Linear-Diet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$979

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

485

Trades

2,717

lifetime

Volume

$87.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-03-10

last 11-07 01:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 126 days

Categories

Other

79% 45% +$896

Crypto

21% 56% +$116

Sports

0% 40% -$33

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes		+117	$20	10¢	$12	-$8	11-07 01:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	6	$2.8K	1,832	1,832	+0	England	+$118	07-06 03:04
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	12	$1.6K	1,266	1,266	+0	Yes	+$160	06-26 06:59
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	5	$1.6K	933	933	+0	Switzerland	+$115	07-07 22:50
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	4	$1.4K	748	748	+0	Argentina	-$4	07-07 17:57
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	29	$1.4K	1,491	1,429	+63	No	-$124	09-22 15:34
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	2	$1.2K	691	691	+0	Belgium	+$159	07-07 01:33
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	23	$1.1K	2,146	2,146	+0	Yes	-$126	08-21 01:35
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	17	$1.0K	1,772	1,274	+498	No	-$73	07-10 06:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 19:20 UTC	6	$1.0K	684	678	+6	Up	+$23	03-12 19:25
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	32	$1.0K	1,791	1,791	+0	Yes	+$89	09-10 18:26
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	6	$1.0K	752	752	+0	Egypt	-$13	07-03 20:52
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	48	$1.0K	2,127	2,127	+0	No	-$44	10-01 19:18
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	16	$999	1,485	1,485	+0	No	+$9	08-17 03:36
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	4	$996	659	659	+0	Yes	+$94	07-04 22:33
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	19	$980	1,307	1,307	+0	Yes	-$1	06-30 14:14
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	15	$855	1,110	898	+212	No	+$97	06-23 15:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 18:50 UTC	8	$798	535	529	+5	Up	+$54	03-12 18:54
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	6	$795	949	949	+0	No	+$110	08-13 22:59
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	19	$780	780	780	+0	Yes	+$58	06-19 04:36
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	24	$767	1,054	1,054	+0	No	-$3	07-09 15:31
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	13	$764	742	742	+0	No	+$32	09-24 22:41
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	9	$764	1,360	1,360	+0	No	+$60	07-14 03:37
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	11	$757	926	926	+0	Yes	+$84	06-24 14:34
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	18	$738	1,745	1,745	+0	No	+$60	08-25 04:05
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	13	$730	1,311	1,311	+0	Yes	+$263	08-17 15:58
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	2	$698	402	402	+0	Norway	+$104	07-05 21:58
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	4	$671	949	949	+0	England	+$139	07-18 22:42
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	21	$666	2,457	2,457	+0	No	+$74	08-18 14:41
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 19:15 UTC	4	$666	409	406	+3	Up	+$26	03-12 19:18
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	20	$651	896	896	+0	Yes	-$18	08-26 02:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 01:10:54	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	16¢	$6	0xf52b3a…
11-06 23:54:46	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	9¢	$6	0xd04d07…
11-06 23:54:37	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	3¢	$1	0x280456…
11-06 21:53:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0xb2a2f0…
11-06 21:47:25	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0xb99bd3…
11-06 21:46:58	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	4¢	$2	0xe12cfc…
11-06 21:46:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xbcc68a…
11-06 19:59:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x577d67…
11-06 17:38:55	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x391436…
11-03 12:57:42	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x50778e…
11-03 02:58:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2b929e…
11-03 02:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x13e6f8…
11-03 02:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x2f6474…
11-03 02:52:01	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	14¢	$9	0xe02cce…
11-03 02:46:18	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0x8a6aeb…
11-03 02:27:52	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	14¢	$11	0x05814d…
11-03 02:17:30	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	14¢	$11	0xc311f0…
11-02 03:17:48	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	20¢	$12	0xfc0def…
11-02 02:11:52	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	23¢	$13	0x5b0ad0…
11-02 01:47:48	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	18¢	$15	0x9282c1…
11-01 16:46:55	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0xf0faec…
11-01 16:46:27	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	19¢	$12	0xbd4eaf…
10-27 14:41:47	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	20¢	$16	0xd8e722…
10-27 14:39:02	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	28¢	$22	0x25e2d4…
10-27 04:04:21	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	1¢	$1	0x293e0b…
10-27 03:55:47	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	61¢	$21	0xfb4c78…
10-26 21:16:32	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	53¢	$18	0x6b67a4…
10-26 15:29:20	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xf852f8…
10-26 15:28:33	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x9a13ef…
