Right-Disengagement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

Trades

159

lifetime

Volume

$792

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 06-01 23:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

57% 100% +$0

Other

28% 0% $-0

Sports

11% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	28	$102	52	52	+0	open	—	03-04 18:52
cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	6	$77	364	364	+0	open	—	02-12 20:49
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	5	$70	40	30	+10	open	—	05-01 00:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	52	$59	37	37	+0	open	—	02-18 11:42
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	15	$42	333	324	+9	open	—	04-25 12:55
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-09 17:11
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-05 23:17
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	3	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-16 21:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-09 18:39
UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)	3	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-26 00:28
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-02 14:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-17 21:21
ufc nat los 2026 03 21	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-21 19:36
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	03-26 21:07
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-10 13:45
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	02-16 21:34
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	7	$18	10	8	+2	Yes	$-0	05-02 13:08
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	05-16 14:15
UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 23:23
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 18:17
btc updown 5m 1770864600	1	$10	60	0	+60	open	—	02-12 02:53
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-01 23:59
ufc lou2 bra24 2026 03 21 totals 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-21 18:11
chess klagno amuzyc 2026 04 11 r11 draw	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-12 03:04
lal gir bar 2026 02 16 bar	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-16 21:52
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 16	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-17 01:38
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 7 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-08 01:59
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-11 23:04
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-21 15:59
ufc mar86 fel11 2026 03 21	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-21 20:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 23:59:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0a6be2…
05-16 14:15:18	Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7af6b2…
05-09 18:39:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc4179a…
05-09 18:34:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9522c0…
05-09 18:30:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6fae89…
05-02 13:08:56	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1c24b2…
05-02 13:08:48	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa7205b…
05-02 13:01:38	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7620a2…
05-02 12:53:00	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xe72b6f…
05-02 12:51:42	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x0610bb…
05-02 12:49:26	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x1a3d8c…
05-02 12:19:44	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x806216…
05-01 00:34:00	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa7c3ce…
04-30 22:00:40	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x506e12…
04-28 01:55:28	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf747d0…
04-28 01:55:24	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ea263…
04-28 01:55:10	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c61bc…
04-26 00:28:28	UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)	Eric McConico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d4074…
04-26 00:27:52	UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)	Eric McConico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x05b10e…
04-26 00:26:58	UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)	Eric McConico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9b2b4e…
04-25 23:23:10	UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Michelle Montague	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4bac29…
04-25 18:17:14	Manchester City FC leading at halftime?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb47bc3…
04-25 12:55:14	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	31	6¢	$2	0xfe5366…
04-25 12:55:08	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x677afa…
04-25 12:54:56	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x4469e8…
04-25 12:54:40	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x11dcf1…
04-25 12:54:22	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	82	7¢	$6	0xbfcc6f…
04-25 12:54:10	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0x2ddab6…
04-25 12:54:08	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	36	7¢	$3	0xadb14d…
04-25 12:54:06	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	44	7¢	$3	0xfabd5a…
04-25 12:53:50	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x31bef7…
04-25 12:53:48	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	36	7¢	$3	0xdca546…
04-25 12:53:44	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x0ec24b…
04-25 12:53:38	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	36	7¢	$3	0x8eb552…
04-25 12:53:34	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x929985…
04-25 12:52:24	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xac373a…
04-25 12:52:24	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x8fa81b…
04-21 15:59:40	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe28d0f…
04-17 21:21:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x84b4a5…
04-17 16:03:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe836c6…
04-16 21:54:50	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdfc3c2…
04-16 21:54:14	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeaa546…
04-16 21:54:04	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x15b7f1…
04-12 03:04:11	chess klagno amuzyc 2026 04 11 r11 draw	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdc8b32…
04-11 23:04:53	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa82084…
04-11 16:02:29	epl ars bou 2026 04 11 ars	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x596d08…
04-11 13:25:29	epl ars bou 2026 04 11 ars	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe3231c…
04-09 17:11:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4746d7…
04-09 17:10:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc38ea5…
04-09 17:10:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x814770…
04-09 17:10:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc77ad2…
04-05 23:17:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x37db5f…
04-05 23:16:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf359e2…
04-05 23:13:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1fdd32…
04-05 23:13:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfbe822…
04-02 14:35:49	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xfc8599…
04-02 14:35:15	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x117b48…
03-28 08:21:51	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01add7…
03-28 05:25:23	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1c46ec…
03-26 21:07:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xcb80f3…
03-26 21:07:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x3031b7…
03-21 20:07:09	ufc mar86 fel11 2026 03 21	Mario Pinto	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf20843…
03-21 19:36:43	ufc nat los 2026 03 21	Nathaniel Wood	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x377a58…
03-21 19:36:41	ufc nat los 2026 03 21	Nathaniel Wood	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x06fb89…
03-21 18:11:43	ufc lou2 bra24 2026 03 21 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8794f4…
03-17 01:38:25	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 16	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb320e0…
03-10 13:45:25	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbd59e8…
03-10 13:05:53	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x061f0b…
03-08 01:59:33	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 7 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd56d0e…
03-04 18:52:25	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbb5e35…
03-04 18:52:09	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x141230…
03-04 18:51:47	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xdabcf8…
03-04 18:47:33	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c7bd4…
03-04 18:40:13	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xde19da…
03-04 18:39:59	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdf6229…
03-04 18:39:49	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x690d82…
03-04 18:39:43	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8b65d9…
03-04 18:39:41	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9ac5ef…
03-04 18:39:39	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x395cca…
03-04 18:39:31	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x484f0f…
03-04 18:39:25	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6b28f2…
03-04 18:39:21	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1b697d…
03-04 18:39:15	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1c3fc0…
03-04 18:39:11	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x202229…
03-04 18:39:11	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x025934…
03-04 18:39:05	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x550c02…
03-04 18:39:03	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2330cd…
03-04 18:39:01	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf00cd1…
03-04 18:39:01	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3e34df…
03-04 18:38:55	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc9b2f0…
03-04 18:38:51	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc2e237…
03-04 18:38:49	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc9a519…
03-04 18:32:35	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcb05bf…
02-21 00:18:00	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xfe2a68…
02-21 00:16:58	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x1ca069…
02-21 00:15:58	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xbca615…
02-21 00:13:00	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xe8a9e6…
02-18 11:42:52	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	11	77¢	$9	0x96f85d…
02-18 11:25:34	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x28f21e…
02-18 11:23:36	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0xdad331…