Jolly-Anniversary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.30K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.1%

Resolved

3,478

Trades

17,585

lifetime

Volume

$128.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-17 01:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 202 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 93% -$4,097

Other

5% 59% -$194

Politics

0% 97% +$0

Sports

0% 89% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 15:00 UTC	583	$15.3K	12,796	12,668	+128	Up	-$3,215	01-09 15:11
bitcoin up or down january 6 7am et	1,218	$4.3K	8,126	0	+8,126	Up	-$122	01-06 12:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 20:00 UTC	576	$3.6K	7,048	0	+7,048	Up	-$135	01-05 20:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 03:45 UTC	565	$3.4K	6,853	0	+6,853	Up	+$7	01-09 03:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 08:00 UTC	513	$3.0K	4,308	0	+4,308	Up	-$123	01-08 08:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 03:15 UTC	521	$2.5K	4,549	0	+4,549	Down	-$182	01-09 03:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 14:45 UTC	186	$2.3K	2,789	3,043	-254	Down	+$515	01-06 14:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 08:15 UTC	287	$2.3K	3,992	0	+3,992	Up	-$32	01-08 08:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 16:15 UTC	341	$2.1K	4,062	2,000	+2,062	Down	-$57	01-06 16:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 04:45 UTC	410	$1.9K	4,125	0	+4,125	Down	+$141	01-06 04:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 04:30 UTC	353	$1.7K	3,342	0	+3,342	Down	-$212	01-06 04:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 15:30 UTC	65	$1.7K	1,200	1,169	+31	Down	+$135	01-09 15:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 09:15 UTC	333	$1.7K	3,511	0	+3,511	Down	+$45	01-08 09:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 19:45 UTC	258	$1.7K	3,649	0	+3,649	Up	+$37	01-05 19:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 03:00 UTC	406	$1.6K	3,270	0	+3,270	Up	-$149	01-09 03:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 04:00 UTC	278	$1.5K	3,113	0	+3,113	Down	+$62	01-09 04:10
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 05:00 UTC	66	$1.4K	999	996	+4	Up	+$599	01-10 05:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 09:30 UTC	232	$1.2K	2,011	0	+2,011	Up	-$156	01-08 09:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 09:00 UTC	218	$1.1K	2,258	0	+2,258	Up	+$56	01-08 09:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 15:00 UTC	114	$1.1K	1,271	1,271	+0	Down	+$132	01-06 15:13
bitcoin up or down january 6 12am et	212	$1.0K	1,866	0	+1,866	Down	-$23	01-06 05:50
bitcoin up or down january 6 6am et	244	$899	1,707	0	+1,707	Up	+$4	01-06 11:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 08:45 UTC	181	$859	1,784	0	+1,784	Down	+$33	01-08 08:49
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 05:45 UTC	113	$725	1,514	0	+1,514	Down	+$789	01-10 05:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 04:15 UTC	56	$687	702	701	+1	Down	+$84	01-10 04:29
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 06:30 UTC	96	$622	1,317	0	+1,317	Up	+$695	01-10 06:43
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 06:45 UTC	109	$614	1,832	0	+1,832	Down	-$614	01-10 06:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 03:30 UTC	124	$607	1,304	0	+1,304	Up	+$45	01-09 03:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 15:45 UTC	203	$596	1,294	0	+1,294	Up	-$105	01-06 15:57
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 06:30 UTC	94	$593	1,598	0	+1,598	Up	-$593	01-10 06:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-17 01:43:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8735a0…
08-16 19:57:04	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-16 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x51b9a5…
08-16 15:48:13	bitcoin up or down on august 16 2026	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x70048a…
08-16 06:58:51	ethereum up or down august 16 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xdd5165…
08-16 06:58:04	ethereum up or down august 16 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x61b0cf…
08-15 23:58:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x9409ea…
08-15 21:55:33	solana up or down august 15 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe4cdef…
08-15 21:55:30	ethereum up or down august 15 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xaaae78…
08-15 19:55:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-15 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0xae4b34…
08-15 19:53:22	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-15 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x40a001…
08-15 15:35:12	bitcoin up or down on august 15 2026	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x4c8812…
08-15 15:35:09	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on August 15?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x4ff954…
08-15 15:35:06	xrp above 1 on august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x022393…
08-15 13:43:55	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x84d324…
08-15 11:57:46	solana up or down august 15 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x82edf9…
08-15 11:57:43	bitcoin up or down august 15 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xcfd7ad…
08-15 08:58:43	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x169e5d…
08-14 18:43:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xfdb304…
08-14 16:58:16	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2a8129…
08-14 16:58:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x640abd…
08-14 10:55:36	bitcoin up or down august 14 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x89306e…
08-14 10:55:36	bitcoin up or down august 14 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x692d44…
08-14 02:44:16	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd1c94c…
08-14 00:28:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe91296…
08-13 19:58:40	XRP Up or Down - August 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x100537…
08-13 19:58:36	Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x7fdd78…
08-13 15:38:06	bitcoin above 64k on august 13 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x50b91e…
