0	open	—	03-01 06:32
will russia enter zaliznychne by january 31	1	$18	150	0	+150	open	—	01-28 07:05
will trump meet with friedrich merz in january 2026	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	01-22 20:42
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$13	2,350	0	+2,350	open	—	02-02 22:09
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	03-05 09:29
btc updown 5m 1776233400	2	$11	11	10	+1	open	—	04-15 06:15
will trump say hell 2 times during newsnation interview	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	01-22 09:32
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in february	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	02-23 06:34
will trump say no no no this week february 8	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	02-05 06:15
will trump say olympics during newsnation interview	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	01-20 20:20
will trump say china or tariff or border 10 times during newsnation interview	1	$10	43	0	+43	open	—	01-20 20:14
will trump say no no no this week february 1	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	01-26 21:50
will trump say cocaine or kingpin this week february 1	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	01-26 21:50
nothing ever happens january 581	1	$9	13	0	+13	open	—	01-24 08:01
will trump say central casting this week february 1	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	01-28 22:21
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$5	14	14	+0	open	—	04-15 06:16
will iran strike uae again in march	1	$5	50	0	+50	open	—	04-05 19:40
will trump say nobel or medal during newsnation interview	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	01-20 20:16
will trump say killing or execution during newsnation interview	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	01-21 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	4	$4	112	0	+112	Up	$-4	05-13 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	4	$4	8	0	+8	Up	$-4	05-12 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	4	$4	233	0	+233	Up	$-4	05-12 20:19
will trump say armada this week february 8	1	$4	9	0	+9	open	—	02-04 20:46
us x iran meeting by march 15 2026	1	$3	18	0	+18	open	—	03-02 17:13
will trump say bidens war this week february 8	1	$3	11	0	+11	open	—	02-05 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	3	$3	22	0	+22	Down	$-3	05-13 06:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 20:24:02	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x714eaa…
07-08 20:19:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8b8d81…
05-13 12:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0xe9e54c…
05-13 12:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x17d914…
05-13 12:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x24bfc5…
05-13 12:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x098c84…
05-13 12:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf5a787…
05-13 06:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x0181ab…
05-13 06:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5c15d0…
05-13 06:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9243f8…
05-13 06:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4cea1b…
05-13 06:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdcde51…
05-12 20:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd8c85a…
05-12 20:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x232596…
05-12 20:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2ba59c…
05-12 20:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2110b8…
05-12 20:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x52296b…
05-12 20:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8eef73…
05-12 20:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x16a72c…
05-12 20:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4b6c0d…
05-12 20:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x39a7df…
04-26 17:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa88b14…
04-25 09:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x748f57…
04-20 20:19:34	btc updown 5m 1776716100	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe919a6…
04-17 21:13:52	btc updown 5m 1776460200	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4596a1…
04-16 20:59:32	btc updown 5m 1776372900	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4dc1e3…
04-15 20:54:38	btc updown 5m 1776286200	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1bd99b…
04-15 06:19:10	btc updown 5m 1776233700	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x19382b…
04-15 06:16:18	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xb3be77…
04-15 06:15:20	btc updown 5m 1776233400	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x29b1de…
04-15 06:14:06	btc updown 5m 1776233400	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x894cdc…
04-07 21:34:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x3e2b82…
04-05 19:40:57	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xece930…
03-05 09:29:13	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	SELL	9	82¢	$8	0x004ae5…
03-02 17:13:17	us x iran meeting by march 15 2026	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x468f6c…
03-01 21:08:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xba5143…
03-01 06:32:43	us downs another iranian drone by february 28	Yes	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x5486eb…
02-23 06:37:06	will trump say million or billion or trillion 15 times during the 2026 state of the union address 296	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x13c690…
02-23 06:36:56	will trump say job 20 times during the 2026 state of the union address 563	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe0436a…
02-23 06:36:52	will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbaf996…
02-23 06:36:18	will trump say too late during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x48be13…
02-23 06:36:10	will trump say nobel or peace prize during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6c7c07…
02-23 06:35:50	will trump say the state of the union is strong during the 2026 state of the union address 924	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xacd387…
02-23 06:35:32	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during the 2026 state of the union address 556	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4bfade…
02-23 06:34:40	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in february	No	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x1780c8…
02-16 20:12:39	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xaa74d3…
02-13 06:12:33	us strike on somalia by february 7 553	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd9e66e…
02-09 21:29:59	will there be 5 or fewer us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x3021c6…
02-08 22:34:39	btc updown 15m 1770589800	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x348c30…
02-08 07:43:15	us downs another iranian drone by february 28	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xdc8aa6…
02-05 06:19:39	will trump say bidens war this week february 8	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x899456…
02-05 06:19:15	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in february	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x4ae057…
02-05 06:15:57	will trump say no no no this week february 8	Yes	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x055598…
02-04 20:46:45	will trump say no no no this week february 8	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x10ea83…
02-04 20:46:27	will trump say armada this week february 8	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xbe282b…
02-02 22:09:30	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xaebdce…
02-02 17:20:00	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xb14cbe…
02-02 12:52:12	ukraine hits moscow by january 31	Yes	SELL	339	0¢	$0	0x092db4…
02-02 12:51:40	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0x9102a3…
02-01 22:30:58	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x5ba758…
02-01 20:03:36	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	476	4¢	$20	0x821e1a…
02-01 14:01:36	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0x06ab75…
01-30 06:17:32	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x39e3b1…
01-28 22:21:46	will trump say central casting this week february 1	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd10382…
01-28 07:05:59	will russia enter zaliznychne by january 31	Yes	BUY	150	12¢	$18	0xf7bee2…
01-26 21:50:59	will trump say cocaine or kingpin this week february 1	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x841c0a…
01-26 21:50:49	will trump say no no no this week february 1	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xc2fad9…
01-26 14:15:57	ukraine hits moscow by january 31	Yes	BUY	339	6¢	$20	0x0d7abd…
01-26 13:07:55	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0x987ddb…
01-24 08:01:18	nothing ever happens january 581	Yes	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0xa51745…
01-23 21:13:10	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x2cd936…
01-22 20:42:26	will trump meet with friedrich merz in january 2026	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xcb9ee3…
01-22 09:35:08	will trump meet with friedrich merz in january 2026	No	BUY	8	78¢	$7	0xef19f8…
01-22 09:32:32	will trump say hell 2 times during newsnation interview	Yes	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0xf98411…
01-21 11:33:14	will trump say killing or execution during newsnation interview	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x2517af…
01-21 11:32:30	will trump say hell 2 times during newsnation interview	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xa33b6f…
01-20 20:20:12	will trump say olympics during newsnation interview	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x1a6fcd…
01-20 20:16:40	will trump say nobel or medal during newsnation interview	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x1cc78e…
01-20 20:14:20	will trump say china or tariff or border 10 times during newsnation interview	No	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x3e67e8…
01-19 21:08:14	will the us strike somalia next 656	No	BUY	61	31¢	$19	0x8b66c6…