Incomplete-Cargo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$43.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

95.3%

Resolved

133

Trades

148

lifetime

Volume

$47.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$321

Open exposure

$30

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-31 10:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

69% 96% +$30,742

Politics

31% 100% +$12,801

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No		+32	$30	94¢	$30	$0	10-31 10:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Alexander Lukashenko in Turkmenistan?	2	$14.6K	17,779	17,779	+0	No	+$12,801	10-10 13:55
bkseriea din der 2026 02 15	3	$11.5K	11,230	11,230	+0	Derthona Basket	+$9,196	02-13 13:21
will patty murray vote yea on the department of homeland security appropriations act 2026 567	2	$5.1K	5,022	5,022	+0	No	+$4,068	01-31 15:12
Will Abbigal Hatton / Luc Pham win the 2026 PPA: Sacramento Open (Mixed Doubles) tournament?	2	$4.5K	4,577	4,577	+0	No	+$4,394	04-10 12:32
Will the DHS shutdown end before April 1, 2026?	2	$3.3K	4,064	4,064	+0	No	+$3,129	03-26 02:27
will jessica barrett and chris fusco marry by the end of love is blind season 10	2	$2.2K	1,650	1,650	+0	No	-$924	02-13 13:23
nvda above 210 on february 6 2026	2	$1.6K	1,568	1,568	+0	No	+$1,333	01-31 15:06
epl lee ars 2026 01 31 ars	3	$1.3K	2,300	0	+2,300	Yes	+$1,012	01-31 15:21
wta stefani jorg 2026 02 13 set totals 2pt5	2	$1.1K	1,184	1,148	+36	Over 2.5	+$1,138	02-13 13:18
earnings mentions johnson johnson 2026 01 21 administration 1 times	1	$1.1K	7,815	0	+7,815	Yes	+$6,721	01-14 13:17
aus ccm vic 2026 02 01 vic	2	$630	656	656	+0	No	+$538	01-14 13:13
bkcba tia sha2 2026 02 02	2	$145	144	144	+0	Tianjin Pioneers	+$105	01-31 15:00
Will Jack Sock / Lea Jansen win the 2026 PPA: Sacramento Open (Mixed Doubles) tournament?	2	$52	53	53	+0	No	+$51	04-09 14:37
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 180 199	1	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$0	04-08 14:48
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	10-31 10:00
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$27	46	0	+46	Spain	-$27	07-12 13:31
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	1	$22	28	0	+28	France	+$6	07-09 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 18?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-17 14:31
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	1	$20	22	0	+22	France	+$2	06-30 15:04
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 8?	1	$17	20	0	+20	No	+$2	05-07 12:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	04-30 05:17
highest temperature in singapore on april 21 2026 28c	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	04-20 00:58
highest temperature in singapore on april 18 2026 26c	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	04-16 13:18
will bitcoin dip to 56k april 6 12	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-10 12:34
solana above 90 on march 6	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	03-06 15:16
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-06 15:16
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	1	$5	13	0	+13	No	-$5	03-30 14:09
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	03-15 10:52
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	03-15 10:52
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	03-22 04:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 10:00:58	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x84e692…
10-10 13:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x05bf0d…
10-10 13:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5a0d56…
10-10 13:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on October 11?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x387517…
10-10 13:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd1ab19…
10-10 13:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x868cb9…
10-10 13:56:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb9136d…
10-10 13:56:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 11?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf99a86…
10-10 13:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or higher on October 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3c6418…
10-10 13:56:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x327fa6…
10-10 13:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 11?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa2683f…
10-10 13:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xda390e…
10-10 13:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x190a0b…
10-10 13:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x58db4d…
10-10 13:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xec533d…
10-10 13:56:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8affa1…
10-10 13:55:40	Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Alexander Lukashenko in Turkmenistan?	Yes	SELL	17,779	77¢	$13,690	0x13da74…
10-10 13:54:40	Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Alexander Lukashenko in Turkmenistan?	Yes	BUY	17,779	5¢	$889	0x1ac519…
07-12 13:31:23	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	46	60¢	$27	0xba45b3…
07-09 14:24:34	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	28	77¢	$22	0x71b59e…
06-30 15:04:50	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x856554…
05-17 14:31:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 18?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9064fa…
05-07 12:24:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 8?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$17	0xb09aac…
04-30 05:17:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x77572e…
04-25 13:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C or below on April 27?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc3ae8e…
04-25 13:38:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on April 27?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x877dc3…
04-25 13:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x25b03b…
04-25 13:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc7291e…
04-25 13:37:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on April 27?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x439ebf…
04-25 13:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on April 27?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa6143d…
04-25 13:37:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on April 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4f57f5…
