Occasional-Brilliant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.66K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.9%

Resolved

3,599

Trades

5,988

lifetime

Volume

$46.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-30

last 10-02 19:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 36% -$2,663

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 309 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 15:00 UTC	1	$160	319	+319	Up	-$160	06-28 15:13
bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 5pm et	2	$132	200	+200	Up	-$132	07-29 21:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 17:30 UTC	4	$125	207	+207	Up	+$37	06-29 17:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 03:45 UTC	3	$125	267	+267	Up	+$143	06-28 03:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 19:00 UTC	16	$112	250	+250	Up	-$62	08-22 19:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 09:45 UTC	7	$106	175	+175	Down	-$6	08-21 09:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 16:00 UTC	2	$100	152	+152	Down	-$100	06-29 16:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 13:45 UTC	2	$100	215	+215	Up	-$100	06-29 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 12:45 UTC	4	$100	169	+169	Down	+$69	06-29 12:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 21:00 UTC	1	$99	217	+217	Up	+$117	06-28 21:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 14:30 UTC	4	$99	154	+154	Down	+$55	06-29 14:41
bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 8pm et	1	$99	165	+165	Up	-$99	06-29 00:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 14:15 UTC	1	$99	155	+155	Up	+$56	06-29 14:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 17:15 UTC	1	$99	157	+157	Up	+$58	06-29 17:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 08:15 UTC	1	$99	265	+265	Down	-$99	06-29 08:23
bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 10am et	2	$98	173	+173	Down	+$74	06-29 14:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 00:45 UTC	2	$98	163	+163	Up	-$98	06-29 00:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 12:15 UTC	3	$98	163	+163	Down	-$98	06-29 12:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 15:45 UTC	4	$98	157	+157	Down	-$98	06-29 15:49
bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 9am et	1	$98	150	+150	Down	-$98	06-29 13:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 13:30 UTC	2	$97	305	+305	Down	+$169	06-29 13:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 14:00 UTC	1	$97	149	+149	Down	+$52	06-29 14:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 00:00 UTC	1	$97	520	+520	Up	-$97	06-29 00:12
bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 12pm et	4	$93	271	+271	Up	+$4	08-08 16:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 01:45 UTC	1	$89	179	+179	Down	+$90	06-29 01:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 08:15 UTC	2	$89	302	+302	Up	-$89	06-28 08:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 05:15 UTC	5	$81	233	+233	Up	+$51	08-09 05:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 02:30 UTC	3	$81	263	+263	Up	-$81	06-28 02:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 13:45 UTC	1	$77	104	+104	Up	-$77	07-28 13:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 10:15 UTC	6	$76	310	+310	Up	+$47	08-09 10:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 19:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xebf7bb…
10-02 13:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x38a5a8…
10-02 13:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0x76320c…
10-02 12:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x5b94b1…
10-02 12:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0x28283c…
10-02 12:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x16cb00…
10-02 11:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x27d0f7…
10-02 11:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0xc9a23d…
10-02 09:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xf7be8a…
10-02 09:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0x223fd9…
10-02 07:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0xa9ce98…
10-02 06:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0xffa539…
10-02 06:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	41¢	$11	0x5939c8…
10-02 06:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0xe2d678…
10-02 05:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x13fdfa…
10-02 04:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	62¢	$16	0x4ddf80…
10-02 04:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0x775639…
10-02 00:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x41c6fb…
10-02 00:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0x419fba…
10-01 23:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x3056bc…
10-01 22:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	34¢	$10	0xc733a3…
10-01 22:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	15¢	$4	0xb39f8d…
10-01 21:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0x3a3e0a…
10-01 21:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	26¢	$7	0x9ad642…
10-01 20:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0xb1c822…
10-01 19:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0xbd77b9…
10-01 18:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	49¢	$13	0xf27ffd…
10-01 18:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0xc38510…
10-01 16:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	62¢	$14	0x980924…
10-01 16:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0xfc077c…
10-01 16:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x8f9be1…
10-01 15:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xde61d8…
10-01 14:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x4b1c8f…
10-01 14:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0x91c0f7…
10-01 13:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x150d3e…
10-01 13:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0dc7f6…
10-01 13:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0xe6cbee…
10-01 12:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0xf47780…
10-01 11:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x378286…
10-01 08:10:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	24	48¢	$12	0x2f008b…
10-01 06:56:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0x4cb667…
10-01 06:26:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0xd998b1…
10-01 06:09:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	26	33¢	$9	0xea3b0d…
10-01 05:42:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x59b556…
10-01 05:28:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	28	8¢	$2	0xa7067c…
10-01 03:26:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0x2e48ca…
10-01 03:12:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	24	39¢	$10	0x07246f…
10-01 00:26:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0x099605…
09-30 23:20:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x32894d…
09-30 23:13:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0xbebeff…
09-30 21:51:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x70e34f…
09-30 21:39:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0xa569b2…
09-30 20:39:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0xaefb1a…
09-30 19:27:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0x6632e5…
09-30 18:13:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	43¢	$8	0xac47be…
09-30 18:12:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf9a8cd…
09-30 17:57:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	26	37¢	$10	0xf9c53d…
09-30 16:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xc5db1a…
09-30 15:47:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x6588d8…
09-30 15:22:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	26	49¢	$12	0xae8989…
09-30 15:04:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x75adcf…
09-30 14:46:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x6e3cc9…
09-30 14:30:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x4101a4…
09-30 14:15:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x42e53e…
09-30 14:00:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0x4a3f50…
09-30 13:46:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x8ccd79…
09-30 13:45:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x7665ee…
09-30 13:17:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	62¢	$16	0x1526a3…
09-30 13:00:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0xbb8740…
09-30 12:45:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x76b7ca…
09-30 12:23:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0xfd123e…
09-30 12:22:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xdfdb98…
09-30 11:28:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0x5fb0f1…
09-30 10:56:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x1fb8b5…
09-30 10:19:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xd24dad…
09-30 08:57:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0xe4847d…
09-30 08:39:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x2e0eb3…
09-30 07:03:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0xf58ba2…
09-30 06:20:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	42¢	$10	0x0ebe3e…
09-30 04:36:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0x0e664a…
09-30 04:29:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	24	16¢	$4	0x220199…
09-30 03:33:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	53¢	$14	0x79021c…
09-30 03:28:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x2fe0e9…
09-30 02:58:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	42¢	$10	0x808beb…
09-30 01:57:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	24	35¢	$8	0x68a0ba…
09-30 01:44:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0xb138ed…
09-30 00:25:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	26	45¢	$12	0xf316a8…
09-29 23:57:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0x494536…
09-29 22:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x932c28…
09-29 22:24:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	27	31¢	$8	0x3256d8…
09-29 21:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0xe344bd…
09-29 20:59:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x2b3e37…
09-29 20:58:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0xd3d628…
09-29 20:42:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0x104415…
09-29 18:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	37¢	$9	0xc82b4d…
09-29 17:35:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0xd3a71f…
09-29 17:24:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7e8474…
09-29 17:19:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x98022e…
09-29 16:58:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	26	41¢	$11	0x802a40…
09-29 16:16:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0xcd6053…