08-13 15:32:07	bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	Up	BUY	42	91¢	$38	0xd6c6b7…
08-13 15:32:00	bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8e88a3…
08-13 15:31:58	bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xca547a…
08-13 15:31:57	xrp up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x737146…
08-13 15:31:52	solana up or down on august 13 2026	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xc30da4…
08-13 15:31:46	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xcb4dec…
08-13 15:31:42	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 13?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x317bbd…
08-13 15:31:37	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x1e1f1f…
08-13 15:31:34	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x14eedd…
08-13 15:31:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x1f36b1…
08-13 06:57:36	solana up or down august 13 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe649ae…
08-12 20:58:10	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xbac60f…
08-12 15:47:48	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 12?	No	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x93658e…
08-12 15:47:45	ethereum above 1900 on august 12 2026	No	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0xaa51be…
08-12 08:28:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x5a1144…
08-12 03:56:30	bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x26864b…
08-11 20:30:22	ng up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x9ba1e2…
08-11 18:59:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x673461…
08-11 14:28:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf4c491…
08-11 10:59:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd15709…
08-11 00:14:16	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x20e2b2…
08-10 22:55:31	solana up or down august 10 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x40c609…
08-10 22:44:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xcca03c…
08-10 17:04:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd1b5fc…
08-10 15:41:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 10?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf0a3b6…
08-10 15:40:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 10?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x54963e…
08-10 15:40:42	bitcoin above 64k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9e7a86…
08-10 15:33:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 10?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x4db548…
08-10 08:39:28	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc98da2…
08-10 06:13:07	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x9f1047…
08-10 03:54:43	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xce7b6d…
08-10 03:54:37	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x343bdd…
08-09 20:55:19	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x4f9aea…
08-09 15:55:22	ethereum up or down august 9 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x56f8b6…
08-09 15:39:46	bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xb4ac41…
08-09 07:44:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x1dab38…
08-09 07:43:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x60b085…
08-08 22:55:18	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf213f4…
08-08 22:28:28	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x6c1033…
08-08 22:28:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x7c04e1…
08-08 19:56:21	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-08 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x5860b3…
08-08 15:41:46	ethereum up or down on august 8 2026	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xdcf412…
08-07 15:49:36	ethereum up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x404b3a…
08-07 06:55:54	ethereum up or down august 7 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x8175eb…
08-06 20:46:26	xauusd up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x3f7e2a…
08-06 15:35:11	bitcoin up or down on august 6 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x2e8fb8…
08-06 15:30:21	solana up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x21c38e…
08-06 15:30:15	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x1d719e…
08-06 07:54:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2835e7…
08-06 07:54:42	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f88c9…
08-06 04:58:59	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xbe0411…
08-06 01:43:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1c8379…
08-05 14:56:26	Solana Up or Down - August 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x94914d…
08-05 09:57:47	bitcoin up or down august 5 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xe2d54a…
08-05 03:58:45	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xdc5fa7…
08-05 02:55:42	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xd8f117…
08-05 01:43:45	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x838bdd…
08-05 01:28:57	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe0c81f…
08-04 20:58:29	Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfe041a…
08-04 20:55:45	solana up or down august 4 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0xedaad5…
08-04 20:55:41	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xea7cf9…
08-04 15:58:38	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x2bc5c7…
08-04 15:58:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 4?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x426fc2…
08-04 15:47:48	ethereum up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xf117a8…
08-04 12:29:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xca83e6…
08-04 12:29:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x61ecfb…
08-03 22:58:26	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa879b3…
08-03 22:58:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9b39c0…
08-03 18:59:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xecfd96…
08-03 15:51:53	ethereum up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x53bf0a…
08-03 15:48:53	xrp up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x56621c…
08-03 15:32:03	solana up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x6fb4de…
08-03 11:55:11	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x91413c…