04-25 13:37:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on April 27?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaacf01…
04-25 13:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x81f167…
04-25 13:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x407d56…
04-20 00:58:26	highest temperature in singapore on april 21 2026 28c	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x78446f…
04-16 13:18:34	highest temperature in singapore on april 18 2026 26c	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xca243d…
04-10 12:34:15	will bitcoin dip to 56k april 6 12	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf35de…
04-10 12:34:03	ethereum above 2000 on april 10	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4b7b0d…
04-10 12:33:59	ethereum above 2400 on april 10	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5c8475…
04-10 12:33:53	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x94e27a…
04-10 12:33:49	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9ef70f…
04-10 12:32:13	Will Abbigal Hatton / Luc Pham win the 2026 PPA: Sacramento Open (Mixed Doubles) tournament?	Yes	SELL	4,577	97¢	$4,440	0xf534d6…
04-10 12:31:01	Will Abbigal Hatton / Luc Pham win the 2026 PPA: Sacramento Open (Mixed Doubles) tournament?	Yes	BUY	4,577	1¢	$46	0x6ac386…
04-09 14:37:05	Will Jack Sock / Lea Jansen win the 2026 PPA: Sacramento Open (Mixed Doubles) tournament?	Yes	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0xa5c00e…
04-09 14:36:45	Will Jack Sock / Lea Jansen win the 2026 PPA: Sacramento Open (Mixed Doubles) tournament?	Yes	BUY	53	1¢	$1	0x14e1b7…
04-08 14:48:13	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 180 199	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x170dc5…
03-30 14:09:41	Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xc07b97…
03-26 02:33:47	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x161fe9…
03-26 02:33:41	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x20f86f…
03-26 02:33:33	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0d5ea3…
03-26 02:33:27	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6dc3d6…
03-26 02:33:23	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x28ce6a…
03-26 02:33:13	will sofi technologies sofi be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x74b70d…
03-26 02:33:09	will affirm holdings afrm be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa3a88a…
03-26 02:33:01	will alnylam pharmaceuticals alny be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x31ebc5…
03-26 02:32:55	will strategy microstrategy mstr be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcdce2d…
03-26 02:32:47	will pure storage pstg be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x532442…
03-26 02:32:31	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8e7a6a…
03-26 02:32:27	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcf54dd…
03-26 02:32:23	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcb935d…
03-26 02:32:17	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe757e4…
03-26 02:32:13	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x351837…
03-26 02:32:07	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x218bf7…
03-26 02:32:03	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf2f4e4…
03-26 02:31:57	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfc52ca…
03-26 02:31:41	Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x669175…
03-26 02:31:37	Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcc6230…
03-26 02:31:33	Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8792f5…
03-26 02:31:25	will anthropic have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2197e2…
03-26 02:31:19	will openai have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x627b5b…
03-26 02:31:17	will deepseek have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x289b4a…
03-26 02:31:13	will zai have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x13c26b…
03-26 02:31:09	will mistral have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0effc8…
03-26 02:31:05	will alibaba have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa5ccca…
03-26 02:31:01	will moonshot have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3f8b38…
03-26 02:30:53	will meituan have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x992972…
03-26 02:30:37	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfb9dac…
03-26 02:30:33	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2a9d0e…
03-26 02:30:29	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfdb4d5…
03-26 02:27:41	Will the DHS shutdown end before April 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,064	79¢	$3,211	0x1bf495…
03-26 02:27:23	Will the DHS shutdown end before April 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,064	2¢	$81	0x5fbe0d…
03-22 04:51:07	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xdbf8d8…
03-15 10:52:31	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xa9ae96…
03-15 10:52:27	Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8d4fda…
03-15 10:52:21	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x9a0d97…
03-06 15:16:55	solana above 90 on march 6	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2788fe…
03-06 15:16:39	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1fdb27…
03-06 15:16:35	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x032db2…
03-06 15:16:33	Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf6d2db…
03-06 15:16:31	Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x394c33…
02-13 13:26:31	will xrp reach 1pt8 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb7c410…
02-13 13:26:27	will xrp reach 1pt9 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x43a2fa…
02-13 13:26:25	will xrp reach 2 february 9 15	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf14511…
02-13 13:26:23	will xrp reach 2pt1 february 9 15	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaf0850…
02-13 13:26:19	will xrp dip to 0pt9 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbdcad6…
02-13 13:26:17	will xrp dip to 0pt8 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3f1eb4…
02-13 13:26:15	will xrp dip to 0pt7 february 9 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9ffe43…
02-13 13:26:07	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe22ab2…
02-13 13:26:05	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x09616e…
02-13 13:26:01	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x53c702…