Rundown-Volcano — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.42K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.9%

Resolved

275

Trades

478

lifetime

Volume

$238.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$499

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-28 22:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Other

84% 86% -$1,488

Sports

12% 82% -$2,009

Politics

2% 100% +$96

Crypto

1% 71% -$21

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-28).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 460 479	3	$12.4K	6,211	6,211	+0	No	+$13	01-20 01:06
nhl bos tb 2026 02 01	11	$11.5K	7,310	7,310	+0	Lightning	-$2,132	02-02 02:58
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 0 39	2	$7.1K	3,564	3,564	+0	No	+$3	03-01 13:34
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 215 239	2	$7.0K	3,497	3,497	+0	No	+$2	04-15 01:16
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 190 214	2	$7.0K	3,497	3,496	+1	No	+$7	04-11 23:10
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 190 214	2	$7.0K	3,490	3,490	+0	No	+$3	04-07 22:17
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	2	$6.8K	3,436	3,436	+0	No	+$32	06-01 15:23
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	2	$6.8K	3,435	3,435	+0	No	+$31	06-08 09:40
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	2	$6.8K	3,446	3,446	+0	No	+$22	06-13 13:27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$6.8K	3,414	3,414	+0	No	+$10	05-13 22:03
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	4	$6.6K	3,294	3,294	+0	No	+$13	05-07 04:00
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 300 319	2	$6.0K	6,008	0	+6,008	No	+$18	01-22 01:54
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 0 39	2	$5.9K	3,602	3,602	+0	Yes	-$1,130	03-03 06:05
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 0 19	2	$5.7K	5,744	0	+5,744	No	+$6	01-22 13:11
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 0 39	2	$5.5K	2,770	2,770	+0	No	-$29	01-27 06:26
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	3	$5.5K	2,775	2,772	+3	No	+$57	05-02 17:41
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 190 214	5	$5.1K	2,649	2,648	+1	No	-$198	04-17 01:01
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 165 189	3	$4.4K	2,194	2,194	+0	No	+$3	04-21 08:47
nhl min tor 2026 01 19	6	$4.3K	4,319	0	+4,319	Wild	+$19	01-20 02:48
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	2	$4.0K	2,010	2,010	+0	No	+$8	07-20 09:10
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 165 189	2	$3.9K	1,936	1,936	+0	No	+$2	04-19 09:25
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 440 459	2	$3.6K	3,649	0	+3,649	No	+$4	01-19 01:35
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 0 39	2	$3.5K	3,536	0	+3,536	No	+$39	02-25 15:52
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	3	$3.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$499	07-27 06:21
will hyperliquid dip to 20 in january	2	$3.4K	3,392	0	+3,392	No	+$12	01-31 05:13
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 240plus	1	$3.4K	3,383	0	+3,383	No	+$7	03-25 02:41
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 0 19	1	$3.0K	3,020	0	+3,020	No	+$3	01-25 13:37
will hyperliquid dip to 16 in january	1	$3.0K	3,015	0	+3,015	No	+$15	01-27 06:46
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 0 19	1	$3.0K	3,003	0	+3,003	No	+$3	02-10 13:01
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$3.0K	3,014	0	+3,014	No	+$14	05-13 22:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 22:09:29	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	2,803	100¢	$2,800	0x5091d9…
07-27 06:25:19	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2,812	100¢	$2,800	0xd5637a…
07-27 06:21:19	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	512	56¢	$286	0x999d4f…
07-27 06:21:00	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	74¢	$1,473	0x35d90d…
07-20 09:25:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0xffb269…
07-20 09:12:06	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$986	0xec5730…
07-20 09:11:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$986	0xb79756…
07-20 09:10:13	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	2,010	100¢	$2,008	0x4977d6…
07-20 09:10:00	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1,121	100¢	$1,120	0xb4b967…
07-20 09:09:31	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	512	98¢	$500	0x3b587d…
07-19 22:00:46	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	24	94¢	$23	0x52a2dc…
07-19 22:00:34	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x83c95e…
07-14 21:55:34	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xd1e1d5…
07-14 21:54:28	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	35	28¢	$10	0x9302a1…
07-14 03:48:31	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1,011	99¢	$1,000	0x198d22…
07-14 03:46:31	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xb5e681…
07-14 03:45:43	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x44feeb…
07-14 01:15:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x73ab19…
07-13 22:55:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2,010	100¢	$2,000	0xa7792e…
07-13 22:54:40	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9dc6bf…
07-06 10:00:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	201	99¢	$199	0x57a1dd…
07-06 08:16:16	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x823989…
07-06 08:15:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0x1e8ff2…
07-01 00:17:25	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x082f12…
07-01 00:16:56	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$492	0x6d53b2…
06-24 15:21:40	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0x62d8a9…
06-24 13:55:11	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	326	99¢	$322	0xb7d8bb…
06-24 13:54:23	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	326	99¢	$322	0x9957b4…
06-24 13:53:31	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	326	99¢	$322	0x6a5e0a…
06-24 13:52:26	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	326	99¢	$322	0xbce789…
06-24 13:20:10	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1,480	99¢	$1,461	0xec5227…
06-24 12:32:20	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x7a8c47…
06-24 12:31:49	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0xa5121d…
06-24 12:31:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x7beb65…
06-15 12:29:39	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	410	97¢	$400	0xdbdfc9…
06-13 15:22:19	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$979	0x9dcb8d…
06-13 13:37:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2,017	99¢	$2,000	0xa6042c…
