Frayed-Grouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$161

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

704

Trades

1,036

lifetime

Volume

$1.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 07-13 20:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

97% 84% -$146

Politics

2% 0% -$10

Crypto

1% 50% -$4

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	5	$102	164	66	+98	open	—	07-11 13:37
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 16?	12	$101	147	147	+0	Yes	-$19	06-16 05:22
over 16m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325648	8	$88	220	92	+128	Yes	-$9	07-09 23:17
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 16?	9	$57	106	106	+0	Yes	-$21	06-16 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 10?	9	$52	74	41	+33	Yes	+$0	07-10 14:09
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 16?	7	$52	56	56	+0	Yes	+$4	06-16 05:26
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 12?	4	$52	70	68	+2	Yes	-$1	07-12 17:28
Will Mary Peltola win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?	2	$50	51	51	+0	Yes	-$10	07-13 07:03
Will Lisa Nandy be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?	2	$41	102	102	+0	No	-$19	07-13 20:28
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 8?	36	$33	20	20	+0	No	-$6	06-07 17:53
Will ISM Services PMI be below 50.0 in July?	2	$31	103	44	+59	No	-$29	07-13 20:28
Madrid Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Marton Fucsovics	11	$28	33	33	+1	Pablo Carreno Busta	-$1	04-23 11:25
Will Haley Thogmartin come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	2	$24	53	53	+0	No	-$22	07-10 18:35
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 16?	4	$20	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	06-16 06:58
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 16?	2	$14	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	06-16 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 16?	2	$11	10	10	+0	Yes	-$4	06-16 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 16?	2	$10	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-16 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 16?	3	$10	10	10	+0	No	$0	06-16 07:17
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 5?	10	$10	6	6	+0	No	-$1	06-04 19:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 17?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-16 18:01
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 17?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-16 18:01
Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?	3	$10	27	27	+0	Yes	-$1	07-09 00:20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 16?	2	$9	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	06-16 06:57
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16?	2	$9	10	6	+4	No	+$2	06-16 07:10
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 7?	6	$8	5	5	+0	No	-$2	06-07 20:20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 16?	2	$8	10	10	+0	No	$0	06-16 06:49
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 17?	2	$8	5	3	+2	No	+$0	06-16 18:01
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on June 6?	4	$7	4	4	+0	Yes	-$1	06-06 05:50
Pistons vs. Magic	4	$6	5	5	+0	Magic	$0	04-23 11:14
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 5?	5	$5	3	2	+1	No	$0	06-04 11:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 20:28:20	Will ISM Services PMI be below 50.0 in July?	Yes	SELL	44	3¢	$1	0x684445…
07-13 20:28:20	Will Lisa Nandy be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	11¢	$11	0x3fb167…
07-13 11:44:37	Will ISM Services PMI be below 50.0 in July?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0xfe4ed0…
07-13 11:31:52	Will Lisa Nandy be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	30¢	$30	0x36bdde…
07-13 07:03:31	Will Mary Peltola win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?	No	SELL	51	39¢	$20	0x7042ec…
07-13 05:48:53	Will Mary Peltola win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?	No	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x4f3fb5…
07-12 17:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 12?	No	SELL	19	81¢	$15	0x69ab69…
07-12 17:27:53	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 12?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0xdabfb2…
07-12 17:26:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 12?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x1977d1…
07-12 17:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 12?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x4c02a8…
07-11 13:37:31	Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	42¢	$14	0x0045ab…
07-10 18:35:32	Will Haley Thogmartin come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	SELL	53	1¢	$1	0x3234dc…
07-10 14:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 10?	No	SELL	17	43¢	$7	0x42a088…
07-10 14:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 10?	No	SELL	25	44¢	$11	0xb16ca4…
07-10 14:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 10?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$6	0x4309f0…
07-10 14:03:11	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 10?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x4ee802…
07-10 14:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 10?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x63ec4d…
07-10 14:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 10?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xfb8974…
07-10 14:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 10?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x6d4ca5…
07-10 13:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 10?	No	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x60cdc4…
07-10 13:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 10?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x4a4213…
07-10 12:16:14	Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	30¢	$10	0xac1ab6…
07-10 12:13:41	Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x9b4e61…
07-10 04:05:55	Will Haley Thogmartin come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	BUY	53	43¢	$23	0x7afa22…
07-09 23:17:07	over 16m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325648	No	SELL	29	5¢	$1	0x0dbd24…
07-09 23:16:55	over 16m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325648	No	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xfa40e7…
07-09 23:16:55	over 16m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325648	No	SELL	41	10¢	$4	0x00561f…
07-09 23:14:59	over 16m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325648	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x67e054…
07-09 20:50:04	over 16m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325648	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xeafbc8…
07-09 20:20:01	over 16m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325648	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x63e643…
07-09 19:49:59	over 16m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325648	Yes	BUY	24	86¢	$20	0xbf38c7…
07-09 19:19:58	over 16m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325648	No	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x1042d1…
07-09 13:42:29	Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	No	BUY	49	58¢	$28	0x98a275…
07-09 13:12:29	Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xcb475f…
