Improbable-Clothing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.19K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

405

Trades

599

lifetime

Volume

$62.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$104

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 10-28 19:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Other

87% 39% -$5,618

Sports

12% 55% -$1,542

Crypto

0% 38% -$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba hou was 2026 03 02	2	$2.5K	1,337	1,337	+0	Rockets	+$146	03-03 02:31
nba den uta 2026 03 02	2	$1.9K	1,571	1,571	+0	Nuggets	-$782	03-03 04:21
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread home 2pt5	2	$1.7K	956	956	+0	Croatia	+$118	06-17 22:00
lal rea get 2026 03 02 rea	8	$1.4K	2,136	2,136	+0	No	-$1,077	03-02 21:46
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	2	$1.2K	746	746	+0	Yes	+$228	06-17 02:26
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 1pt5	2	$1.1K	700	700	+0	Over	-$175	06-12 20:28
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	2	$1.0K	647	647	+0	England	+$24	06-17 20:53
epl mun cry 2026 03 01 mun	3	$918	834	834	+0	Yes	+$118	03-01 15:22
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	3	$906	776	776	+0	Yes	-$84	06-14 01:17
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	3	$764	828	597	+231	No	-$96	06-20 21:47
dota2 aur1 liquid 2026 02 24	2	$724	425	425	+0	Team Liquid	+$124	02-24 23:34
fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	3	$650	750	550	+200	Under	-$90	06-15 19:53
bra san vas 2026 02 26 total 4pt5	2	$585	308	308	+0	Under	+$31	02-27 00:07
ucl atm1 bru 2026 02 24 atm1	2	$570	370	370	+0	Yes	+$170	02-24 20:18
nba lac gsw 2026 03 02	1	$553	683	0	+683	Clippers	-$553	03-03 04:21
fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	3	$490	563	422	+141	No	-$110	06-19 19:34
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	2	$486	392	392	+0	Yes	+$86	06-15 02:14
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	2	$485	339	339	+0	Yes	+$85	06-19 23:44
bun stu wol 2026 03 01 stu	3	$484	287	287	+0	Yes	+$84	03-01 15:21
cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29	3	$480	422	146	+276	Connecticut Huskies	-$199	03-29 22:46
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	2	$446	833	417	+417	No	+$46	05-06 20:32
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	2	$444	556	556	+0	Yes	+$344	07-15 20:53
mls sdg stl 2026 03 01 sdg	2	$441	241	241	+0	Yes	+$41	03-02 04:26
ucl psg1 asm1 2026 02 25 total 4pt5	2	$432	233	233	+0	Under	+$32	02-25 21:57
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	2	$429	456	0	+456	FC Bayern München	+$27	04-28 19:20
ucl juv gal 2026 02 25 total 4pt5	2	$424	225	225	+0	Under	+$24	02-25 22:02
itsb ven ave 2026 03 03 ven	2	$402	232	232	+0	Yes	+$62	03-03 20:56
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	2	$401	404	404	+0	Under	+$1	07-14 20:45
fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 spread away 2pt5	1	$400	449	0	+449	Haiti	+$49	06-14 01:18
epl ful tot 2026 03 01 ful	2	$399	215	215	+0	Yes	+$30	03-01 16:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:50:04	FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x44ad6e…
10-26 21:00:47	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x4d5407…
10-25 15:41:17	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	397	6¢	$25	0xb4bb63…
10-25 15:41:03	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 3 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	694	4¢	$25	0xad23d4…
10-25 15:40:05	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	796	6¢	$50	0x75cbcf…
10-25 15:38:35	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 3 AFC Bournemouth?	Yes	BUY	255	20¢	$50	0x25f732…
10-25 14:40:50	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	327	15¢	$50	0x68b639…
10-21 19:58:33	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x19b9dc…
10-18 14:53:26	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x842207…
10-17 18:05:47	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x266740…
10-15 20:18:48	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0xf0fcfe…
10-14 20:17:15	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x12935f…
10-14 20:15:01	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0x657e29…
10-11 03:06:17	Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	BUY	80	61¢	$49	0xd821f2…
10-11 03:05:39	Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x682091…
10-10 14:32:37	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xbf9b65…
10-06 21:58:06	Will United States win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xe04d5e…
10-05 20:16:55	Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x51f875…
10-05 18:40:04	Will France win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0xe72feb…
10-04 01:08:34	Will United States win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0xcf965e…
10-03 18:09:45	Will Peru win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x5a6a57…
10-03 18:08:17	Will Peru win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x229f72…
10-03 16:41:59	Belarus vs. San Marino: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xcc2f6a…
10-03 01:57:23	Will Paraguay win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	SELL	278	94¢	$261	0x885e0a…
10-02 23:45:20	Will Paraguay win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0x3f54c6…
10-02 20:15:50	Will France win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x32595c…
10-02 19:52:29	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0xe64525…
10-01 20:28:36	Will Wales win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	SELL	263	87¢	$229	0xd86613…
10-01 19:42:54	Will Greece win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xee39cc…
10-01 19:35:47	Will Wales win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0xd618a2…
09-30 02:17:17	Will Peru win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0x770738…
09-29 20:48:24	Will Chile win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	727	14¢	$100	0x291836…
09-28 20:10:45	Will France win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x6c3da2…
09-27 15:41:41	Will Wales win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	1,667	12¢	$200	0xdb0441…
