Different-Poisoning-Helmet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

Trades

326

lifetime

Volume

$1.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$114

1 position

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-11 21:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 64% +$17

Other

47% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+137	$97	84¢	$114	+$17	06-11 21:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	15	$316	282	100	+182	open	—	06-11 21:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	10	$308	184	184	+0	open	—	05-31 04:04
btc updown 5m 1776209700	5	$88	52	51	+1	open	—	04-14 23:40
btc updown 5m 1776209100	4	$54	29	28	+0	open	—	04-14 23:30
btc updown 5m 1776205200	4	$53	29	28	+0	open	—	04-14 22:26
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	1	$49	0	50	-50	open	—	06-09 17:09
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	3	$46	25	25	+0	open	—	06-08 12:13
btc updown 5m 1776210000	1	$45	340	0	+340	open	—	04-14 23:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$44	28	28	+0	open	—	04-27 11:44
btc updown 5m 1776207000	4	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	04-14 22:55
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	10	$41	17,665	0	+17,665	open	—	06-04 00:02
btc updown 5m 1776207300	3	$36	21	21	+0	open	—	04-14 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	3	$34	22	22	+0	Up	+$10	05-06 15:59
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$32	50	0	+50	open	—	06-14 15:18
btc updown 5m 1776205800	5	$29	28	10	+18	open	—	04-14 22:35
btc updown 5m 1776206100	4	$28	16	16	+0	open	—	04-14 22:40
btc updown 5m 1776212100	4	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 00:21
btc updown 5m 1776212700	5	$16	19	5	+14	open	—	04-15 00:29
will mark rutte say oil or gas or gasoline during meeting with prime minister of czechia	2	$15	25	25	+0	open	—	04-16 19:06
btc updown 5m 1776210600	3	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	04-14 23:55
fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	1	$14	25	0	+25	open	—	06-09 04:15
btc updown 5m 1776893700	7	$11	14	3	+11	open	—	04-22 21:39
btc updown 5m 1776893100	5	$9	14	0	+14	open	—	04-22 21:29
btc updown 5m 1776892500	2	$9	11	0	+11	open	—	04-22 21:19
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	3	$8	16	8	+8	open	—	04-18 19:42
xrp updown 5m 1776216000	3	$7	9	0	+9	open	—	04-15 01:23
btc updown 5m 1776211800	2	$6	10	9	+1	open	—	04-15 00:12
uel cel4 scf 2026 04 16 btts	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-16 19:05
btc updown 5m 1776210300	3	$5	45	19	+26	open	—	04-14 23:49
btc updown 5m 1776206400	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-14 22:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 15:18:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x0f0835…
06-14 15:18:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x412492…
06-11 21:32:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xe50cd6…
06-11 21:16:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0xb2f1d3…
06-11 21:11:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8545d7…
06-11 21:11:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x0c939e…
06-11 21:11:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xef270e…
06-11 21:11:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	35	81¢	$28	0xe98c55…
06-09 17:09:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xccc268…
06-09 16:40:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x4a0e85…
06-09 04:15:42	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0x4265bb…
06-08 12:13:54	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb7e18c…
06-08 12:10:33	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x004142…
06-08 01:59:45	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	25	86¢	$22	0x7cd29e…
06-04 00:02:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0x5fb4a4…
06-04 00:02:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xd26d26…
06-04 00:01:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xea7320…
06-04 00:01:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9b5128…
06-03 23:50:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x810654…
06-03 22:11:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	358	0¢	$1	0xf49eb5…
06-03 22:01:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	375	0¢	$2	0xc9bf47…
06-03 21:44:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	320	1¢	$3	0xa6c81f…
06-03 21:43:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xd4e276…
06-03 21:43:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	168	1¢	$2	0x5f69b7…
06-03 21:23:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xedc84c…
06-03 21:22:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0x58a167…
06-02 16:09:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	42	79¢	$33	0x768723…
06-02 16:05:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x7e736f…
06-01 06:33:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	22	73¢	$16	0x8da573…
06-01 06:29:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x1d73d5…
05-31 04:04:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x0b37d3…
05-26 15:07:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	80	98¢	$78	0xd2681f…
05-26 14:39:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x2a0328…
05-26 03:36:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0xab7f38…
05-07 23:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x91be7b…
05-07 23:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x97ad4e…
05-07 21:08:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xb36207…
05-07 13:26:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x0e613f…
05-06 19:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x1da983…
05-06 19:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xc67547…
05-06 19:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x1a2c58…
05-06 19:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf98d82…
05-06 19:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8d8fc4…
05-06 19:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa8c77a…
05-06 19:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb8d6f1…
05-06 19:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xb7bca8…
05-06 19:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5fd8da…
05-06 19:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x09f094…
05-06 19:23:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0xa7459e…
05-06 19:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x196b2e…
05-06 19:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xffcc69…
05-06 15:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x196447…
05-06 15:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfccc1b…
05-06 15:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x217411…
05-06 14:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xcf1777…
05-06 13:18:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	47	69¢	$32	0x787452…
05-06 13:18:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0x038a06…
05-06 13:16:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	73	69¢	$51	0xb958c9…
05-06 13:06:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	44	70¢	$31	0xf9cba6…
05-05 18:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4f55b1…
05-05 18:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe39033…
05-05 18:18:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x684d5d…
05-05 18:12:02	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x2bc233…
05-05 18:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x055f25…
05-05 18:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x19c5db…
05-05 18:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x653b6a…
05-05 17:08:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x95301c…
05-05 17:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x4af3d2…
05-05 17:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3be4e4…
05-05 17:05:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8ecec7…
05-05 16:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x37452e…
05-05 16:54:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x75b866…
05-05 16:52:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc6398d…
05-05 16:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x103b9e…
05-05 16:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc26576…
05-05 16:50:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa5e126…
05-05 16:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc6d0fd…
05-05 16:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x31ff17…
05-05 16:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4487c2…
05-05 16:42:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x01bc73…
05-05 16:41:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xcee085…
05-05 16:39:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x275f87…
05-05 16:38:48	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd39465…
05-05 16:33:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x976f6e…
05-05 16:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x060f95…
05-05 16:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0xf85d35…
05-05 16:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3636a3…
05-05 16:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf8bb9c…
05-05 16:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x27138f…
05-05 16:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0f72eb…
05-05 16:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xabd9ce…
05-05 16:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xff82be…
05-05 16:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x64f6ee…
05-05 16:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x41252c…
04-27 11:44:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x4d52b4…
04-27 11:40:46	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,750	0¢	$4	0x9396c2…
04-26 06:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbf1b70…
04-26 06:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xaf38de…
04-24 04:38:36	btc updown 5m 1777005600	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xaefea3…
04-24 04:33:02	btc updown 5m 1777005300	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x6ef2d9…