Granular-Villa — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 09-08 05:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

52% 100% +$4

Other

48% 12% +$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	2	$861	450	450	+0	No	+$0	07-21 05:54
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	1	$359	390	0	+390	Yes	-$359	06-02 06:28
will russia capture stavky by july 31	2	$353	196	196	+0	No	-$4	07-02 11:32
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	10	$135	1,260	1,260	+0	No	+$4	05-18 07:49
Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)	2	$111	1,391	0	+1,391	Pharco FC	-$111	05-18 07:54
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?	4	$86	1,223	1,223	+0	No	+$0	05-15 07:23
Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5)	2	$72	1,438	0	+1,438	Beşiktaş JK	-$72	05-15 07:26
spl ith neo 2026 04 07 spread away 1pt5	4	$54	340	340	+0	Al Ittihad Saudi Club	+$0	04-08 05:35
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	4	$21	579	579	+0	No	-$1	04-08 07:43
Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	5	$21	576	576	+0	No	-$5	04-07 08:13
j2100 tsc van 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	2	$17	585	0	+585	Vanraure Hachinohe FC	+$568	04-08 07:45
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	09-08 05:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 05:42:46	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x42a38f…
07-21 05:54:51	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	SELL	450	96¢	$431	0x257b5b…
07-21 02:22:01	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	450	96¢	$430	0x9d12cd…
07-02 11:32:14	will russia capture stavky by july 31	No	SELL	196	89¢	$174	0x268050…
07-02 09:20:50	will russia capture stavky by july 31	No	BUY	196	91¢	$178	0xb2fe3f…
06-02 06:28:19	Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	No	BUY	390	92¢	$359	0xf2a9d3…
05-18 07:54:15	Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)	Tala'ea El Gaish SC	BUY	611	8¢	$49	0xc4c976…
05-18 07:53:31	Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)	Tala'ea El Gaish SC	BUY	780	8¢	$62	0xd00a21…
05-18 07:49:38	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	169	6¢	$9	0xa147bc…
05-18 07:49:12	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	212	5¢	$12	0x6ca252…
05-18 07:49:00	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	107	6¢	$6	0xa7ca19…
05-18 07:48:51	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	107	5¢	$6	0xe79693…
05-18 07:48:44	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	142	6¢	$8	0x17a0c0…
05-18 07:48:35	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	189	6¢	$10	0xf859f0…
05-18 07:48:21	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	143	5¢	$8	0xedb272…
05-18 07:48:13	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	191	6¢	$10	0x366079…
05-18 06:04:09	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	690	5¢	$36	0xef8b94…
05-18 06:03:51	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	570	5¢	$30	0x37bb06…
05-15 07:26:08	Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5)	Çaykur Rizespor	BUY	716	5¢	$36	0x587bae…
05-15 07:25:46	Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5)	Çaykur Rizespor	BUY	722	5¢	$36	0x80b986…
05-15 07:23:40	Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	511	4¢	$18	0x46874b…
05-15 07:23:26	Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	712	4¢	$25	0x925729…
05-15 05:47:25	Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	690	3¢	$24	0x37950c…
05-15 05:47:12	Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	533	4¢	$19	0xe5d5ef…
04-08 07:45:05	j2100 tsc van 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	Vanraure Hachinohe FC	BUY	375	3¢	$11	0xf4e72e…
04-08 07:44:39	j2100 tsc van 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	Vanraure Hachinohe FC	BUY	210	3¢	$6	0x3f696b…
04-08 07:43:07	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	SELL	371	2¢	$7	0x078004…
04-08 07:42:49	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	SELL	208	2¢	$4	0x070aa2…
04-08 05:38:47	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	371	2¢	$7	0xb7b887…
04-08 05:38:23	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	208	2¢	$4	0x61572e…
04-08 05:35:29	spl ith neo 2026 04 07 spread away 1pt5	NEOM SC	SELL	104	8¢	$8	0x3d3ba8…
04-08 05:35:13	spl ith neo 2026 04 07 spread away 1pt5	NEOM SC	SELL	236	8¢	$19	0xce52a0…
04-07 08:30:39	spl ith neo 2026 04 07 spread away 1pt5	NEOM SC	BUY	104	8¢	$8	0x68581f…
04-07 08:30:27	spl ith neo 2026 04 07 spread away 1pt5	NEOM SC	BUY	236	8¢	$19	0x573871…
04-07 08:13:51	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	157	1¢	$2	0x26f68e…
04-07 08:13:39	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	369	1¢	$5	0x2fb03b…
04-07 08:13:15	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x3f49a0…
04-03 08:24:27	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	369	2¢	$8	0xbaa100…
04-03 08:24:13	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	207	2¢	$5	0xdc8e1f…