09-26 23:39:20	Will Colombia win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x7040a4…
09-26 19:34:57	Will England win on 2026-09-26?	No	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x7163a4…
09-26 18:18:30	Will Peru win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0xe77b33…
09-26 18:18:12	Will Chile win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0x212d08…
09-20 20:14:59	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Olympique de Marseille	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xc19313…
09-20 16:21:33	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xabde46…
09-20 14:38:52	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	80	14¢	$11	0x6d8070…
09-18 18:18:13	FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x37806e…
09-16 18:12:13	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	49	50¢	$24	0xb50452…
09-16 18:12:10	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	131	50¢	$66	0x4ec0bf…
09-16 18:11:10	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd82a07…
09-16 17:56:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xf37fea…
09-15 19:58:33	Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x81ece6…
09-14 20:03:48	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)	Udinese Calcio	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x617b5b…
09-13 19:04:12	Stade Brestois 29 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x1afb78…
09-13 16:07:48	Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0x7b47f1…
09-13 16:00:24	SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x51370f…
09-13 15:54:37	Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	66	77¢	$51	0x74f9fa…
09-13 14:37:51	Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x579ae8…
09-10 19:48:24	FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x7523ea…
09-02 18:19:34	VfL Osnabrück vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x9cac35…
08-30 15:37:19	Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-08-29?	No	BUY	299	67¢	$200	0x76e4f1…
08-28 23:07:04	Will CA Unión win on 2026-08-28?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x9fbd7c…
08-26 14:23:27	Will Thailand win on 2026-08-26?	Yes	BUY	280	18¢	$50	0x79ea89…
08-23 14:52:24	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	SELL	278	65¢	$181	0x9b4aa0…
08-23 14:40:28	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0x4bf797…
08-12 19:19:07	usc psg av 2026 08 12 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x11d19a…
07-31 18:43:23	nor bog lil 2026 07 31 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x5a2f09…
07-30 01:51:33	mls stars ligamx 2026 07 29 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xbd4370…
07-23 18:15:06	Will FCSB win on 2026-07-23?	Yes	BUY	265	76¢	$200	0xc848a1…
07-19 20:02:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	482	41¢	$200	0x58d43d…
07-19 18:47:43	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	296	42¢	$126	0xdcf8a0…
07-19 18:46:51	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$30	0x67a7fb…
07-19 18:46:28	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	811	4¢	$30	0x9ddbb5…
07-18 21:22:40	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x2d0cd5…
07-18 21:20:06	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread away 1pt5	France	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xae6503…
07-18 21:16:43	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xd97352…
07-18 21:15:31	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	56	10¢	$6	0x0b46a4…
07-18 21:15:30	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	111	10¢	$11	0x1cbb84…
07-18 21:15:28	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	111	10¢	$11	0xdf2d04…
07-18 21:15:28	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	111	10¢	$11	0x6e2c12…
07-18 21:15:27	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	111	10¢	$11	0x135f46…
07-18 21:12:19	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xad0b08…
07-18 20:47:10	Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0xaf631a…
07-18 20:46:51	Exact Score: France 2 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	1,667	3¢	$50	0xe8d111…
07-18 18:35:39	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xb678a4…
07-17 01:11:01	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	1,471	3¢	$50	0xa6ecb3…
07-15 20:54:38	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 extra time	Yes	SELL	139	7¢	$10	0x737c58…
07-15 20:53:56	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	SELL	556	71¢	$394	0x2aea72…
07-15 19:12:35	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 extra time	Yes	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x7b1ccf…
07-15 18:56:58	Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x1fe3ad…
07-15 18:55:49	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xa4be7e…
07-15 18:53:41	Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0x9c0e77…
07-15 18:53:22	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0xd835b3…
07-14 20:45:44	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	404	50¢	$201	0x1a6038…
07-14 20:41:52	Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?	Yes	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x394434…
07-14 20:34:32	Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?	Yes	BUY	296	17¢	$50	0xf8cbf4…
07-14 19:59:38	Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xeccb3e…
07-14 19:26:01	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	321	62¢	$200	0xb1604e…
07-14 19:01:55	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	404	49¢	$200	0xccfca1…
07-14 18:47:26	Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	1,613	3¢	$50	0xbef133…
07-14 18:46:32	Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?	Yes	BUY	1,724	3¢	$50	0xec37c4…
07-14 18:35:44	Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0xe3248b…
07-14 18:32:11	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?	Yes	BUY	2,000	10¢	$200	0xac62f0…
07-14 18:30:41	Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0x5f680d…
07-12 02:38:59	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	202	49¢	$100	0x3740e0…