Realized P&L
+$8.66K
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
94.8%
Resolved
1,018
Trades
2,237
lifetime
Volume
$31.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$51
8 positions
First seen
2026-08-27
last 10-27 16:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
49% 14% +$5,164
Tech
46% 40% +$3,569
Crypto
5% 17% -$69
Politics
0% 31% $0
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Sports
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 316 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +100 $49 42¢ $42 -$8 10-06 20:10
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +50 $2 10¢ $5 +$3 10-04 15:01
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? Yes +50 $1 4¢ $2 +$1 10-04 15:02
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +50 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 10-04 15:01
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? Yes +30 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-04 15:02
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +120 $2 0¢ $1 -$2 09-30 16:16
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? Yes +30 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 09-30 16:27
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Yes +5 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 09-30 16:50