07-09 00:20:47	Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x78383b…
07-09 00:19:55	Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xdb3434…
07-09 00:19:40	Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0xeb1b9a…
07-08 23:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1754f3…
06-19 05:52:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 19?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9119fd…
06-17 05:15:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x583cd1…
06-17 02:12:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 17?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x12ee24…
06-17 01:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 17?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x180542…
06-16 18:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 17?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xac9108…
06-16 18:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 17?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x1657d2…
06-16 18:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 17?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4eebe7…
06-16 16:03:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 17?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x012fad…
06-16 16:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 17?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa86cd6…
06-16 16:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 17?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5e0d08…
06-16 07:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 16?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x17eddd…
06-16 07:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 16?	No	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x0848fc…
06-16 07:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 16?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x670814…
06-16 07:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 16?	No	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x8efc89…
06-16 07:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 16?	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x250fdc…
06-16 07:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 16?	No	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x62db32…
06-16 07:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on June 16?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x70da7f…
06-16 07:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$1	0xbd084a…
06-16 07:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x8db219…
06-16 07:10:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16?	No	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x6e0430…
06-16 07:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 16?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf4178d…
06-16 07:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 16?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x4d33bb…
06-16 07:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on June 16?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0338fb…
06-16 07:05:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xf4b8a0…
06-16 07:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 16?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x108f87…
06-16 07:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on June 16?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xdef350…
06-16 06:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 16?	No	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x11b311…
06-16 06:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2c2f96…
06-16 06:57:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 16?	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x33c5a6…
06-16 06:56:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x26dda6…
06-16 06:55:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xdebc1a…
06-16 06:50:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x79e898…
06-16 06:50:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xddfd42…
06-16 06:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 16?	No	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xb76fc5…
06-16 06:49:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 16?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x866656…
06-16 06:45:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 16?	No	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xbe4d8e…
06-16 06:40:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 16?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x9acb44…
06-16 06:37:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2ec9dd…
06-16 06:36:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x7955d5…
06-16 06:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 16?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xc2515d…
06-16 06:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 16?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x737790…
06-16 06:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x50bd12…
06-16 06:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 16?	No	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x887424…
06-16 05:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 16?	No	SELL	29	50¢	$15	0xa86fe6…
06-16 05:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 16?	No	SELL	48	5¢	$2	0x3abafd…
06-16 05:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 16?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x1c9e14…
06-16 05:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 16?	No	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x752b9a…
06-16 05:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 16?	No	SELL	38	12¢	$5	0xe2be76…
06-16 05:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 16?	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xb1914d…
06-16 05:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 16?	No	SELL	7	51¢	$3	0x075316…
06-16 05:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 16?	No	SELL	37	12¢	$4	0xcec019…
06-16 05:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 16?	No	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xc0254e…
06-16 05:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 16?	No	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xb386bd…
06-16 05:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 16?	No	BUY	36	44¢	$16	0xe9ee32…
06-16 05:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 16?	No	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x740b05…
06-16 05:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 16?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x7cfa6c…
06-16 05:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 16?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x76d6e3…
06-16 05:03:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 16?	No	BUY	33	22¢	$7	0x3e477e…
06-16 05:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 16?	No	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0xaa6d6a…
06-16 05:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 16?	No	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xebf386…
06-16 05:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 16?	No	SELL	26	24¢	$6	0x017385…
06-16 04:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 16?	No	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0xd5bbf8…