Gracious-Conversation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$20.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$646

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 08-29 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 60% -$4

Other

22% 50% -$4

Politics

20% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$4.0K	2,030	2,030	+0	No	-$4	03-27 13:33
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$4.0K	2,011	2,011	+0	No	+$0	03-28 12:59
trump out as president by march 31	2	$3.9K	1,962	1,962	+0	No	-$4	03-27 04:04
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	2	$3.9K	1,938	1,938	+0	No	-$2	03-26 12:23
will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	2	$3.8K	1,919	1,919	+0	No	-$2	03-29 10:58
Will Solana dip to $20 in April?	2	$57	30	27	+3	No	+$0	04-26 07:25
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	03-06 06:01
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$46	23	23	+0	No	$0	03-24 11:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$33	19	16	+3	Yes	+$0	05-22 07:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	3	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	08-29 18:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$32	16	16	+0	Yes	$0	04-09 08:03
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-30 05:50
will solana dip to 10 in june 2026	2	$29	17	12	+4	No	+$0	06-20 08:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$28	15	13	+2	No	+$0	05-09 10:01
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-26 01:51
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$3	0	3	-3	No	$0	06-04 03:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-29 18:00:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf27ca3…
08-15 02:46:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0xc7d3c9…
08-13 08:19:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xb20353…
06-20 08:42:55	will solana dip to 10 in june 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x134ecc…
06-04 03:49:24	will solana dip to 10 in june 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x83f904…
06-04 03:47:22	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xdaa596…
05-26 01:51:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x564efb…
05-22 07:10:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0xfab283…
05-18 09:12:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$18	0x2eebdd…
05-09 10:01:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x616895…
05-06 11:03:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe5ca86…
04-26 07:25:44	Will Solana dip to $20 in April?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xfe4db2…
04-19 03:18:34	Will Solana dip to $20 in April?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf78888…
04-09 08:03:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x4fec84…
04-08 08:57:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x341e57…
03-30 05:50:28	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb2db2b…
03-29 10:58:46	will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	No	SELL	1,919	100¢	$1,915	0xa16fd2…
03-29 06:08:10	will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	No	BUY	1,919	100¢	$1,917	0x9e7466…
03-28 12:59:33	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	SELL	2,011	100¢	$2,009	0x54cf5b…
03-28 09:11:03	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	2,011	100¢	$2,009	0x9ae83d…
03-27 13:33:45	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	2,030	99¢	$2,016	0xa62a7b…
03-27 04:51:15	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	2,029	99¢	$2,018	0x6e5b1e…
03-27 04:04:59	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	1,962	100¢	$1,956	0x3c2caa…
03-26 13:14:33	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	1,962	100¢	$1,960	0xb9b37d…
03-26 12:23:11	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	SELL	1,938	100¢	$1,934	0x68a436…
03-26 07:58:15	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	1,938	100¢	$1,936	0x335759…
03-24 11:07:35	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x46ed21…
03-23 10:58:43	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe09bf2…
03-16 07:53:19	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6b4aa6…
03-06 06:01:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xa6c4f1…
03-06 04:52:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf0e9d9…