Unrealistic-Doorbell — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$97.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.7%

Resolved

587

Trades

1,070

lifetime

Volume

$3.74M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$3.49K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-11 04:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Other

53% 67% -$8,208

Sports

47% 58% -$88,839

Crypto

0% 45% -$635

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb tenn iowast 2026 03 27	2	$89.4K	46,426	46,373	+54	Tennessee Volunteers	+$3,216	03-28 04:45
cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27	2	$67.8K	43,342	43,156	+186	Connecticut Huskies	+$18,594	03-28 04:16
cbb pur arz 2026 03 28	2	$62.3K	87,748	0	+87,748	Arizona Wildcats	+$25,422	03-29 01:34
cbb ucf ucla 2026 03 20	2	$55.0K	32,642	32,520	+122	UCLA Bruins	+$10,087	03-21 01:59
cbb tenn mich 2026 03 29	3	$51.0K	28,563	28,480	+84	Michigan Wolverines	+$6,035	03-29 20:51
cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	1	$50.4K	98,913	0	+98,913	Michigan Wolverines	-$50,446	04-05 00:26
nba lal orl 2026 03 21	4	$49.3K	30,540	30,540	+0	Lakers	+$11,709	03-22 01:43
cbb ill iowa 2026 03 28	3	$46.6K	26,735	26,647	+88	Illinois Fighting Illini	+$6,708	03-29 00:30
cbb ark arz 2026 03 26	2	$45.5K	25,641	25,564	+77	Arizona Wildcats	+$5,615	03-27 04:25
cbb hofst ala 2026 03 20	3	$44.0K	24,106	24,048	+59	Alabama Crimson Tide	+$4,100	03-20 21:46
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	6	$41.5K	52,140	49,983	+2,157	Timberwolves	-$26,861	04-26 03:08
nba lal hou 2026 03 18	2	$36.1K	20,887	20,887	+0	Lakers	+$5,638	03-19 04:13
cbb uk iowast 2026 03 22	2	$35.9K	21,503	21,420	+83	Iowa State Cyclones	+$6,981	03-22 20:47
nba gsw den 2026 03 29	2	$33.4K	18,467	18,467	+0	Nuggets	+$3,448	03-30 04:39
nba lal den 2026 03 05	2	$32.0K	16,964	16,964	+0	Nuggets	+$1,878	03-06 05:30
cbb lou mst 2026 03 21	3	$31.6K	18,499	18,435	+65	Michigan State Spartans	+$5,281	03-21 20:57
nba dal den 2026 03 25	2	$31.3K	16,960	16,960	+0	Nuggets	+$2,567	03-26 04:33
cbb nebr iowa 2026 03 26	2	$31.2K	21,277	21,184	+93	Iowa Hawkeyes	+$11,255	03-27 01:34
Knicks vs. Hawks	2	$31.0K	20,316	20,036	+280	Knicks	+$9,326	04-26 00:36
cbb stlou mich 2026 03 21	3	$30.2K	15,726	15,706	+20	Michigan Wolverines	+$1,210	03-21 18:04
cbb stjohn kan 2026 03 22	3	$30.1K	18,613	18,536	+77	St. John's Red Storm	+$7,054	03-22 23:41
cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29	2	$30.0K	42,475	0	+42,475	Connecticut Huskies	-$30,000	03-29 22:46
cbb uconn marq 2026 03 07	4	$29.2K	22,090	22,050	+40	Marquette Golden Eagles	-$9,742	03-07 19:56
lol ly jdg 2026 03 20	2	$28.9K	14,992	14,992	+0	JD Gaming	+$874	03-20 19:14
wbc jap sok 2026 03 07	2	$28.7K	15,217	15,217	+0	Japan	+$1,664	03-07 13:21
nba nyk okc 2026 03 29	4	$28.4K	16,404	16,404	+0	Thunder	+$4,344	03-30 02:18
nba mil lac 2026 03 23	1	$27.5K	32,130	0	+32,130	Clippers	+$4,630	03-24 02:48
nba atl det 2026 03 25	2	$27.2K	14,391	14,391	+0	Hawks	+$1,569	03-26 02:07
nba ind lal 2026 03 06	2	$25.0K	12,932	12,932	+0	Lakers	+$665	03-07 05:26
