Dependent-Tempo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$293

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.4%

Resolved

Trades

108

lifetime

Volume

$2.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 09-01 06:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

64% 96% -$76

Politics

18% 50% -$184

Crypto

10% 86% -$33

Sports

5% 0% -$1

Tech

4% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$339	175	175	+0	No	+$0	03-11 19:44
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	1	$186	454	0	+454	No	-$186	04-20 04:38
will global temperature increase by less than 1pt05c in february 2026	2	$172	86	86	+0	No	$0	03-11 07:44
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	7	$101	442	442	+0	No	-$1	04-12 11:08
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$94	669	669	+0	No	+$0	04-12 16:01
will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 5	1	$88	88	0	+88	No	+$1	02-05 09:54
will nyc have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	1	$86	86	0	+86	No	+$0	02-28 09:03
will google have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$85	85	0	+85	No	+$0	02-28 09:02
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	1	$85	87	0	+87	No	+$2	02-05 09:53
highest temperature in wellington on february 6 2026 18c	1	$82	82	0	+82	No	+$0	02-05 09:51
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 40 64	1	$77	79	0	+79	Yes	-$77	02-05 09:52
bitcoin up or down march 6 3am et	4	$49	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	03-06 08:32
bitcoin up or down march 5 11pm et	1	$45	100	0	+100	Down	-$45	03-06 04:00
bitcoin up or down march 6 2am et	2	$45	100	0	+100	Up	+$5	03-06 07:11
bitcoin up or down march 5 10pm et	10	$45	100	0	+100	Down	+$5	03-06 03:05
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on May 22?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	05-21 18:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-08 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on July 4?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-03 06:39
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-16 07:46
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-20 10:28
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 24?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-23 06:52
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 18?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-17 06:32
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 30?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-30 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 18?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-18 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or below on June 22?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-22 02:59
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 23?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-22 03:01
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on July 28?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-27 08:14
bitcoin up or down march 5 9pm et	2	$9	20	0	+20	Down	+$1	03-06 02:08
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 7?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-06 09:01
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 18?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-18 03:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 06:36:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 2?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x5e3c44…
09-01 06:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C or below on September 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf7b060…
07-27 08:17:39	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C or below on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa774a…
07-27 08:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x54e5ba…
07-27 08:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on July 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x92745f…
07-20 10:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on July 21?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc48e09…
07-20 10:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc31fcb…
07-20 10:30:15	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x558e12…
07-20 10:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x17e52b…
07-20 10:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C or below on July 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x46265f…
07-20 10:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on July 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x08dc63…
07-09 08:40:23	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 10?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x053527…
07-09 08:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C or below on July 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7f7784…
07-09 08:36:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C or higher on July 10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7270da…
07-09 08:34:05	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or below on July 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf6c464…
07-08 08:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C or below on July 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x3d1806…
07-08 08:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C on July 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a8110…
07-08 08:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa0e1a8…
07-07 03:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcd8feb…
07-07 03:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 40°C on July 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x565480…
07-07 03:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on July 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x959bd3…
07-06 09:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27b2d2…
07-06 09:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf7b662…
07-06 08:59:29	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 7?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd126cb…
07-06 08:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C or below on July 7?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd61013…
07-06 08:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C or below on July 7?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6b3cfb…
07-06 08:53:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on July 7?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb37330…
07-03 06:45:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on July 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xabc2be…
07-03 06:44:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on July 4?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6887bf…
07-03 06:43:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 25°C or below on July 4?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb77de6…
