Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.77K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.0%

Resolved

149

Trades

323

lifetime

Volume

$11.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-23 03:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 86% -$12

Other

26% 72% +$1,753

Politics

1% 50% -$1

Sports

0% 100% +$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	4	$1.3K	3,046	0	+3,046	Yes	+$1,757	07-07 16:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$512	545	0	+545	Yes	+$33	10-23 03:47
bitcoin up or down february 16 1am et	3	$405	205	205	+0	Up	+$5	02-16 07:05
Will ETHGAS launch a token by September 30, 2026?	4	$400	206	206	+0	Yes	+$0	01-18 20:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 15:30 UTC	4	$280	141	141	+0	Up	+$0	02-19 15:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 08:30 UTC	4	$251	202	51	+151	Up	+$1	02-14 08:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 05:30 UTC	3	$220	270	0	+270	Down	-$5	02-14 05:34
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 3 9	2	$200	116	116	+0	Yes	+$1	02-02 16:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 15:55 UTC	4	$183	94	94	+0	Down	+$3	02-16 16:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 15:30 UTC	3	$166	84	84	+0	Down	+$2	02-16 15:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 16:00 UTC	3	$161	81	81	+0	Up	+$1	02-16 16:16
bitcoin up or down february 22 7pm et	4	$160	80	80	+0	Down	+$0	02-23 00:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 03:05 UTC	5	$155	157	0	+157	Up	+$2	02-16 03:09
bitcoin up or down february 20 2am et	3	$148	98	98	+0	Down	+$48	02-20 08:05
bitcoin up or down february 27 11pm et	6	$146	73	73	+0	Down	+$0	02-28 04:59
another us government shutdown by february 14	3	$144	75	75	+0	No	+$4	02-14 08:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 04:30 UTC	5	$142	72	72	+0	Down	+$2	02-16 04:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 04:00 UTC	3	$142	72	72	+0	Down	+$2	02-14 04:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:45 UTC	5	$140	144	0	+144	Up	+$4	02-16 04:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 06:45 UTC	4	$131	137	135	+2	Up	+$13	02-20 06:48
bitcoin up or down february 16 6am et	2	$130	135	0	+135	Up	-$130	02-16 11:46
bitcoin up or down february 20 4am et	5	$129	80	80	+0	Up	-$2	02-20 09:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 08:00 UTC	4	$128	133	0	+133	Up	+$5	02-14 08:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 15:20 UTC	4	$124	72	71	+1	Up	+$19	02-16 15:26
bitcoin up or down february 15 10am et	4	$122	62	62	+0	Down	+$2	02-15 16:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 02:45 UTC	3	$120	60	60	+0	Down	+$0	02-16 03:01
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$118	0	123	-123	Yes	-$5	01-18 15:44
bitcoin up or down on february 20	3	$116	96	21	+75	Up	+$1	02-20 16:04
bitcoin up or down february 20 1am et	3	$116	166	64	+102	Up	-$44	02-20 06:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 15:25 UTC	6	$110	61	61	+0	Down	+$10	02-16 15:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 03:47:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	526	94¢	$495	0x10fae6…
10-23 03:37:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x420b6a…
10-21 07:36:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xf2df48…
10-21 07:34:36	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xbfd975…
09-03 13:48:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x38eead…
07-24 01:25:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	66	74¢	$49	0x917778…
07-07 16:55:52	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	1,025	40¢	$410	0xd68f17…
07-07 16:53:11	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	1,020	40¢	$408	0x57d531…
07-07 16:31:23	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc5d679…
07-07 16:30:07	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	996	47¢	$468	0x446cce…
07-03 04:11:46	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x4b1b23…
07-01 03:42:26	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xd60ff9…
06-27 00:46:50	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x3e35c8…
06-20 01:05:04	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x90d57e…
06-12 01:10:24	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xb5bce5…
05-12 00:22:07	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x0a3f42…
05-12 00:21:57	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x6db01c…
05-12 00:21:25	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x73ec05…
05-06 19:01:34	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x5651a5…
04-29 07:41:14	Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x29625e…
04-27 04:17:12	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xb1c4de…
04-08 06:38:21	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0xc6d1f4…
03-14 07:14:47	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xc847c5…
03-08 14:33:13	orcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 09 2026 1pt71	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xec3798…
03-05 21:06:39	orcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 09 2026 1pt71	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x2c32cd…
03-05 17:38:19	orcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 09 2026 1pt71	Yes	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x648947…
03-05 11:35:21	orcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 09 2026 1pt71	Yes	SELL	40	79¢	$32	0xff6b1e…
03-05 06:38:09	orcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 09 2026 1pt71	Yes	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x7e4800…
03-02 15:23:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 2	No	SELL	40	37¢	$15	0xef9a54…
03-02 14:12:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x2bf92f…
03-02 14:11:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xbe5131…
03-02 14:09:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 2	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xaba678…
02-28 04:59:55	bitcoin up or down february 27 11pm et	Down	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xe746b9…
02-28 04:58:43	bitcoin up or down february 27 11pm et	Down	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfbffb3…
02-28 04:58:29	bitcoin up or down february 27 11pm et	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x32cd11…
02-28 04:58:23	bitcoin up or down february 27 11pm et	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xf47d7e…
