Discrete-Management — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$42

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$16.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$361

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-05 02:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 56% +$42

Other

1% 92% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No		+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	05-03 05:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 1700 on february 19	1	$1.1K	1,130	0	+1,130	Yes	+$5	02-19 06:24
ethereum above 2200 on february 18	1	$1.1K	1,120	0	+1,120	No	+$7	02-18 09:38
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on february 16	1	$1.1K	1,110	0	+1,110	No	+$7	02-16 06:30
ethereum above 1900 on february 15	1	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Yes	+$8	02-15 02:52
bitcoin above 62k on february 14	1	$1.1K	1,090	0	+1,090	Yes	+$7	02-14 07:02
ethereum above 1700 on february 12	1	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	Yes	+$6	02-12 07:36
ethereum above 1700 on february 13	1	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	Yes	+$8	02-13 06:39
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 16?	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	Yes	+$2	05-16 04:20
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 11	1	$1.1K	1,070	0	+1,070	No	+$6	02-11 06:24
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 15?	1	$1.1K	1,065	0	+1,065	No	+$3	05-15 04:26
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 14?	1	$1.1K	1,062	0	+1,062	No	+$3	05-14 09:07
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 13?	1	$1.1K	1,059	0	+1,059	No	+$2	05-13 08:51
solana above 120 on february 9	1	$1.1K	1,060	0	+1,060	No	+$6	02-09 06:08
ethereum above 1800 on february 10	1	$1.1K	1,060	0	+1,060	Yes	+$6	02-10 05:53
ethereum above 1800 on february 8	1	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	Yes	+$6	02-08 07:15
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	No	$0	01-27 11:32
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	2	$11	6	5	+1	No	+$0	01-25 07:26
open above 5pt5 on august 21 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	08-20 02:52
will wti dip to 60 by august 3 2026	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$0	08-07 05:58
will xauusd dip to 4100 by september 7 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	09-05 02:35
will mu reach 1110 by july 27 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-30 05:44
will spy reach 775 by july 20 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-23 01:34
will wti reach 100 by july 6 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-09 05:34
ethereum above 3300 on january 1	4	$8	4,240	0	+4,240	No	-$8	01-01 07:11
ethereum above 2300 on february 7	1	$8	1,090	0	+1,090	No	-$8	02-07 05:54
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-03 05:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 13	1	$4	1,080	0	+1,080	No	-$4	03-13 04:46
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 23	1	$3	1,076	0	+1,076	No	-$3	04-23 07:12
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 1	1	$3	1,056	0	+1,056	No	-$3	04-01 08:47
will the price of solana be between 60 70 on april 15	1	$2	1,078	0	+1,078	No	-$2	04-15 07:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-05 02:35:42	will xauusd dip to 4100 by september 7 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41d9f1…
08-20 02:52:28	open above 5pt5 on august 21 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa42c5d…
08-07 05:58:09	will wti dip to 60 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x5fac60…
07-30 05:44:21	will mu reach 1110 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4690c5…
07-23 01:34:33	will spy reach 775 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x301533…
07-09 05:34:53	will wti reach 100 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ea1a9…
05-28 05:18:44	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1,053	0¢	$2	0xc3e33d…
05-19 06:17:40	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	1,062	0¢	$2	0x200899…
05-16 04:20:34	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,066	0x9dcb05…
05-15 04:26:20	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 15?	No	BUY	1,065	100¢	$1,062	0x892191…
05-14 09:07:27	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 14?	No	BUY	1,062	100¢	$1,059	0xea299b…
05-13 08:51:58	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 13?	No	BUY	1,059	100¢	$1,057	0xd354ba…
05-10 05:56:47	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1,055	0¢	$2	0xaeeff7…
05-03 06:18:30	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1,068	0¢	$2	0x40c359…
05-03 05:18:48	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x22e0ad…
04-23 07:12:22	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 23	Yes	BUY	1,076	0¢	$3	0x6357cd…
04-15 07:15:00	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on april 15	Yes	BUY	1,078	0¢	$2	0x0450d6…
04-01 08:47:55	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 1	Yes	BUY	1,056	0¢	$3	0x9cfb56…
03-23 04:23:11	ethereum above 1800 on march 23	No	BUY	1,063	0¢	$2	0x915c5f…
03-13 04:46:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 13	Yes	BUY	1,080	0¢	$4	0xb686a4…
02-19 06:24:50	ethereum above 1700 on february 19	Yes	BUY	1,130	100¢	$1,125	0x5d54e6…
02-18 09:38:52	ethereum above 2200 on february 18	No	BUY	1,120	99¢	$1,113	0x04a1b2…
02-16 06:30:49	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on february 16	No	BUY	1,110	99¢	$1,103	0x8dcd5b…
02-15 02:52:11	ethereum above 1900 on february 15	Yes	BUY	1,100	99¢	$1,092	0xdac413…
02-14 07:02:35	bitcoin above 62k on february 14	Yes	BUY	1,090	99¢	$1,083	0x9666eb…
02-13 06:39:03	ethereum above 1700 on february 13	Yes	BUY	1,080	99¢	$1,072	0x768a1b…
02-12 07:36:59	ethereum above 1700 on february 12	Yes	BUY	1,080	99¢	$1,074	0x2bfad9…
02-11 06:24:39	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 11	No	BUY	1,070	99¢	$1,064	0xed2973…
02-10 05:53:05	ethereum above 1800 on february 10	Yes	BUY	1,060	99¢	$1,054	0x8d1857…
02-09 06:08:11	solana above 120 on february 9	No	BUY	1,060	99¢	$1,054	0x0e4c02…
02-08 07:15:23	ethereum above 1800 on february 8	Yes	BUY	1,050	99¢	$1,044	0xc23fc0…
02-07 05:54:53	ethereum above 2300 on february 7	Yes	BUY	1,090	1¢	$8	0xd3154f…
02-02 12:54:24	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa755fb…
01-31 09:11:44	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xab9f2f…
01-30 12:45:24	us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc5b67b…
01-30 06:02:36	ethereum above 3100 on january 30	Yes	BUY	1,050	0¢	$1	0x394160…
01-29 12:05:02	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa319f3…
01-27 11:32:51	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc5e7ca…
01-26 13:02:25	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8102f2…
01-25 07:26:54	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3cdc92…
01-22 11:14:20	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfadd16…
01-01 07:11:05	ethereum above 3300 on january 1	Yes	BUY	1,060	0¢	$2	0xa71b23…
01-01 07:10:09	ethereum above 3300 on january 1	Yes	BUY	1,060	0¢	$2	0x14a908…
01-01 07:09:23	ethereum above 3300 on january 1	Yes	BUY	1,060	0¢	$2	0x127d06…
01-01 07:08:27	ethereum above 3300 on january 1	Yes	BUY	1,060	0¢	$2	0xfcb8e2…