Creative-Bookend — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$135

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved

412

Trades

447

lifetime

Volume

$2.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$27

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-31 23:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 127 days

Categories

Sports

60% 50% +$91

Other

40% 50% +$41

Politics

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	+33	$10	30¢	$10	$0	10-19 23:58
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+75	$15	12¢	$9	-$6	10-20 18:54
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?	Yes	+29	$10	26¢	$8	-$2	09-01 02:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba hou cha 2026 02 19	2	$28	19	19	+0	Rockets	+$9	02-20 03:37
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	2	$23	18	18	+0	Yes	+$13	06-12 22:08
cbb smu miaoh 2026 03 18	2	$23	18	18	+0	Miami (OH) RedHawks	+$13	03-19 05:36
nhl sea buf 2026 03 28	2	$22	17	17	+0	Sabres	+$12	03-29 01:31
Canadiens vs. Sabres	1	$20	38	0	+38	Canadiens	-$20	05-18 22:15
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East?	1	$20	35	0	+35	open	—	09-01 02:02
will the carolina panthers win more than 7pt5 games in the 2026 nfl regular season	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	09-01 01:55
nhl bos buf 2026 04 19	1	$20	33	0	+33	Sabres	+$13	04-19 23:22
Will the New England Patriots make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	1	$20	52	0	+52	open	—	09-01 02:00
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	2	$17	10	10	+0	Patriots	+$3	01-25 23:56
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox	2	$17	12	12	+0	Houston Astros	+$7	05-03 23:19
Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros	2	$15	11	11	+0	Chicago White Sox	+$5	09-30 00:09
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	1	$15	75	0	+75	open	—	10-20 18:54
nhl bos buf 2026 04 21	1	$15	25	0	+25	Bruins	-$15	04-21 11:22
Will the Green Bay Packers have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	1	$15	29	0	+29	open	—	10-20 00:02
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	1	$15	46	0	+46	No	-$15	07-14 18:30
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox	3	$15	20	10	+10	Atlanta Braves	+$5	08-20 01:30
nba mia cha 2026 03 06	2	$14	11	11	+0	Heat	+$8	03-07 03:17
cbb wisc mich 2026 01 10	2	$13	13	13	+0	Wisconsin Badgers	+$3	01-10 20:10
nhl sj buf 2026 03 10	2	$13	8	8	+0	Sabres	+$3	03-11 01:47
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$2	02-01 01:16
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	2	$12	8	8	+0	No	+$2	02-08 14:09
nhl min col 2026 03 08	2	$11	7	7	+0	Avalanche	+$3	03-08 20:54
nhl nsh buf 2026 03 07	1	$10	16	0	+16	Sabres	+$6	03-07 12:14
Canadiens vs. Lightning	1	$10	25	0	+25	Canadiens	+$15	05-03 18:00
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	1	$10	26	0	+26	No	-$10	10-20 18:53
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	1	$10	31	0	+31	Yes	+$21	07-19 18:08
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	1	$10	52	0	+52	open	—	10-20 18:57
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?	1	$10	33	0	+33	open	—	10-19 23:58
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	1	$10	18	0	+18	Tampa Bay Rays	+$8	10-13 22:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 23:49:16	Spread: Miami (FL) (-13.5)	Miami (FL)	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xedfd0f…
10-31 23:48:01	Spread: Memphis (-6.5)	Army	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x739a31…
10-31 23:47:46	Spread: Nebraska (-7.5)	Washington	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x341a6e…
10-31 23:46:57	Spread: Ohio State (-3.5)	USC	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9b598d…
10-31 14:45:18	Spread: Oklahoma (-3.5)	Oklahoma	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdbd889…
10-31 14:44:22	Spread: Utah (-7.5)	Cincinnati	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd9a890…
10-31 14:43:55	Spread: Indiana (-20.5)	Minnesota	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc97a88…
10-31 14:43:42	Spread: Oregon (-3.5)	Oregon	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe207e1…
10-31 14:43:22	Spread: Georgia (-11.5)	Florida	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9a8846…
10-31 14:42:07	Spread: Ole Miss (-10.5)	Ole Miss	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcc2a6d…
10-31 14:41:09	Spread: Texas Tech (-3.5)	Texas Tech	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0ff6a0…
10-31 14:40:25	Spread: Iowa (-2.5)	Iowa	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3fc3d0…