02-28 04:58:03	bitcoin up or down february 27 11pm et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcff066…
02-28 04:56:03	bitcoin up or down february 27 11pm et	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf0d429…
02-26 15:48:50	bitcoin up or down february 26 10am et	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x56ba0b…
02-26 15:43:58	orcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 09 2026 1pt71	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x63e88b…
02-25 05:41:34	trump announces military action against iran durring sotu	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xdb6ab9…
02-25 04:07:32	trump announces military action against iran durring sotu	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x5315ec…
02-25 03:15:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 03:10 UTC	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7f51f4…
02-25 03:14:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4f60cd…
02-25 01:26:02	trump announces military action against iran durring sotu	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xbf7d3d…
02-25 00:49:12	trump announces military action against iran durring sotu	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xf8d405…
02-25 00:28:06	trump announces military action against iran durring sotu	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x13e132…
02-25 00:24:44	grpn quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 10 2026 0pt16	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x9b3331…
02-25 00:24:38	grpn quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 10 2026 0pt16	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xe8b9a0…
02-25 00:24:22	open up or down on february 24 2026	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe71a45…
02-24 16:20:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 16:15 UTC	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xa0fad0…
02-24 16:19:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc66b92…
02-24 16:17:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xf594d2…
02-23 00:58:42	bitcoin up or down february 22 7pm et	Down	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x49a61d…
02-23 00:50:24	bitcoin up or down february 22 7pm et	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe4de29…
02-23 00:45:50	bitcoin up or down february 22 7pm et	Down	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xf00cbd…
02-23 00:40:20	bitcoin up or down february 22 7pm et	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x448c6d…
02-23 00:38:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x4f4c17…
02-23 00:33:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x85685d…
02-23 00:32:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xf84d52…
02-23 00:32:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x8a1770…
02-22 14:14:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdc3b27…
02-22 14:09:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x48dbfe…
02-22 14:09:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb3e0ba…
02-22 14:09:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x63aa13…
02-22 13:56:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 13:50 UTC	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x55ad32…
02-22 13:54:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf5dbe8…
02-22 13:38:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x30876a…
02-21 08:04:12	solana up or down on february 21	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x88a751…
02-21 08:01:08	solana up or down on february 21	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0864bd…
02-21 08:00:58	solana up or down on february 21	Up	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0xb32f18…
02-20 16:25:12	ethereum up or down on february 20	Down	BUY	88	1¢	$1	0x61b606…
02-20 16:17:50	bitcoin up or down february 20 11am et	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xbdd120…
02-20 16:17:50	bitcoin up or down february 20 11am et	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x07d86b…
02-20 16:17:48	bitcoin up or down february 20 11am et	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x196cc9…
02-20 16:04:50	bitcoin up or down on february 20	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x49d74a…
02-20 16:03:38	bitcoin up or down on february 20	Up	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xb6964b…
02-20 15:59:28	bitcoin up or down on february 20	Up	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x9951d2…
02-20 15:58:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x476288…
02-20 15:57:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x7a889c…
02-20 15:57:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xa31585…
02-20 09:11:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x7cdb24…
02-20 09:08:42	bitcoin up or down february 20 4am et	Up	SELL	80	79¢	$63	0x92f013…
02-20 09:05:06	bitcoin up or down february 20 4am et	Up	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0xa8ce3e…
02-20 09:05:06	bitcoin up or down february 20 4am et	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x77b4fc…
02-20 09:05:04	bitcoin up or down february 20 4am et	Up	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0xbbb336…
02-20 09:05:00	bitcoin up or down february 20 4am et	Up	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xf78134…
02-20 08:15:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x601b6a…
02-20 08:15:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x5744d2…
02-20 08:15:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xecc927…
02-20 08:15:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xc3aa51…
02-20 08:15:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x5ff6ca…
02-20 08:13:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	81	6¢	$5	0xc588d1…
02-20 08:12:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xb1ffad…
02-20 08:05:14	bitcoin up or down february 20 2am et	Down	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0x775b66…
02-20 08:03:06	bitcoin up or down february 20 3am et	Down	BUY	15	44¢	$6	0xe809ee…
02-20 08:03:06	bitcoin up or down february 20 3am et	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x0f9847…
02-20 07:24:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x0590e7…
02-20 07:15:20	bitcoin up or down february 20 2am et	Down	BUY	90	51¢	$46	0xd49517…
02-20 07:15:20	bitcoin up or down february 20 2am et	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x11acc9…