Aggravating-Necessity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$90

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.7%

Resolved

207

Trades

238

lifetime

Volume

$444

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-21 18:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

89% 24% -$50

Crypto

6% 0% -$24

Sports

5% 12% -$14

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 8?	2	$18	13	13	+0	Yes	+$8	07-08 18:13
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 1?	3	$13	49	0	+49	Yes	+$36	06-29 18:15
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 8?	1	$10	26	0	+26	Yes	+$16	07-06 19:17
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 28?	3	$9	7	7	+0	Yes	+$5	07-28 17:42
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$9	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	02-16 22:07
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 17?	2	$8	23	0	+23	No	-$8	07-15 18:12
crint ind nzl 2026 01 11	2	$7	40	0	+40	India	-$7	01-10 17:40
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 13?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$3	06-13 17:59
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 17?	1	$6	22	0	+22	No	-$6	07-15 18:34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 4?	1	$6	25	0	+25	No	-$6	07-02 19:47
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 7?	1	$5	12	0	+12	No	-$5	07-06 19:16
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 8?	1	$5	16	0	+16	No	-$5	07-06 18:59
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 8?	1	$5	14	0	+14	No	-$5	07-06 19:06
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 17?	1	$5	13	0	+13	Yes	+$8	07-15 17:53
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 8?	1	$5	17	0	+17	No	-$5	07-06 19:20
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on July 17?	1	$5	10	0	+10	Yes	+$5	07-15 17:56
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 7?	1	$5	12	0	+12	Yes	+$7	07-06 19:05
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 7?	1	$5	15	0	+15	No	-$5	07-06 19:12
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 17?	1	$5	17	0	+17	No	-$5	07-15 17:51
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 17?	1	$5	18	0	+18	No	-$5	07-15 17:58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 21?	1	$5	13	0	+13	Yes	+$8	06-19 18:51
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 3?	1	$4	13	0	+13	Yes	+$9	07-01 19:03
crint can nzl 2026 02 17	4	$4	98	0	+98	New Zealand	-$4	02-16 23:28
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on July 22?	1	$4	11	0	+11	No	-$4	07-20 19:43
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 13?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	06-13 18:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 16?	1	$4	10	0	+10	No	-$4	06-14 17:57
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?	1	$3	8	0	+8	No	-$3	06-16 19:06
highest temperature in london on january 3 1c	4	$3	120	0	+120	No	-$3	01-02 19:19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 20?	1	$3	8	0	+8	No	-$3	06-19 18:51
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 17?	1	$3	9	0	+9	No	-$3	07-15 18:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 18:49:24	New Zealand Women Tour of Australia T20s: Australia Women vs New Zealand Women	New Zealand Women	BUY	18	13¢	$2	0x97b8e8…
07-28 18:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x8b1561…
07-28 18:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd2b450…
07-28 18:25:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5c6d89…
07-28 18:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5be0b8…
07-28 18:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x29de1d…
07-28 18:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe3bb40…
07-28 17:42:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8bb2a7…
07-26 17:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x7d6c16…
07-26 17:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x47d1e9…
07-26 17:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb3c770…
07-26 17:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x18d3a0…
07-26 17:37:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x04c723…
07-26 17:37:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb5aa10…
07-26 17:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xea4e76…
07-26 17:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa644bd…
07-26 17:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x06cb0b…
07-26 17:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 28?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6461ae…
07-26 17:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc0c61d…
07-20 19:52:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x1f3228…
07-20 19:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xa34040…
07-20 19:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x19da69…
07-20 19:39:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xe555d8…
07-20 19:38:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x7987b3…
07-20 19:37:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xade518…
07-15 18:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	22	28¢	$6	0x43f334…
07-15 18:29:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1183b9…
07-15 18:17:32	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7b3a82…
07-15 18:16:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x461e8f…
07-15 18:14:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xc90af6…
07-15 18:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x1de3ad…
07-15 18:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xa6fe87…
07-15 18:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xaa1ca3…
07-15 17:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x37be5f…
07-15 17:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd05669…
07-15 17:53:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe9ef3d…
07-15 17:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x80ed38…
07-15 17:51:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x50d8d8…
07-08 18:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 8?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x9673f1…
07-06 19:23:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x6665a6…
07-06 19:20:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xbdde49…
07-06 19:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x261036…
07-06 19:16:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa92176…
07-06 19:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xbed9bf…
07-06 19:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x6615d4…
07-06 19:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x934d9e…
07-06 19:05:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xc5207d…
07-06 18:59:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xd24cd8…
07-03 19:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xad407d…
07-02 19:47:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0x2c4380…
07-02 19:44:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xa7316c…
07-02 19:40:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x01507b…
07-02 19:39:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x87e6bb…
07-02 19:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xc41a4f…
07-02 19:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xb8d288…
07-02 19:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x33f9df…
07-01 19:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0xc6267e…
07-01 19:00:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x10361b…
07-01 19:00:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd0d2c6…
07-01 18:58:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xa3289a…
07-01 18:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xc9e6dc…
07-01 18:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xc5b344…
07-01 18:51:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x1f5ad6…
07-01 18:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x829e43…
07-01 18:49:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xccc376…
07-01 18:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xed685c…
07-01 18:45:41	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x5b1fca…
07-01 18:45:17	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7d1059…
07-01 18:42:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xa7b477…
07-01 18:38:40	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x4e2a98…
07-01 18:35:55	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xdd9ce1…
07-01 18:33:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x7bfe05…
07-01 18:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xb4fb6a…
07-01 18:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x3883a2…
06-29 18:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	26	26¢	$7	0x0dd020…
06-29 18:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x810176…
06-29 18:07:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x8e2896…
06-19 18:51:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x6aaf2e…
06-19 18:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x20541a…
06-19 18:49:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x77dea3…
06-16 19:06:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x794af3…
06-16 19:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xff291c…
06-16 19:02:14	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x021c48…
06-16 19:01:44	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xf0a0f0…
06-16 19:01:28	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x390a81…
06-16 19:00:58	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xf29c42…
06-16 18:59:41	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdb3151…
06-14 17:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xd3c6a0…
06-14 17:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on June 16?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3ab9f5…
06-14 17:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on June 15?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x01dcd8…
06-14 17:49:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 15?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xd651ce…
06-14 17:47:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 15?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xcfbc2f…
06-14 12:11:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x7f7285…
06-13 18:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on June 14?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xd672c1…
06-13 18:40:01	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xe3a5b5…
06-13 18:38:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xb51928…
06-13 18:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 14?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x555eb6…
06-13 18:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 14?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x40581b…
06-13 18:35:33	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x692b40…
06-13 18:33:28	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 14?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xacbc53…