nhl col lak 2026 03 02	2	$24.7K	14,965	14,965	+0	Avalanche	+$5,216	03-03 06:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 04:54:15	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea	Ben Shelton	BUY	1,477	64¢	$949	0x370c95…
10-10 23:50:33	Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Chicago White Sox	BUY	1,274	44¢	$561	0xc31bc9…
10-10 19:27:04	Texas vs. Oklahoma	Texas	BUY	1,630	76¢	$1,239	0xcc7fce…
10-10 19:26:03	Texas A&M vs. Missouri	Missouri	SELL	1,249	100¢	$1,248	0xf924a7…
10-10 15:33:00	Texas A&M vs. Missouri	Missouri	BUY	1,249	64¢	$799	0x85d623…
10-10 10:10:09	Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	LOUD	SELL	368	59¢	$217	0xc18063…
10-10 09:28:04	Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	LOUD	BUY	368	68¢	$250	0xede653…
10-10 07:21:48	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime	Felix Auger-Aliassime	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x3a48e8…
10-10 05:07:10	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	250	64¢	$160	0xeda052…
10-10 05:06:16	Iowa State vs. BYU	BYU	SELL	776	99¢	$764	0x5f5691…
10-10 04:18:10	Iowa State vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	776	93¢	$721	0x4f7ebd…
10-10 04:07:00	Wyoming vs. San Jose State	San Jose State	SELL	517	53¢	$274	0xf89b5b…
10-10 03:57:24	Wyoming vs. San Jose State	San Jose State	BUY	517	58¢	$300	0xbcf38a…
10-10 03:55:37	Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces	Golden State Valkyries	SELL	755	100¢	$755	0x7930ec…
10-10 01:24:34	Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	755	37¢	$279	0x4ed247…
10-09 22:48:20	Florida State vs. Louisville	Florida State	BUY	752	38¢	$286	0x7d878b…
10-08 07:39:16	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Mariano Navone	BUY	2,133	75¢	$1,600	0xb64440…
10-08 07:37:57	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth	Hubert Hurkacz	SELL	1,647	100¢	$1,645	0x1670a4…
10-08 06:38:30	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	1,647	85¢	$1,400	0x5bbbe7…
10-08 06:37:56	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	SELL	1,425	100¢	$1,424	0xb127de…
10-08 06:11:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	BUY	1,425	83¢	$1,183	0x29efe2…
10-08 06:08:44	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin	Ilia Simakin	SELL	1,601	20¢	$320	0x5b9ed7…
10-08 06:03:44	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin	Ilia Simakin	BUY	231	65¢	$150	0xacaba1…
10-08 05:55:29	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin	Ilia Simakin	BUY	1,370	73¢	$1,000	0xd90daa…
10-08 05:09:44	Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	2,052	100¢	$2,050	0x5f79c1…
10-08 03:59:25	Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2,052	78¢	$1,601	0x7727a0…
10-08 03:59:10	Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	SELL	1,637	99¢	$1,620	0x8845d5…
10-08 03:16:32	Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	1,637	83¢	$1,359	0x243ecb…
10-07 01:23:02	Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	1,016	45¢	$457	0x302a03…
10-07 01:20:29	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	472	100¢	$471	0x390736…
10-06 21:55:18	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	472	50¢	$236	0x24aa92…
10-05 07:09:58	wta jovic rakhimo 2026 10 04	Iva Jovic	SELL	4,167	100¢	$4,162	0x47086c…
