Unwilling-Marshmallow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.8%

Resolved

295

Trades

7,451

lifetime

Volume

$45.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 05-17 21:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 94% +$15

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 237 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773339600	143	$57	715	+715	open	—	03-12 18:25
btc updown 5m 1772404800	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	03-01 22:43
btc updown 5m 1772036400	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	02-25 16:23
btc updown 5m 1772898600	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	03-07 15:53
btc updown 5m 1772719500	1	$10	14	+14	open	—	03-05 14:09
btc updown 5m 1772587200	1	$10	14	+14	open	—	03-04 01:24
btc updown 5m 1772918400	2	$10	14	+14	open	—	03-07 21:23
btc updown 5m 1772930100	2	$10	14	+14	open	—	03-08 00:38
btc updown 5m 1772549700	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-03 14:58
xrp updown 15m 1772638200	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-04 15:40
btc updown 5m 1772550900	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-03 15:18
bitcoin up or down march 2 8am et	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-02 13:43
btc updown 5m 1772911800	1	$10	15	+15	open	—	03-07 19:33
btc updown 5m 1772850900	1	$10	18	+18	open	—	03-07 02:39
btc updown 15m 1772287200	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	02-28 14:09
btc updown 5m 1772589600	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-04 02:03
btc updown 5m 1772539200	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-03 12:03
btc updown 15m 1772031600	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	02-25 15:10
btc updown 5m 1772902800	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-07 17:03
btc updown 15m 1772040600	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	02-25 17:42
btc updown 5m 1772520600	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-03 06:53
btc updown 15m 1772206200	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	02-27 15:40
btc updown 5m 1772914200	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-07 20:12
btc updown 5m 1772397000	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-01 20:33
eth updown 15m 1772289000	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	02-28 14:39
btc updown 5m 1772889300	1	$10	18	+18	open	—	03-07 13:20
btc updown 5m 1772915700	3	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-07 20:38
btc updown 5m 1772532300	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-03 10:09
btc updown 5m 1772909100	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	03-07 18:48
btc updown 5m 1772923200	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	03-07 22:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 21:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe1dc08…
05-17 21:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8f73b9…
05-17 21:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x430c8c…
05-17 21:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x131499…
05-17 20:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x2c16bc…
05-17 19:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xceb244…
05-17 19:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x19294b…
05-17 19:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe6ec04…
05-17 18:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x74b16b…
05-17 18:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x27e0e0…
05-17 18:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x501e1b…
05-17 17:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x75685a…
05-17 17:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x32cdfa…
05-17 17:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x5a1fb5…
05-17 16:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf21e30…
05-17 16:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x70961a…
05-17 16:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x1f9306…
05-17 16:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf98ca4…
05-17 16:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xdc57d6…
05-17 16:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa2f446…
05-17 15:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x08326d…
05-17 15:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8eca77…
05-17 15:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x52fc64…
05-17 14:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbe061b…
05-17 14:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa0a7ed…
05-17 14:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfe3a57…
05-17 13:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0e57c6…
05-17 13:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0ddf8f…
05-17 13:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd19af8…
05-17 12:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbbc7a2…
05-17 12:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xae6ab6…
05-17 12:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x1f3d33…
05-17 12:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xb0251b…
05-17 11:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xcd44ce…
05-17 11:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x356e58…
05-17 11:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xf7db9c…
05-17 11:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9fc5df…
05-17 10:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xbcfd61…
05-17 10:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x72ba8b…
05-17 10:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa0f7d4…
05-17 10:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfae042…
05-17 10:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x384fb0…
05-17 10:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe7cb88…
05-17 10:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb33820…
05-17 09:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa02c65…
05-17 09:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x165418…
05-17 09:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x901a90…
05-17 09:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x056048…
05-17 09:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x0a9cd1…
05-17 07:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd5a1e5…
05-17 07:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc5311f…
05-17 07:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa95ef8…
05-17 06:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3077aa…
05-17 04:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc0575b…
05-17 04:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x103a09…
05-17 03:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x997712…
05-17 03:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8a20c9…
05-17 02:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0f6393…
05-17 02:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9b1cb7…
05-17 02:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe7922e…
05-17 01:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8ed312…
05-17 01:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x766cd9…
05-17 01:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4e6757…
05-17 01:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x000f8f…
05-17 01:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfe598e…
05-17 01:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9be0d2…
05-17 01:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa4177a…
05-17 00:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6c9cbb…
05-17 00:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x579b36…
05-17 00:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xf61b60…
05-17 00:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x549e86…
05-17 00:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x57cb6b…
05-17 00:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x095c7f…
05-16 23:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc127ec…
05-16 23:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6c8da8…
05-16 23:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x7ac607…
05-16 22:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0517ff…
05-16 22:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xe96c7d…
05-16 22:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xbc507c…
05-16 22:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x423460…
05-16 22:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5f8e4a…
05-16 21:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x61e189…
05-16 21:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe91d10…
05-16 21:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xe94734…
05-16 21:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd3def8…
05-16 21:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xa69196…
05-16 20:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x0bc35a…
05-16 20:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x61c600…
05-16 19:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd330a5…
05-16 19:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xaa9809…
05-16 18:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x57fe8b…
05-16 16:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe5e5dd…
05-16 16:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x69db76…
05-16 15:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc47bda…
05-16 15:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0fe864…
05-16 15:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x6858ac…
05-16 14:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x630001…
05-16 14:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb7653d…
05-16 14:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x0cd3e0…
05-16 14:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x057018…