10-25 13:30:39	Spread: Broncos (-4.5)	Cardinals	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x8bfae5…
10-25 13:30:15	Spread: Jets (-4.5)	Dolphins	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xf5fa73…
10-25 13:14:17	Spread: Panthers (-2.5)	Panthers	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x817930…
10-25 13:13:45	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 42.5	Over	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x960e6f…
10-24 21:49:32	Spread: Utah (-6.5)	Houston	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x029b14…
10-24 21:48:17	Spread: North Carolina (-8.5)	North Carolina	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc1f7a8…
10-24 21:47:27	Spread: USC (-2.5)	Wisconsin	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x321b67…
10-24 21:43:30	Spread: Texas (-3.5)	Ole Miss	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x514c1e…
10-24 21:41:18	Spread: Clemson (-3.5)	Clemson	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc50d69…
10-24 14:48:03	Spread: Iowa (-7.5)	Minnesota	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x21ea02…
10-24 14:47:45	Spread: BYU (-7.5)	UCF	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xc9164b…
10-24 14:47:38	Spread: Oklahoma (-2.5)	Oklahoma	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x68227c…
10-24 14:47:23	Spread: South Carolina (-2.5)	Tennessee	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x871ceb…
10-24 14:44:12	Spread: Texas Tech (-10.5)	Cincinnati	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x4023f8…
10-24 14:43:51	Spread: Miami (FL) (-20.5)	Pittsburgh	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xb955e7…
10-23 18:49:29	Army vs. Tulsa	Tulsa	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x33573e…
10-23 18:49:08	Spread: Air Force (-5.5)	Wyoming	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x32041e…
10-23 17:07:26	Spread: Virginia (-2.5)	Virginia	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x354f00…
10-23 17:06:54	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xf2b16a…
10-23 17:05:24	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x4d64ff…
10-22 19:07:14	Spread: Memphis (-10.5)	Memphis	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x701346…
10-22 19:06:42	Spread: James Madison (-10.5)	Appalachian State	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0xdeae64…
10-22 19:05:44	Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 50.5	Under	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x75dabb…
10-20 18:57:06	Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0xa07762…
10-20 18:54:42	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0xbe506f…
10-20 18:53:23	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xaa436a…
10-20 18:51:14	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x014053…
10-20 18:50:11	Spread: Knicks (-4.5)	Knicks	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6d53e6…
10-20 18:49:45	Celtics vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x19da3d…
10-20 00:02:14	Will the Green Bay Packers have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x007de1…
10-19 23:58:26	Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x6b05a0…
10-19 23:39:23	Spread: 49ers (-7.5)	Commanders	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xb92c77…
10-18 12:19:02	Spread: Packers (-1.5)	Packers	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xc01eb0…
10-18 12:18:41	Spread: Bills (-5.5)	Bills	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xacce73…
10-18 12:18:24	Spread: Chiefs (-7.5)	Chargers	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x092e2a…
10-18 12:17:21	Spread: Saints (-1.5)	Giants	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xb84e42…
10-18 12:15:29	Spread: Ravens (-3.5)	Browns	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x9e5fc0…
10-18 12:15:11	Spread: Panthers (-3.5)	Eagles	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x7febe5…
10-18 12:14:36	Spread: Jaguars (-2.5)	Texans	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xe60434…
10-17 15:34:29	Spread: Oregon (-6.5)	Nebraska	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe06dd0…
10-17 15:34:08	Spread: UCLA (-2.5)	Wisconsin	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8c772d…
10-17 15:33:51	Spread: Houston (-4.5)	Oklahoma State	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5732c8…
10-17 15:31:24	Spread: Oklahoma (-6.5)	Kentucky	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa7a84b…
10-17 15:27:53	Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5)	BYU	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5c50e2…