10-05 06:43:37	wta jovic rakhimo 2026 10 04	Iva Jovic	BUY	4,167	72¢	$3,000	0xd37e83…
10-05 06:25:10	Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz	Lorenzo Sonego	SELL	833	26¢	$217	0x4f186e…
10-05 06:05:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz	Lorenzo Sonego	BUY	833	78¢	$650	0x433570…
10-05 04:13:52	wta ibragim sramkov 2026 10 04	Rebecca Sramkova	BUY	786	76¢	$600	0xb4b406…
10-05 04:12:50	wta vekic swiatek 2026 10 04	Iga Swiatek	SELL	892	32¢	$285	0x29c503…
10-05 04:06:58	wta vekic swiatek 2026 10 04	Iga Swiatek	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x17a663…
10-05 03:51:04	wta vekic swiatek 2026 10 04	Iga Swiatek	BUY	733	75¢	$550	0xa31250…
10-05 03:43:59	Lions vs. Panthers	Panthers	SELL	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0xc3ebfa…
10-05 03:26:13	Lions vs. Panthers	Panthers	BUY	3,000	80¢	$2,400	0x7b61b3…
10-05 02:34:37	Lions vs. Panthers	Lions	SELL	1,818	25¢	$455	0x6634f3…
10-05 01:11:58	Lions vs. Panthers	Lions	BUY	1,818	55¢	$1,000	0x360451…
10-04 23:54:28	mlb atl lad 2026 10 04	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	1,739	69¢	$1,200	0x5f5699…
10-04 23:47:34	Chiefs vs. Raiders	Chiefs	SELL	2,174	100¢	$2,172	0x3d3357…
10-04 20:21:23	Chiefs vs. Raiders	Chiefs	BUY	2,174	69¢	$1,500	0x963ee0…
10-04 20:15:25	Cowboys vs. Texans	Cowboys	SELL	2,381	100¢	$2,379	0x924002…
10-04 18:57:05	Patriots vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	653	60¢	$392	0x79f55d…
10-04 18:54:44	Patriots vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	985	66¢	$650	0x705d26…
10-04 16:56:13	Cowboys vs. Texans	Cowboys	BUY	2,381	42¢	$1,000	0x6c2991…
10-04 16:54:07	Josh Allen: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	1,182	55¢	$650	0xb2f098…
10-04 16:49:16	Colts vs. Commanders	Colts	SELL	656	100¢	$655	0xb8b74a…
10-04 14:06:16	Colts vs. Commanders	Colts	BUY	656	61¢	$400	0xf2a623…
10-04 10:24:53	atp ma pieri 2026 10 04	Samuele Pieri	BUY	429	70¢	$300	0x752fb7…
10-04 10:23:20	atp medvede cerundo 2026 10 04	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	773	100¢	$773	0x6adcbb…
10-04 09:33:11	atp medvede cerundo 2026 10 04	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	308	65¢	$200	0x8c7f13…
10-04 09:30:17	atp medvede cerundo 2026 10 04	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	466	69¢	$321	0xe2c1c2…
10-04 09:26:23	atp vachero fils 2026 10 03	Arthur Fils	BUY	361	55¢	$200	0x2ac1f7…
10-04 09:23:02	atp vachero fils 2026 10 03	Arthur Fils	BUY	292	55¢	$160	0x5d2d98…
10-04 09:21:53	lol lgd fox1 2026 10 04	BNK FEARX	SELL	616	100¢	$615	0x248d1e…
10-04 07:17:23	lol lgd fox1 2026 10 04	BNK FEARX	BUY	616	81¢	$500	0xd72af8…
10-04 07:16:37	San Jose State vs. Hawai'i	San Jose State	SELL	319	100¢	$319	0xf88b4e…
10-04 06:43:01	San Jose State vs. Hawai'i	San Jose State	BUY	319	69¢	$220	0x560628…
10-04 06:34:50	atp hurkacz khachan 2026 10 03	Karen Khachanov	SELL	890	24¢	$211	0xcf195d…
10-04 05:52:11	atp hurkacz khachan 2026 10 03	Karen Khachanov	BUY	890	59¢	$525	0x7c1ea8…
10-04 05:19:08	San Jose State vs. Hawai'i	Hawai'i	SELL	725	17¢	$123	0x328998…
10-04 05:18:31	Texas State vs. San Diego State	Texas State	BUY	666	45¢	$300	0x81931e…