07-03 06:42:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C or below on July 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd18a48…
07-03 06:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C or below on July 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9051a…
07-03 06:39:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on July 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0fdad2…
07-01 03:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x2ca640…
07-01 03:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on July 1?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2fd2ee…
07-01 03:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6849ac…
06-30 06:46:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf4085a…
06-30 06:44:17	Will Tunisia recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8a9fb…
06-30 06:42:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on June 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb5080a…
06-30 06:41:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6f03ec…
06-30 06:40:26	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x9cdc06…
06-30 06:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 40°C or higher on July 1?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x964f7d…
06-29 10:37:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C or higher on June 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x213fd8…
06-29 10:36:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C or higher on June 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x22eab1…
06-29 10:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on June 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x18288d…
06-23 06:54:05	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb71e71…
06-23 06:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1d5183…
06-23 06:49:49	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or below on June 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3cbcf2…
06-22 03:04:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x2ad938…
06-22 03:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on June 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9565e6…
06-22 03:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6b8962…
06-22 03:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5f95f1…
06-22 02:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or below on June 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbbf86a…
06-22 02:58:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf36037…
06-18 03:48:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0966d1…
06-18 03:47:13	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x843ca8…
06-18 03:45:28	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc99b08…
06-17 06:34:17	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1851b…
06-17 06:33:17	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on June 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb47500…
06-17 06:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x39a036…
06-16 07:46:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ff49a…
06-16 07:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 17?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdc7b85…
06-16 07:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or below on June 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xffeb1f…
06-16 07:42:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1c8ea…
06-16 07:40:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0309f…
06-16 07:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x034414…
05-21 18:29:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0a5c1a…
05-21 18:29:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x58e152…
05-21 18:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on May 22?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2af57d…
04-20 04:38:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	454	41¢	$186	0xad6e5e…
04-12 16:01:45	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	669	7¢	$47	0x29db28…
04-12 14:34:37	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	669	7¢	$47	0x654668…
04-12 11:08:59	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	442	11¢	$50	0x29982c…
04-11 12:13:07	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	84	12¢	$10	0xfce158…
04-11 10:44:35	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	110	12¢	$13	0xf6741e…
04-11 10:38:41	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	29	12¢	$3	0xe8a570…
04-11 10:36:17	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	113	12¢	$13	0xfcd9f5…
04-11 10:32:15	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xda551a…
04-11 10:21:07	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	98	12¢	$11	0xe5884c…
03-11 19:44:07	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	175	97¢	$170	0x744d90…
03-11 13:44:47	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	175	97¢	$170	0x50fc45…
03-11 07:44:01	will global temperature increase by less than 1pt05c in february 2026	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x11120b…
03-06 08:32:11	bitcoin up or down march 6 3am et	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xabc998…
03-06 08:32:11	bitcoin up or down march 6 3am et	Down	BUY	45	53¢	$24	0x024d34…
03-06 08:00:59	bitcoin up or down march 6 3am et	Up	BUY	42	45¢	$19	0x88a3d1…
03-06 08:00:55	bitcoin up or down march 6 3am et	Up	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xecaecb…
03-06 07:11:07	bitcoin up or down march 6 2am et	Up	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x9e7864…
03-06 07:00:15	bitcoin up or down march 6 2am et	Down	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x526f05…
03-06 04:00:29	bitcoin up or down march 5 11pm et	Up	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xf41235…
03-06 03:05:23	bitcoin up or down march 5 10pm et	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xacd82c…
03-06 03:05:17	bitcoin up or down march 5 10pm et	Down	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xfaf3c6…
03-06 03:05:17	bitcoin up or down march 5 10pm et	Down	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0xbec309…
03-06 03:05:17	bitcoin up or down march 5 10pm et	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x99a316…
03-06 03:05:17	bitcoin up or down march 5 10pm et	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x966ed9…
03-06 03:05:17	bitcoin up or down march 5 10pm et	Down	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x8b3c07…
03-06 03:05:17	bitcoin up or down march 5 10pm et	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x6b8db4…
03-06 03:03:13	bitcoin up or down march 5 10pm et	Up	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xd68e95…
03-06 03:03:13	bitcoin up or down march 5 10pm et	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x8c3f8b…
03-06 03:03:13	bitcoin up or down march 5 10pm et	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x5fd1bf…
03-06 02:08:19	bitcoin up or down march 5 9pm et	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xc546c8…