Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$114

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.4%

Resolved

108

Trades

235

lifetime

Volume

$3.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-05

last 10-17 13:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

90% 72% -$104

Politics

6% 57% +$10

Crypto

4% 64% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 5?	2	$206	106	106	+0	Yes	+$6	10-05 08:35
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 4?	2	$203	104	104	+0	Yes	+$3	10-04 14:33
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 5?	2	$202	102	102	+0	Yes	+$2	10-05 05:18
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$112	58	58	+0	Yes	+$2	10-04 22:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 4?	2	$102	52	52	+0	Yes	+$2	10-04 09:04
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 11?	5	$101	52	52	+0	Yes	+$1	10-11 08:26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 3?	2	$101	52	52	+0	Yes	+$1	10-03 15:22
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 4?	2	$101	52	52	+0	Yes	+$1	10-04 06:20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26?	6	$98	60	60	+0	Yes	-$2	09-26 07:39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 15?	2	$98	50	50	+0	Yes	+$2	10-15 11:04
Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?	4	$95	55	55	+0	Yes	+$5	09-23 13:52
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on September 26?	5	$86	71	71	+0	No	-$34	09-26 06:47
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	3	$70	41	41	+0	Yes	+$10	09-21 05:34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 26?	2	$69	40	40	+0	Yes	+$9	09-26 07:40
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 25?	2	$66	36	36	+0	Yes	+$6	09-25 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 24?	2	$65	35	35	+0	Yes	+$5	09-24 11:11
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 5?	2	$61	31	31	+0	Yes	+$1	10-05 08:35
Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?	2	$60	36	36	+0	Yes	+$0	09-25 13:32
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 14?	3	$58	30	30	+0	Yes	+$2	10-14 09:10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 5?	2	$50	52	52	+0	No	-$50	10-05 08:35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 26?	3	$48	37	37	+0	Yes	-$12	09-26 06:58
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 26?	3	$47	35	35	+0	Yes	-$13	09-26 06:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 10?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	10-10 09:24
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on October 4?	2	$40	21	21	+0	Yes	+$0	10-04 14:33
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 10?	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	10-10 22:38
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	2	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	09-22 23:04
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	2	$39	23	23	+0	Yes	-$1	09-24 11:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	3	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	10-16 08:52
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 4?	2	$30	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	10-04 22:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	5	$30	31	31	+0	Yes	$0	10-06 09:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 13:32:53	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 17?	No	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0x21a053…
10-17 13:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 17?	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x8ab2bc…
10-17 10:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf79cf8…
10-17 05:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x72cec7…
10-16 09:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2426b0…
10-16 08:52:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xd39100…
10-16 08:52:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0xc92e32…
10-16 06:17:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x271a3f…
10-16 06:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xd71dc6…
10-15 11:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x954876…
10-15 07:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xd8838c…
10-14 13:58:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x1419f5…
10-14 09:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x81276a…
10-14 09:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x235b90…
10-14 05:08:11	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x1f1c24…
10-14 04:56:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x1796de…
10-14 04:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xfb13f9…
10-14 04:37:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x4e44a7…
10-11 08:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xa2f02b…
10-11 08:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xcaf4cb…
10-11 08:26:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x03af23…
10-11 08:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5cedd8…
10-11 05:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x740c4d…
10-10 22:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xde3057…
10-10 14:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x85675c…
10-10 09:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xe9edb9…
10-10 05:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x4421da…
10-09 09:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe8cce1…
10-09 09:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf3da74…
10-09 05:49:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xae1d37…
10-09 05:47:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x27aa4b…
10-08 14:52:59	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x399ee9…
10-08 13:19:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5b2299…
10-06 09:46:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0xb4066b…
10-05 08:35:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xf56626…
10-05 08:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0xfb92a9…
10-05 08:35:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	52	0¢	$0	0x93b5d4…
10-05 07:24:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xcd7a68…
10-05 07:23:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe54172…
10-05 07:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x127b94…
10-05 06:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x329915…
10-05 05:44:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x46e7d2…
10-05 05:18:53	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x0af0d6…
10-05 05:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4e84d4…
10-05 04:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5489ce…
10-05 03:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xbbb8be…
10-04 22:29:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0x0a7032…
10-04 22:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 4?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x11a268…
10-04 22:28:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 4?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf1dc9f…
10-04 18:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2ae05e…
10-04 18:38:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xb64012…
10-04 14:33:35	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on October 4?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x6ff743…
10-04 14:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 4?	Yes	SELL	104	100¢	$103	0xa3f3fc…
10-04 13:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xc026ce…
10-04 11:45:02	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xba0a64…
10-04 09:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 4?	Yes	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xf23aad…
10-04 06:20:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 4?	Yes	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x619de2…
10-04 06:20:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 4?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc1b36e…
10-04 06:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 4?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa1f84b…
10-04 05:52:19	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x284c9e…
10-04 05:45:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9c0792…
10-04 05:45:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe6ce25…
10-04 05:44:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x8a584d…
10-04 05:43:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x586a3d…
10-03 15:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 3?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd20942…
10-03 15:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 3?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9d4f23…
10-03 15:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 3?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x97d989…
10-03 15:22:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 3?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$10	0x3a8704…
10-03 15:22:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 3?	Yes	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0xca32e3…
10-03 14:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 3?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x690159…
10-03 14:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 3?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf54941…
10-03 14:35:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 3?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe123e8…
10-03 13:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x088d42…
10-03 12:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x281fd6…
10-03 11:41:23	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe687d2…
10-03 09:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x407ca6…
10-03 09:33:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x6e52ad…
10-03 06:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xadfa60…
10-03 05:17:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x474561…
10-03 04:32:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8365d6…
10-03 01:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 2?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x128b33…
10-02 05:48:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x72bde7…
10-02 00:36:02	Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?	Yes	SELL	12	89¢	$10	0xcd415a…
10-02 00:35:51	Will Marcos Rogério win the 2026 Rondônia gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x0ab29c…
10-02 00:35:38	Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?	Yes	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x87ce45…
10-02 00:35:30	Will Fábio win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xb17b36…
10-02 00:35:23	Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?	Yes	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0x39b7f7…
10-02 00:30:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x4e5f5d…
10-02 00:29:48	Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x31e7e1…
10-01 08:59:15	Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xbf982c…
10-01 08:58:41	Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xcb2eba…
10-01 08:58:11	Will Marcos Rogério win the 2026 Rondônia gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xaa059a…
10-01 08:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc7cc67…
10-01 06:57:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 1?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x685714…
10-01 06:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 1?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc75b5f…
10-01 06:57:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1?	Yes	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x8c0654…
10-01 05:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x521eab…
10-01 05:23:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x407d81…
10-01 04:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe54167…
10-01 04:36:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x59680d…