10-04 04:51:41	Kings vs. Sharks	Sharks	SELL	241	100¢	$241	0x7c914a…
10-04 04:43:07	Kings vs. Sharks	Sharks	BUY	241	51¢	$123	0x967931…
10-04 04:31:49	San Jose State vs. Hawai'i	Hawai'i	BUY	725	69¢	$500	0x063bda…
10-04 04:22:29	wta bartunk sabalen 2026 10 03	Aryna Sabalenka	SELL	379	23¢	$87	0xcc6a53…
10-04 04:09:40	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	1,154	100¢	$1,153	0x293a4f…
10-04 04:09:25	China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	379	58¢	$220	0x57aaee…
10-04 02:50:13	UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Wang Cong	SELL	694	4¢	$28	0xb40ed0…
10-04 02:13:07	UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Wang Cong	BUY	694	36¢	$250	0x972799…
10-04 01:16:52	New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	1,532	100¢	$1,531	0xa49964…
10-04 00:24:40	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	1,154	65¢	$750	0x956c8b…
10-03 22:19:05	New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	639	56¢	$358	0x446192…
10-03 22:18:29	mlb atl lad 2026 10 03	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	1,458	97¢	$1,420	0xe3949b…
10-03 22:18:05	New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	893	56¢	$500	0xa245a1…
10-03 22:07:49	Florida vs. Missouri	Florida	SELL	143	7¢	$10	0x6216eb…
10-03 22:07:41	Florida vs. Missouri	Florida	SELL	432	6¢	$26	0x843dae…
10-03 21:43:56	mlb atl lad 2026 10 03	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	611	80¢	$491	0x18d4e0…
10-03 19:32:22	mlb atl lad 2026 10 03	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	847	68¢	$576	0x28f079…
10-03 18:55:50	Alabama vs. Mississippi State	Alabama	SELL	682	99¢	$676	0xdd15c6…
10-03 18:43:47	Florida vs. Missouri	Florida	BUY	575	67¢	$385	0xc88df2…
10-03 16:05:02	Alabama vs. Mississippi State	Alabama	BUY	682	66¢	$450	0x8dda94…
10-03 10:58:17	Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C	G2 Esports	SELL	2,365	100¢	$2,362	0x532aa6…
10-03 09:51:11	Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C	G2 Esports	BUY	2,365	62¢	$1,460	0xd09a57…
10-03 09:50:06	China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez	Leylah Fernandez	SELL	540	18¢	$97	0x81ea7e…
10-03 09:18:44	China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	123	73¢	$90	0x80ac09…
10-03 08:55:59	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	869	55¢	$478	0x242fda…
10-03 08:27:02	China Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	SELL	508	100¢	$508	0xa1234c…
10-03 08:23:03	China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	417	60¢	$250	0x36edbc…
10-03 07:14:17	China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa	Jelena Ostapenko	SELL	683	100¢	$682	0x7f4b24…
10-03 07:14:02	China Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	BUY	508	59¢	$300	0xadd47a…
10-03 06:30:26	China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa	Jelena Ostapenko	BUY	217	69¢	$150	0x00eef3…
10-03 06:23:47	China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa	Jelena Ostapenko	BUY	466	73¢	$340	0x2f511f…
10-03 03:54:03	Montana State vs. Idaho	Montana State	BUY	233	64¢	$150	0x2df8c0…
10-03 03:27:08	Montana State vs. Idaho	Montana State	BUY	652	83¢	$541	0x898cb2…