Firsthand-Clay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$75

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

106

lifetime

Volume

$1.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 06-25 13:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

75% 0% $-71

Crypto

16% 0% $-4

Sports

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$216	143	115	+28	open	—	06-01 15:52
wti closes above 72 on june 18 2026	2	$182	92	92	+0	open	—	06-18 22:34
will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	4	$157	98	98	+0	open	—	06-12 00:02
will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	7	$106	65	65	+0	open	—	06-10 14:18
wti closes above 74 on june 17 2026	2	$103	54	54	+0	open	—	06-17 21:29
will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	3	$81	44	44	+0	open	—	06-10 17:21
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	4	$63	115	0	+115	Lucknow Super Giants	$-63	05-07 14:46
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	4	$60	68	34	+34	open	—	06-06 15:25
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	2	$51	5	99	-94	open	—	06-11 03:24
mlb sea bal 2026 06 10	1	$50	53	0	+53	open	—	06-11 00:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$47	29	29	+0	open	—	05-29 20:38
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	2	$44	157	10	+147	open	—	06-11 03:25
will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	2	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	06-06 15:24
mlb phi tor 2026 06 10	1	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	06-11 00:37
will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	2	$39	24	24	+0	open	—	06-06 15:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$30	18	18	+0	open	—	05-07 14:07
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?	4	$26	17	26	-10	open	—	06-01 15:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-07 14:07
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	2	$20	34	0	+34	open	—	05-01 02:07
wti closes above 98 on june 8 2026	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	06-08 20:27
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	1	$15	0	18	-18	open	—	06-10 14:17
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	3	$11	32	32	+0	open	—	06-11 03:27
wti closes above 91 on june 9 2026	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	06-09 13:37
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings	1	$8	15	0	+15	Sunrisers Hyderabad	$-8	05-06 01:57
will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	2	$8	9	9	+0	open	—	06-11 03:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	04-29 14:10
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	3	$7	12	0	+12	open	—	04-30 12:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	5	$6	10	8	+2	open	—	04-29 23:43
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	05-03 20:04
btc updown 5m 1781226300	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	06-12 01:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 13:07:13	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	150	1¢	$1	0x5da57e…
06-18 22:34:55	wti closes above 72 on june 18 2026	Yes	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0xcec387…
06-18 17:11:05	wti closes above 72 on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0xaa8572…
06-17 21:29:11	wti closes above 74 on june 17 2026	Yes	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xf6a01c…
06-17 13:49:10	wti closes above 74 on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	54	90¢	$49	0x127ffe…
06-12 01:10:01	btc updown 5m 1781226300	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xfa96de…
06-12 00:02:18	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	Yes	SELL	67	93¢	$62	0x136ec2…
06-11 03:27:51	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x7cf9cd…
06-11 03:27:22	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	32	2¢	$1	0xf5aa59…
06-11 03:27:18	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	Yes	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x76f55c…
06-11 03:25:52	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	157	28¢	$44	0xfa6204…
06-11 03:24:09	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	SELL	99	46¢	$46	0xc351fe…
06-11 03:10:34	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc1a57a…
06-11 00:37:07	mlb phi tor 2026 06 10	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x6c5535…
06-11 00:31:01	mlb sea bal 2026 06 10	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x1c76d1…
06-10 18:32:03	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	Yes	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x11fa3b…
06-10 17:21:36	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	No	SELL	44	93¢	$41	0x6687bf…
06-10 14:18:46	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	SELL	61	86¢	$52	0xfb746d…
06-10 14:18:34	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	Yes	SELL	31	78¢	$24	0xa31152…
06-10 14:17:46	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	18	86¢	$15	0xea8311…
06-09 13:37:27	wti closes above 91 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x6f5ce2…
06-09 04:00:51	wta boulter fernand 2026 06 08	Leylah Fernandez	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x426836…
06-08 22:31:45	wta boulter fernand 2026 06 08	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xbfa349…
06-08 20:27:40	wti closes above 98 on june 8 2026	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xb27431…
06-08 16:38:18	wti closes above 94 on june 8 2026	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x4de724…
06-08 16:38:10	wti closes above 88 on june 8 2026	No	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0x514a66…
06-06 15:33:12	wti closes above 94 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xcc7ea8…
06-06 15:32:52	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	SELL	1	78¢	$0	0x0738c0…
06-06 15:32:34	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x7a8316…
