Elliptical-Choker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.9%

Resolved

7,388

Trades

13,066

lifetime

Volume

$453.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-01 18:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 162 days

Categories

Other

47% 69% -$12,780

Crypto

37% 76% +$1,166

Sports

11% 73% +$15,132

Politics

5% 67% +$15,714

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	115	$33.4K	26,266	25,158	+1,109	Yes	-$8,397	08-13 15:58
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	59	$13.4K	9,054	10,597	-1,543	Yes	+$1,558	06-21 19:28
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	5	$11.3K	6,377	5,377	+1,000	No	+$271	06-30 22:27
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10.3K	21,135	21,135	+0	No	+$3,466	07-08 18:18
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$8.3K	8,432	0	+8,432	No	+$122	07-18 23:10
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	18	$8.3K	4,623	4,623	+0	Yes	+$928	06-23 18:23
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	2	$8.3K	5,614	5,614	+0	Yes	+$1,909	06-20 17:52
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 40 59	3	$8.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	No	+$11	03-01 23:06
cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 atm	12	$7.9K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	+$44	02-12 21:34
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	11	$7.7K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$825	07-02 19:36
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	63	$7.6K	12,160	1,045	+11,115	No	+$4,493	05-17 10:29
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	13	$7.3K	21,135	10,500	+10,635	Yes	+$10,938	07-14 20:00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$7.0K	21,135	21,135	+0	No	+$2,431	07-14 21:16
epl liv wes 2026 02 28 liv	7	$6.0K	4,500	1,500	+3,000	Yes	+$35	02-28 16:42
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	28	$5.2K	21,135	8,000	+13,135	No	+$1,518	07-19 19:00
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	2	$5.1K	8,337	8,337	+0	No	+$83	07-05 22:49
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	76	$5.0K	6,850	0	+6,850	Argentina	+$1,849	07-09 02:13
cbb cabap kan 2026 03 20	2	$4.4K	1,000	4,000	-3,000	Kansas Jayhawks	-$360	03-21 00:43
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 7pt5	4	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	Under	+$10	06-20 01:59
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	2	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$76	06-14 18:13
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?	13	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$110	07-02 00:44
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5	24	$3.6K	3,333	3,333	+0	Under	-$80	06-15 19:30
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 140 159	3	$3.6K	2,800	800	+2,000	No	+$3	03-06 17:20
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	2	$3.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$280	06-19 19:45
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5	37	$3.2K	2,000	2,000	+0	Under	+$220	06-15 23:17
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$3.2K	2,777	2,777	+0	Yes	+$2,383	07-07 19:40
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 3pt5	1	$3.0K	4,777	0	+4,777	Over	-$3,010	06-16 21:59
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5	2	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	Under	+$14	06-13 20:59
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5	29	$2.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	Under	+$40	06-14 23:11
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	9	$2.5K	8,937	0	+8,937	Belgium	-$2,502	07-07 00:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 18:46:21	Denmark vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	720	96¢	$691	0xeb73fd…
10-01 18:46:20	Denmark vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	322	96¢	$309	0xe0ff48…
09-09 19:24:19	SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1,227	89¢	$1,092	0x01d600…
09-09 19:22:37	SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	455	89¢	$405	0x0dd38d…
09-09 19:21:24	SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	530	89¢	$472	0x9a8d70…
09-09 19:21:21	SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	35	89¢	$31	0xfcd0f3…
09-08 19:15:30	Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xd42bbb…
09-08 19:12:57	FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	997	93¢	$927	0x510758…
09-08 19:12:51	FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	79	93¢	$73	0xbd5c84…
08-13 15:58:40	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xf08357…
08-13 15:46:51	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0xb7a471…
08-11 18:09:55	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	299	43¢	$127	0xaece67…
08-11 07:49:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	500	43¢	$213	0xad2c6a…
08-11 07:49:43	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	837	43¢	$356	0xdb9f14…
08-11 06:41:33	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xdcee9d…
08-11 05:57:03	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	43	43¢	$19	0x716abe…
08-11 04:29:37	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	33	43¢	$14	0xd56546…
08-11 04:19:18	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	17	43¢	$7	0x2f1b89…
08-11 01:44:51	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	60	43¢	$25	0x826c25…
08-11 01:36:52	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	56	43¢	$24	0x89bf74…
08-10 22:41:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2,000	43¢	$852	0x479951…
08-10 21:15:18	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	200	43¢	$85	0x8578e8…
08-10 20:19:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0xe83471…
08-10 20:18:48	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	259	43¢	$110	0x49fce4…
08-10 20:15:09	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	191	43¢	$81	0x117c22…
08-09 09:36:31	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x120a0b…