06-13 13:29:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xb9b9a2…
06-13 13:27:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	SELL	3,446	99¢	$3,422	0xd1c138…
06-10 06:42:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x6ec426…
06-08 09:42:00	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	3,446	99¢	$3,400	0xac39aa…
06-08 09:40:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	3,435	100¢	$3,431	0x6bfd93…
06-01 15:28:28	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	3,435	99¢	$3,400	0x7a4994…
06-01 15:23:41	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	3,436	100¢	$3,432	0xdcd711…
05-25 01:13:12	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	3,436	99¢	$3,400	0x05132a…
05-13 22:17:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3,014	100¢	$3,000	0x44ab90…
05-13 22:03:02	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3,414	100¢	$3,410	0x2c798a…
05-07 04:13:47	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xc714a3…
05-07 04:02:47	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3,414	100¢	$3,400	0xf1d39b…
05-07 04:00:36	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	SELL	3,294	100¢	$3,291	0x948695…
05-02 17:52:16	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1,305	100¢	$1,300	0x20927f…
05-02 17:51:20	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1,485	100¢	$1,478	0x87e2bf…
05-02 17:41:58	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	2,772	100¢	$2,769	0x88ca81…
05-02 17:30:42	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	504	99¢	$500	0xbc5164…
04-28 08:37:24	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	518	99¢	$514	0x5c3bc4…
04-28 08:32:00	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	514	100¢	$514	0x3aaa69…
04-27 02:25:44	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1,751	98¢	$1,714	0x59a55c…
04-25 23:39:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1,023	98¢	$1,000	0x6fbde1…
04-22 23:35:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	521	97¢	$504	0xa8ac4d…
04-21 09:05:20	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	515	97¢	$500	0xb67a6e…
04-21 08:53:06	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 140 164	No	SELL	1,010	99¢	$1,005	0x7cd311…
04-21 08:50:18	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2,194	100¢	$2,190	0x2fec18…
04-21 08:47:14	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 165 189	No	SELL	2,194	100¢	$2,190	0x3c386f…
04-19 09:32:54	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 165 189	No	BUY	2,018	100¢	$2,012	0xf384d6…
04-19 09:31:54	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	No	BUY	165	70¢	$115	0x45b8d3…
04-19 09:28:38	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 165 189	No	BUY	176	100¢	$175	0xfb0dc5…
04-19 09:27:30	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 140 164	No	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0xe3d9a5…
04-19 09:25:44	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 140 164	No	SELL	509	100¢	$506	0xc7c116…
04-19 09:25:02	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 165 189	No	SELL	1,936	100¢	$1,931	0x87ba10…
04-17 01:04:14	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 165 189	No	BUY	1,936	100¢	$1,930	0x2f42d7…
04-17 01:03:56	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 140 164	No	BUY	509	98¢	$500	0x02f5d1…
04-17 01:01:34	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 190 214	No	SELL	2,648	92¢	$2,439	0xe698b9…
04-15 01:41:28	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 190 214	No	BUY	1,812	100¢	$1,807	0x740ce9…
04-15 01:20:06	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 190 214	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x55e1af…
04-15 01:19:46	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 190 214	No	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0x1a01fb…
04-15 01:19:36	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 190 214	No	BUY	704	99¢	$698	0x7aeb45…
04-15 01:19:16	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 165 189	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x866309…
04-15 01:19:16	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 165 189	No	BUY	751	99¢	$742	0x458779…
04-15 01:19:04	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 165 189	No	BUY	86	99¢	$84	0x891ca4…
04-15 01:16:56	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 215 239	No	SELL	3,497	100¢	$3,494	0x35ca3f…
04-11 23:12:05	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 215 239	No	BUY	3,497	100¢	$3,492	0x7d7d9b…
04-11 23:10:23	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 190 214	No	SELL	3,496	100¢	$3,493	0x5177c4…
04-07 22:19:15	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 190 214	No	BUY	3,497	100¢	$3,486	0x3bae7f…
04-07 22:17:01	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 190 214	No	SELL	3,490	100¢	$3,486	0xe0fd2f…
04-05 03:50:03	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 190 214	No	BUY	3,490	100¢	$3,483	0x04890f…
03-25 02:41:25	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 240plus	No	BUY	3,383	100¢	$3,376	0x405289…
03-16 07:52:35	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 215 239	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4921cf…
03-03 07:00:25	elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 65 89	No	BUY	79	88¢	$70	0x3c0e2c…
03-03 06:05:45	elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 0 39	No	SELL	3,602	67¢	$2,408	0x647206…
03-02 23:16:29	another us bank failure by february 28	No	SELL	1,068	99¢	$1,058	0x892ef9…
03-01 13:34:43	elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 0 39	No	BUY	3,602	98¢	$3,538	0xdb41f0…
03-01 13:34:17	elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 0 39	No	SELL	3,564	99¢	$3,538	0xf5aed9…
02-28 03:08:21	elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 0 39	No	BUY	3,564	99¢	$3,536	0x6d9d69…
02-25 15:52:42	elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 0 39	No	BUY	565	99¢	$558	0x7edb05…
02-25 15:52:24	elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 0 39	No	SELL	558	100¢	$558	0x170fe0…
02-24 17:02:58	elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 0 39	No	BUY	2,971	99¢	$2,939	0xe4cf30…
02-24 03:18:24	nba sac mem 2026 02 23	Kings	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x48a711…
02-24 03:11:32	nba sac mem 2026 02 23 total 233pt5	Under	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xdfe450…
02-23 23:29:54	elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 0 39	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd98a68…
02-23 23:28:06	val fsn tzc 2026 02 23	Tezcat Gaming	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb12362…