06-06 15:29:22	wti closes above 88 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa416ba…
06-06 15:28:57	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x4c3aa1…
06-06 15:25:12	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0x256f23…
06-06 15:24:37	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xbfedff…
06-06 15:23:51	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	No	SELL	24	79¢	$19	0xcecf70…
06-06 15:21:18	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0xbf4d19…
06-06 15:21:12	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x4af793…
06-05 19:44:37	wti closes above 98 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x0cb25a…
06-05 03:36:45	btc updown 5m 1780630500	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x763d3c…
06-05 00:22:31	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x4ef7cf…
06-05 00:21:07	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x849550…
06-01 15:52:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x8b211f…
06-01 15:52:27	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	17	63¢	$10	0xd04480…
06-01 15:52:22	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	19	34¢	$7	0xe23f4a…
06-01 03:16:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x6eaa4f…
06-01 03:16:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xe375de…
06-01 03:14:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x1971f9…
06-01 03:14:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x052b77…
06-01 03:14:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x4b91ff…
06-01 03:13:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	115	88¢	$101	0x4576d6…
06-01 01:29:19	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9184fa…
06-01 01:29:12	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x9326a4…
06-01 01:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0xdf62a0…
06-01 01:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9d844f…
06-01 01:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xbd3230…
06-01 01:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa2342a…
06-01 00:55:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x00936f…
05-31 18:49:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x5cde91…
05-31 18:48:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x74b163…
05-31 16:56:22	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x6ddf62…
05-31 16:55:54	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xccd308…
05-31 16:55:47	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe52d26…
05-29 20:38:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	29	95¢	$27	0x48b57b…
05-28 15:27:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xc86b21…
05-28 15:07:00	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x20454a…
05-28 15:06:55	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	14	59¢	$8	0xe562aa…
05-07 14:46:42	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	Royal Challengers Bangalore	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x97381a…
05-07 14:46:19	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	Royal Challengers Bangalore	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x61d9c2…
05-07 14:44:13	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	Royal Challengers Bangalore	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x724ced…
05-07 14:07:46	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	Royal Challengers Bangalore	BUY	42	65¢	$27	0xa09bbb…
05-07 14:07:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x1b311b…
05-07 14:07:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	18	91¢	$16	0x495ad4…
05-06 01:57:14	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings	Punjab Kings	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xba06f8…
05-06 01:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xddae2e…
05-06 01:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6214ef…
05-06 01:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6a6d3f…
05-06 01:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xa64570…
05-06 01:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8ab007…
05-06 00:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe2b478…
05-06 00:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0xe63f25…
05-06 00:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa3ffc6…
05-06 00:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1ca6a0…
05-06 00:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xe16a76…
05-06 00:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6980f3…
05-06 00:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb4ffcb…
05-03 20:04:00	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings	Punjab Kings	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x697bd0…
05-01 23:15:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x9fd4c4…
05-01 21:51:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0x40d6eb…
05-01 21:50:16	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xfee754…
05-01 02:07:24	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xc320d5…
04-30 17:52:34	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xc678f0…
04-30 12:39:44	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6f4458…
04-30 12:39:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0xe9f7b1…
04-30 12:37:58	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x985c05…
04-30 00:05:18	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x957b2d…
04-29 23:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xea2047…
04-29 23:43:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x70c4e9…
04-29 20:41:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xdc594d…
04-29 20:40:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x46eead…
04-29 18:41:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7e0a1b…
04-29 18:40:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x6168e0…