08-09 09:35:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x87f502…
08-09 09:27:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0x85be54…
08-09 09:04:09	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xa27b53…
08-09 08:21:42	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x63f2b5…
08-09 06:57:18	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	47	43¢	$20	0x27ac46…
08-09 06:51:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	38	43¢	$16	0x984615…
08-09 06:42:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	92	43¢	$39	0x190beb…
08-09 04:15:49	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0x9d5738…
08-09 03:57:33	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xfc372e…
08-09 03:17:51	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	99	43¢	$42	0xe79f63…
08-09 03:17:04	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x9f0b1e…
08-09 03:15:34	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xbd6e41…
08-09 03:14:22	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xe37dde…
08-09 02:34:12	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x37842b…
08-09 02:27:25	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	58	43¢	$25	0x816f39…
08-09 00:35:49	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x3ccbfb…
08-08 22:53:40	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xf037b4…
08-08 22:53:13	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	13	43¢	$5	0x9aec59…
08-08 22:53:13	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x7b36c5…
08-08 22:53:07	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xf1dee6…
08-08 22:53:07	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xbd0ca2…
08-08 22:37:24	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	359	43¢	$153	0xfa6063…
08-08 22:33:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x5d61c1…
08-08 22:32:37	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	13	43¢	$5	0x55f8a0…
08-08 22:32:34	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x17761b…
08-08 21:16:06	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xa0a4b3…
08-08 20:17:07	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0x466f5b…
08-08 20:14:22	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	400	43¢	$170	0xff6b58…
08-08 20:12:58	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	400	43¢	$170	0xf318ef…
08-08 20:00:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	119	43¢	$51	0xeae2c3…
08-08 19:59:28	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x027f5e…
08-08 18:50:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x410820…
08-08 18:41:01	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x1c4e43…
08-08 18:09:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	25	43¢	$11	0x56d268…
08-08 18:08:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0x2ddf16…
08-08 17:23:01	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0xd721ac…
08-08 17:02:25	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x8170ef…
08-08 16:09:48	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	235	43¢	$100	0x7a9e81…
08-08 16:09:43	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	235	43¢	$100	0x6ffa36…
08-08 16:04:24	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	376	43¢	$160	0x342c19…
08-08 15:42:19	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	37	43¢	$16	0x401e8a…
08-08 13:42:37	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x388f15…
08-08 13:31:16	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	106	43¢	$45	0x7437d5…
08-08 13:00:01	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x31f81e…
08-08 12:13:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	118	43¢	$50	0xcb595a…
08-08 11:30:52	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	40	43¢	$17	0x13eddd…
08-08 10:44:24	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	1,140	43¢	$486	0x2d3828…
08-08 10:34:13	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x7319a2…
08-08 07:58:33	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	49	43¢	$21	0xf5b1e2…
08-08 07:36:16	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	21	43¢	$9	0x71ac65…
08-08 07:25:01	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x9f3543…
08-08 07:21:18	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x35df2c…
08-08 07:06:12	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x222525…
08-08 06:37:27	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x1071ec…
08-08 06:28:48	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	350	43¢	$149	0x9b43d0…
08-08 06:24:01	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x2c8ea1…
08-08 06:15:01	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xf75e55…
08-08 06:10:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x30569f…
08-08 05:59:52	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x0ea057…
08-08 05:59:19	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xc36b80…
08-08 05:54:34	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x32c2e0…
08-08 05:54:31	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x4cde9a…
08-08 05:39:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xcea627…
08-08 05:38:12	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x985221…
08-08 05:23:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x97eeed…
08-08 05:22:28	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x926d91…
08-08 05:05:40	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	43¢	$21	0x75a15e…
08-08 03:41:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0x1f5f98…
08-08 02:48:25	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	400	43¢	$170	0xd54621…
08-08 00:05:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	198	43¢	$84	0x27c713…
08-07 23:42:48	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	22	43¢	$10	0xa93445…
08-07 22:59:28	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xb7e8d6…
08-07 21:39:18	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	43¢	$21	0xfa005a…
08-07 21:39:18	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	43¢	$21	0x23796e…