10-26 15:27:23	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0x80486a…
10-26 15:00:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	16¢	$4	0xe0fce6…
10-26 14:29:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xb64527…
10-26 14:21:53	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x3bccb5…
10-26 12:59:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	33¢	$7	0x375a18…
10-26 02:14:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x76a0a7…
10-26 00:18:08	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	22¢	$9	0x5a79aa…
10-25 23:35:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x563507…
10-25 18:45:11	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	24¢	$6	0x7294d6…
10-25 18:34:47	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	28¢	$17	0x282b4a…
10-25 16:46:56	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	29¢	$18	0x7d1207…
10-25 15:29:30	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	16¢	$13	0xdb44b2…
10-25 15:27:59	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	6¢	$4	0x513320…
10-25 15:27:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	137	0¢	$0	0xbe984a…
10-25 07:09:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xf24d99…
10-25 07:09:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x67ed44…
10-25 07:08:44	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xb99bbe…
10-25 07:08:17	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0x3b77a8…
10-25 07:07:56	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0xe45b0a…
10-25 06:29:59	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	273	16¢	$44	0x0926ca…
10-24 18:56:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0x12332d…
10-24 18:56:18	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x07464f…
10-24 18:44:02	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	6¢	$3	0x802882…
10-24 18:26:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x41c867…
10-24 17:08:17	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	19¢	$7	0xa3ed73…
10-24 16:24:03	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xe216ff…
10-24 16:20:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xb83142…
10-24 16:16:14	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	10¢	$9	0xd62505…
10-24 16:08:47	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xaaf949…
10-24 14:58:41	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0x6ca731…
10-24 14:48:45	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	20¢	$6	0x7ced0c…
10-24 14:36:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	21¢	$9	0x83bb04…
10-24 13:57:20	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	23¢	$19	0x6659d4…
10-24 13:57:09	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	166	10¢	$17	0xa16cec…
10-24 04:50:38	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	23¢	$19	0xe332f8…
10-24 02:01:32	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0xd23679…
10-23 20:23:33	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	14¢	$6	0xf1d519…
10-23 18:34:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x9ee4ec…
10-23 17:43:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	11¢	$4	0x68ab8d…
10-23 17:27:12	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xa0eaa9…
10-23 17:26:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x42dcf4…
10-23 17:23:45	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0xcf1670…
10-23 17:23:35	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	163	16¢	$26	0xd21406…
10-23 17:21:15	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x2737c8…
10-23 17:10:48	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	207	7¢	$14	0xd03779…
10-23 17:10:32	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	3¢	$3	0x8cd6b8…
10-23 16:32:14	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	5¢	$6	0x86d71f…
10-23 16:32:00	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	22¢	$6	0xc88237…
10-23 15:01:09	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0xf9fffc…
10-23 15:00:54	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x7f0732…
10-23 15:00:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	12¢	$8	0x35290d…
10-23 13:54:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	22¢	$8	0x93562b…
10-23 04:24:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x35a739…
10-23 04:22:17	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x002087…
10-23 04:00:41	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	46¢	$18	0xc4231e…
10-23 01:45:14	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	18¢	$24	0x90c8a2…
10-23 01:44:59	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	126	19¢	$24	0xf89b1b…
10-23 01:43:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	36¢	$14	0x6a29b7…
10-23 01:26:57	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	153	40¢	$62	0x0c0e81…
10-22 21:31:47	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	29¢	$23	0x2f6ef0…
10-22 20:20:15	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	22¢	$12	0xb577fc…
10-22 18:31:11	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0x605fcd…
10-22 17:46:23	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	16¢	$18	0xba7156…
10-22 17:37:11	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	19¢	$7	0x061989…
10-22 16:44:29	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	25¢	$9	0xdf1afc…
10-22 16:39:08	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x6e5aba…
10-22 16:30:17	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x635d09…
10-22 16:30:08	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x6bb05c…
10-22 16:25:20	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	48¢	$26	0x6f0c7f…
10-22 16:18:20	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	24¢	$26	0x914cc3…
10-22 16:09:41	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0xf1e5ba…