10-17 15:27:08	Spread: Ole Miss (-4.5)	Ole Miss	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb754e1…
10-17 15:25:14	Spread: Alabama (-7.5)	Tennessee	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x84e0d5…
10-17 15:24:53	Spread: Duke (-2.5)	North Carolina	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x812cb0…
10-17 15:22:15	Spread: Michigan (-6.5)	Penn State	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa14789…
10-17 15:20:08	Spread: Texas (-10.5)	Florida	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xa245a5…
10-17 15:17:12	Spread: Ohio State (-2.5)	Ohio State	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x326e79…
10-17 15:16:11	Spread: LSU (-17.5)	Mississippi State	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4807e6…
10-16 21:16:59	Spread: Purdue (-3.5)	Washington	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x7a8237…
10-16 21:14:45	Spread: Memphis (-6.5)	Tulane	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xa7a8e8…
10-15 22:30:25	East Carolina vs. UAB	UAB	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x815ec0…
10-15 22:28:20	Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Broncos	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x6fdc68…
10-15 22:27:39	nhl nyi ott 2026 10 15	Islanders	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x2d6ec8…
10-13 22:31:57	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xa0046b…
10-13 22:13:34	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x7d1021…
10-12 19:17:50	Spread: Sabres (-1.5)	Sabres	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xcde1ff…
10-12 19:16:54	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x8b726a…
10-11 15:03:39	Spread: Lions (-5.5)	Lions	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8e4589…
10-11 15:03:28	Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)	49ers	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x87ba2b…
10-11 15:03:07	Spread: Patriots (-3.5)	Raiders	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6b5192…
10-11 15:02:39	Spread: Texans (-6.5)	Texans	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9d1625…
10-10 22:09:36	Spread: Tennessee (-6.5)	Tennessee	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x3def80…
10-10 21:57:57	Bears vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xba9a1d…
10-10 21:57:40	Spread: Jaguars (-7.5)	Eagles	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb100b5…
10-10 21:12:48	Spread: Penn State (-1.5)	USC	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x58a370…
10-10 21:12:27	Spread: Alabama (-2.5)	Georgia	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8f879e…
10-10 21:11:57	Spread: LSU (-9.5)	LSU	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x46d6da…
10-10 13:47:09	Spread: Missouri (-3.5)	Texas A&M	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7fe478…
10-10 13:42:01	Spread: Oregon (-10.5)	UCLA	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd42221…
10-10 13:41:16	Spread: Texas (-7.5)	Oklahoma	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa17e63…
10-10 13:40:18	Spread: Pittsburgh (-3.5)	North Carolina	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x94bdb6…
10-10 13:38:49	Spread: Indiana (-7.5)	Nebraska	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe62892…
10-09 13:39:36	Spread: BYU (-10.5)	Iowa State	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7594d3…
10-09 13:38:54	Spread: San Jose State (-4.5)	Wyoming	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9a4eb5…
10-09 13:38:06	Spread: Washington (-2.5)	Washington	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x2baa88…
10-09 13:36:28	Spread: Louisville (-3.5)	Louisville	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2ce27a…
10-08 22:14:03	Spread: UTSA (-6.5)	South Florida	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf584b7…
10-08 22:04:11	Spread: Arkansas State (-3.5)	Arkansas State	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3c58a3…
10-08 22:03:44	Spread: Liberty (-13.5)	Liberty	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdf2de1…
10-08 21:58:35	Stars vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc74922…
10-08 21:58:05	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x486f07…
10-08 01:16:58	Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9cfc78…
10-07 20:16:56	Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	New York Yankees	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x859b3f…
10-07 20:16:26	Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x945050…
10-07 20:15:38	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xd5d4dc…