Untrue-Butterfly — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$402

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.7%

Resolved

Trades

181

lifetime

Volume

$3.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 07-14 18:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

54% 32% -$202

Crypto

32% 47% -$5

Sports

11% 25% -$189

Politics

3% 0% -$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no release by march 1 585	2	$256	130	130	+0	No	+$1	02-25 12:11
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-09?	2	$192	100	100	+0	Yes	+$8	05-09 15:34
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?	2	$165	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	04-26 03:32
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	10	$156	181	170	+11	Yes	-$2	03-03 15:49
efa nor wba 2026 02 14 wba	1	$146	150	0	+150	No	+$5	02-14 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	10	$127	130	130	+0	Up	-$1	05-23 15:04
nba cle mil 2026 02 25	1	$100	130	0	+130	Bucks	-$100	02-25 13:36
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	4	$93	100	100	+0	No	-$5	03-03 13:49
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	4	$90	50	50	+0	No	-$1	05-23 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	8	$90	88	87	+1	Down	$0	05-23 14:59
will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	1	$90	92	0	+92	No	+$2	06-28 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	10	$90	180	0	+180	Down	+$0	05-13 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	9	$83	85	85	+0	Up	$0	05-23 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	7	$82	163	0	+163	Up	-$2	05-14 14:50
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	2	$79	50	50	+0	No	-$1	05-18 18:00
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	2	$78	50	50	+0	No	-$6	05-23 09:28
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	2	$60	50	50	+0	No	-$7	05-23 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	6	$60	120	0	+120	Up	+$0	05-13 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	10	$60	120	0	+120	Down	+$0	05-13 12:50
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals lamine yamal gte1	1	$54	200	0	+200	No	-$54	07-14 18:47
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$52	50	50	+0	Yes	-$5	05-13 09:22
nba nyk hou 2026 03 31	1	$51	100	0	+100	Rockets	-$51	03-31 14:36
nba cle lal 2026 03 31	1	$50	111	0	+111	Lakers	-$50	03-31 14:13
epl lee sun 2026 03 03 lee	1	$49	93	0	+93	No	-$49	03-03 17:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:10 UTC	9	$48	97	0	+97	Down	+$1	06-12 17:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:20 UTC	9	$47	94	0	+94	Down	+$0	06-12 17:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:05 UTC	2	$45	47	47	+0	Up	-$1	06-12 17:04
bl2 fcm ksc 2026 03 01 fcm	1	$44	50	0	+50	No	+$6	03-01 13:59
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	4	$41	60	60	+0	No	-$7	03-03 15:07
nba nyk phi 2026 02 11	1	$40	87	0	+87	Knicks	+$47	02-11 13:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 18:47:08	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0xb324f9…
07-02 16:30:40	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xb4576f…
06-28 15:20:41	will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0x629be6…
06-12 17:20:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$9	0x4f6270…
06-12 17:20:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x3e3957…
06-12 17:20:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x8f0185…
06-12 17:19:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x59c936…
06-12 17:19:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd31081…
06-12 17:19:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7ec687…
06-12 17:19:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5e9694…
06-12 17:19:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x06bab2…
06-12 17:19:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x8bc43f…
06-12 17:13:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xf62812…
06-12 17:13:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xf954af…
06-12 17:13:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x7d00ca…
06-12 17:13:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xf43aaf…
06-12 17:13:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb3f0da…
06-12 17:13:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe47e3b…
06-12 17:11:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	29	50¢	$14	0xda9418…
06-12 17:10:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x832055…
06-12 17:10:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0x4714e4…
06-12 17:10:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x206826…
06-12 17:10:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xea6727…
06-12 17:10:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xd9bc7a…
06-12 17:10:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x613115…
06-12 17:10:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4aebd0…
06-12 17:09:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb8e324…
06-12 17:09:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x9d781a…
06-12 17:04:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:05 UTC	Up	SELL	47	47¢	$22	0x627da5…
06-12 17:03:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	47	49¢	$23	0x23fff4…
06-12 15:49:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0xdb2472…
06-12 15:47:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	38	46¢	$17	0x7b1052…
06-12 15:43:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0xb4e7aa…
06-12 15:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0xc8e7c5…
06-12 15:41:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:40 UTC	Up	SELL	39	41¢	$16	0x411f99…
06-12 15:37:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	39	50¢	$20	0xa00fe9…
05-23 18:21:46	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	SELL	40	89¢	$36	0x3bb31e…
05-23 15:10:43	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x806dcb…
05-23 15:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0xe0ec40…
05-23 15:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	33	48¢	$16	0x414632…
05-23 15:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x9e70c4…
05-23 15:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	19	49¢	$9	0xf86882…
05-23 15:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xbb4dd0…
05-23 15:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x2cef13…
05-23 15:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x978ef3…
05-23 15:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x236ab8…
05-23 15:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	45	50¢	$22	0x6d7c85…
05-23 15:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	43	50¢	$22	0x329e0f…
05-23 15:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	43	50¢	$22	0xb83747…
05-23 15:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	25	48¢	$12	0xb21704…
05-23 15:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0x5af502…
05-23 15:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x5e9acd…
05-23 15:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	45	47¢	$21	0x13b690…
05-23 15:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	49¢	$13	0xa089da…
05-23 15:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xd94f4c…
05-23 15:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x897fe3…
05-23 15:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x80fa0c…
05-23 14:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	40	57¢	$23	0x64d4d3…
05-23 14:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x28241d…
05-23 14:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x66628e…
05-23 14:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x05d7b0…
05-23 14:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	30	47¢	$14	0x7d0437…
05-23 14:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0xcc3980…
05-23 14:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x39f18c…
05-23 14:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xfb4b0e…
05-23 11:58:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x5e91ba…
05-23 10:38:59	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0x79b063…
05-23 09:28:43	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	No	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0xb14b6f…
05-23 08:56:08	LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In	LNG Esports	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0xa6c5a5…
05-23 08:55:56	LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In	LNG Esports	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xb6eec0…
05-23 08:55:56	LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In	LNG Esports	BUY	11	77¢	$9	0x72fc88…
05-23 08:55:23	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0xb89e38…
05-22 21:42:25	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xe3be22…
05-22 21:34:59	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x10d1f7…
05-22 21:34:39	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x7acdb8…
05-19 07:30:17	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0x441e23…
05-19 04:33:43	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0xbc852a…
05-19 04:09:53	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xa1bf67…
05-19 03:01:08	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x994538…
05-18 23:15:11	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x492887…
05-18 23:03:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x0ae000…
05-18 18:00:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	No	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x1357c5…
05-18 17:58:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x8f8b79…
05-14 14:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x9d32cd…
05-14 14:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0xaffd7d…
05-14 14:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xdc6202…
05-14 14:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xcbdc77…
05-14 14:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0xa3b8a9…
05-14 14:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0xde6136…
05-14 14:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xfa42c4…
05-14 14:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0xf837b0…
05-14 14:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xed7655…
05-13 13:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x581db2…
05-13 13:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd89b8d…
05-13 13:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xd173b0…
05-13 13:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xac0cb4…
05-13 12:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x907276…
05-13 12:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x7d49bd…
05-13 12:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xf374a8…
05-13 12:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xb61b87…