Thirsty-Adrenaline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.0%

Resolved

442

Trades

828

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 10-19 19:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 126 days

Categories

Other

73% 80% +$2

Crypto

19% 96% +$1

Politics

5% 61% $0

Sports

2% 80% $0

Tech

1% 50% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 93°F or below on July 23?	4	$111	55	55	+0	No	$0	07-23 17:55
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C or below on July 22?	6	$108	54	54	+0	No	+$0	07-22 03:56
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	3	$77	39	39	+0	No	+$0	05-25 10:03
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 90 and 95?	7	$74	37	37	+0	No	$0	05-21 13:00
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	2	$70	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	07-27 05:29
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on July 29?	6	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-28 07:22
ethereum above 1700 on july 29 2026	2	$69	34	34	+0	Yes	+$0	07-29 14:47
putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-30 21:03
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on July 28?	3	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-27 17:41
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-28 22:25
bitcoin above 72k on july 22 2026	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-21 18:24
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 31?	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-30 18:53
ethereum above 1700 on july 30 2026	2	$64	32	32	+0	Yes	+$0	07-30 00:09
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 23?	2	$63	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-23 03:49
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on June 1?	3	$63	31	31	+0	No	+$0	06-01 15:58
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-17 15:23
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 19?	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-19 10:18
will bitcoin reach 66k on july 25	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-26 01:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 29?	2	$59	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	07-29 07:47
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	04-17 03:20
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-20 03:34
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on October 13?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	10-13 11:25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 21?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-20 19:01
Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?	2	$56	28	28	+0	Yes	$0	07-23 20:10
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 26?	5	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-26 01:20
Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	6	$55	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	05-31 19:55
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-27 00:03
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 26?	4	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-25 14:22
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 20?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-19 23:43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 26?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-25 16:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 19:39:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on October 20?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x158391…
10-18 17:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or higher on October 19?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x1c2123…
10-18 09:02:21	Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x283739…
10-16 09:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 16?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x4eae73…
10-13 11:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on October 13?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x2b055d…
10-13 09:40:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on October 13?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd31c41…
10-12 15:41:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x71e207…
10-12 07:58:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6ef5f9…
10-11 23:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 12?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x32342b…
10-11 20:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5c71d…
10-11 19:26:19	Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb8c95e…
10-10 09:37:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or higher on October 10?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xb4413e…
10-07 18:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 36°C on October 8?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x25e3ee…
10-05 10:01:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x92aaa6…
10-02 03:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on October 3?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x1a923b…
10-01 21:11:09	bitcoin above 78k on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x85d78e…
10-01 05:54:53	bitcoin above 76k on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x7c961c…
09-28 01:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 38°C on September 29?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7bdd96…
09-27 19:46:14	will bitcoin reach 90k september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa62f2d…
09-23 03:24:55	Will Gabby Williams have the highest steals per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe245fd…
09-22 21:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa9bfd7…
09-22 19:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 16°C or below on September 23?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x57cb39…
09-22 17:26:01	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 23?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x811aac…
09-22 17:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xe9fb0c…
09-21 21:07:30	Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1916d5…
09-20 01:39:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe0814f…
09-18 00:40:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x2715fb…
09-17 13:00:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x18d98f…
09-13 04:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 13?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x62132e…
09-11 02:40:28	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 37.5 on September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x2a8cd3…
09-10 20:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 11?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfe40b3…
09-07 14:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on September 8?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x32b961…
09-06 21:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on September 7?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xf864a4…
09-06 09:02:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 6?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0f67bd…
09-06 00:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 6?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x16a94d…
09-05 06:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1f5863…
09-05 01:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa9f700…
09-04 20:58:33	will openais astra model be released by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x43563e…
09-04 17:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 5?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x6e0a4a…
09-04 06:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 104°F or higher on September 4?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xca997d…
09-04 02:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 104°F or higher on September 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xda5c66…
09-04 00:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on September 4?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x2f21a7…
09-03 05:14:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcd8d4e…
09-03 04:08:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xd128c3…
09-02 21:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 3?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x8bbbcd…
09-02 10:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on September 2?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xcc9089…
09-02 08:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on September 2?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x20cfbe…
09-01 09:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 1?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x362843…
09-01 01:17:51	Will Solana reach $120 in August?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x01f559…
08-31 03:02:54	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa1e458…
08-30 22:49:58	will bitcoin reach 83k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb3baca…
08-30 17:27:15	Iran leadership change by August 31?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x4199c2…
08-30 15:35:37	Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x573008…
08-30 06:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 30?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x00c12b…
08-29 21:47:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1bbb1c…
08-29 09:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x1eb5be…
08-28 19:29:28	Will "Hazel Eyes" - Sam Smith first week album sales be between 25k and 30k?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x6d54fc…
08-28 10:06:18	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0xb52b3f…
08-27 15:25:37	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf70a77…
08-27 08:17:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x561f6e…
08-26 21:55:27	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x396abf…
08-26 20:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x39f09b…
08-26 10:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C on August 26?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x450702…
08-25 14:05:03	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x08481f…
08-25 10:34:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8f15ba…
08-25 02:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x416318…
08-24 20:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 25?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x6212c8…
08-24 18:52:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa88351…
08-24 10:57:25	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeea252…
08-24 03:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3b157d…
08-23 17:17:07	Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb7c1b5…
08-14 17:10:54	will bitcoin dip to 61k on august 14	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x65c9a4…
08-14 07:56:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x30f949…
08-13 18:35:39	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 14?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xca07fe…
08-13 14:20:16	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 13?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xeef4b3…
08-13 10:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 14?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb8a096…
08-12 23:44:37	will bitcoin reach 65k on august 12	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x92fb77…
08-12 20:57:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 13?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0951d8…
08-12 08:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3dc1d2…
08-12 02:29:54	Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0xf0a8e2…
08-11 23:38:49	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2a5b8d…
08-11 21:29:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x955674…
08-11 12:58:04	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x38211a…
08-10 22:30:19	will ethereum reach 1950 on august 10	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc9bfd7…
08-10 19:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 11?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1bea12…
08-10 13:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x22350e…
08-10 11:56:19	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9e1bad…
08-09 13:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc27668…
08-09 10:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on August 10?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb2f199…
08-09 05:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x77fc62…
08-09 01:52:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on August 9?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x36f6bf…
08-08 17:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on August 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x27f3b6…
08-08 17:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1ee128…
08-08 16:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on August 9?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x565f43…
08-08 02:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 8?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf258f3…
08-07 19:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 8?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x16a0a7…
08-07 16:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 8?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x282c3c…
08-07 11:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa5fc55…
08-07 07:39:21	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 8?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xb48711…
08-06 07:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or below on August 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x678a07…