Irresponsible-Poison — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$75

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.5%

Resolved

103

Trades

122

lifetime

Volume

$16.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$133

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 10-21 06:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

59% 97% -$82

Crypto

27% 100% +$10

Politics

14% 86% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?	1	$699	700	0	+700	No	+$1	05-25 00:31
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$689	690	0	+690	No	+$1	05-09 06:54
Will XRP reach $2.10 May 11-17?	1	$689	691	0	+691	No	+$2	05-12 07:19
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 11?	1	$689	690	0	+690	No	+$1	05-11 09:21
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on May 8?	1	$688	689	0	+689	No	+$1	05-06 11:32
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	1	$579	580	0	+580	No	+$1	05-10 06:31
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 18 above $150?	1	$476	476	0	+476	No	+$0	05-18 07:17
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	1	$451	455	0	+455	No	+$5	07-05 06:36
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?	1	$426	427	0	+427	No	+$1	05-26 06:06
will ng reach 3 90 by july 6 2026	1	$369	369	0	+369	No	+$0	07-08 07:47
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	4	$362	198	198	+0	No	-$2	06-10 05:58
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	1	$290	294	0	+294	No	+$4	06-17 06:15
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	2	$267	269	0	+269	No	+$2	07-13 16:57
open above 0pt5 on august 21 2026	1	$266	266	0	+266	Yes	+$0	08-17 23:50
will xrp reach 2 june 1 7 2026	1	$250	250	0	+250	No	+$0	06-02 06:18
nflx above 120 on july 17 2026	1	$231	231	0	+231	No	+$0	07-13 06:32
dtrump out as president by september 30	1	$226	229	0	+229	No	+$3	09-03 06:08
will ng reach 3 80 in july 2026	1	$221	221	0	+221	No	+$0	07-30 08:04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$218	219	0	+219	No	+$1	07-26 09:27
open above 6pt5 on august 14 2026	1	$212	212	0	+212	No	+$0	08-11 03:29
Will Solana dip to $50 September 7-13?	1	$210	210	0	+210	No	+$0	09-12 00:07
will ng reach 3 80 by july 6 2026	1	$210	210	0	+210	No	+$0	07-08 07:47
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$208	210	0	+210	No	+$2	09-24 01:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	09-03 08:28
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	05-26 06:05
will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	1	$199	200	0	+200	No	+$1	08-22 06:28
Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?	1	$199	200	0	+200	No	+$1	06-21 07:17
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of June 15 2026?	2	$198	200	0	+200	No	+$2	06-13 05:14
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $92.50 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$196	200	0	+200	No	+$4	05-18 07:12
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	10-20 11:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 06:26:35	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $0.50 end of October?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd24c2e…
10-21 06:26:08	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $5.50 end of October?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x91d115…
10-21 06:25:48	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $5.00 end of October?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6c3980…
10-21 06:24:57	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 in October?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x63822a…
10-20 11:46:47	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x8d84a4…
10-20 11:03:00	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in October?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xae8ece…
10-17 02:32:14	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x20b95e…
10-17 02:30:21	Will XRP reach $2.10 October 12-18?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xc729c4…
10-17 02:29:44	Will Solana reach $170 October 12-18?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xe10fcf…
10-15 18:35:23	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xd0bf6d…
10-14 11:20:19	will open reach 3 50 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xb99a96…
10-11 15:28:18	Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1db4d7…
10-11 15:28:01	Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1e1a99…
10-11 15:27:21	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.50 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x3ee3d6…
10-09 06:30:22	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x966153…
10-09 06:20:49	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x35fee5…
10-09 06:16:36	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.25 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x291146…
10-09 06:14:28	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $0.50 end of October?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc55f8a…
09-24 01:47:37	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	210	99¢	$208	0xe6ee44…
09-19 00:28:01	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xfdf0e0…
09-19 00:25:42	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xb58ded…
09-15 06:57:25	Will the price of Solana be greater than $150 on September 18?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xa1e385…
09-15 06:56:30	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 14 – Sep 18?	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0xf7160c…
09-12 00:07:40	Will Solana dip to $50 September 7-13?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x6f32e8…
09-10 05:37:52	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x830894…
09-10 05:37:30	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0bb8df…
09-10 05:37:04	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of September 7 above $1.50?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x36817a…
09-06 01:37:45	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xa33c22…
09-06 00:55:16	Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x24cf2d…
09-03 08:28:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x651a45…
09-03 08:27:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	139	99¢	$138	0xebf8fb…
09-03 06:08:40	dtrump out as president by september 30	No	BUY	229	99¢	$226	0xcef116…
08-22 06:28:57	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0xe08399…
08-22 06:24:13	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by august 31 20260720003950635	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x86a9c7…
08-21 09:00:10	will ethena reach 0pt16 in august	No	SELL	31	90¢	$28	0xba65ee…
08-19 06:30:22	will ethena reach 0pt16 in august	No	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0xfd7b0e…
08-17 23:50:52	open above 0pt5 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	266	100¢	$266	0x090238…
08-11 03:29:25	open above 6pt5 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	212	100¢	$212	0x680ceb…
08-08 06:00:33	Will CZ post 200+ posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0xed6613…
08-08 05:54:00	open above 6 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x7d8bd1…
08-06 05:48:51	Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 8?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x42848a…
08-06 05:47:36	will xrp reach 1pt7 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x041d80…
08-06 05:27:12	will ng reach 3 40 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf6778d…
08-02 06:50:17	open above 7 on august 7 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe6b0a2…
08-02 06:45:06	will ethena reach 0pt24 in august	No	BUY	78	96¢	$75	0x1731c7…
08-01 16:16:51	xrp above 1pt6 on august 5 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x584ec0…
08-01 16:16:32	xrp above 1pt6 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa7578a…
08-01 16:15:02	solana above 120 on august 5 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x811bb3…
07-30 08:04:57	will ng reach 3 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	221	100¢	$221	0xe6f9ee…
07-26 09:27:52	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	196	98¢	$193	0x671a79…
07-26 09:27:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	219	100¢	$218	0xa48d0f…
07-22 02:46:03	open above 2pt5 on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0xe89f09…
07-22 02:45:37	will ng dip to 2 20 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xe8836c…
07-22 02:45:18	will ng reach 3 50 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0xd84701…
07-13 16:57:16	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0x8f908f…
07-13 06:33:58	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0xed7d11…
07-13 06:32:43	nflx above 120 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	231	100¢	$231	0xbc9b15…
07-13 06:31:37	will xrp dip to 0pt4 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5650ea…
07-13 06:31:16	will solana dip to 20 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7788f8…
07-13 06:31:02	will solana dip to 10 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe739a7…
07-13 00:26:22	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	118	99¢	$117	0xd2edc5…
07-08 07:47:50	will ng reach 3 80 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x5d195f…
07-08 07:47:29	will ng reach 3 90 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	369	100¢	$369	0x7de82b…
07-06 00:08:34	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xbe7edd…
07-05 23:43:38	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	SELL	97	84¢	$82	0x468318…
07-05 06:38:29	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0x5011a5…
07-05 06:36:50	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	455	99¢	$451	0x2b536d…
07-05 06:35:29	Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x02a3c5…
07-05 06:29:41	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x39e96d…
07-05 06:29:20	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x60f2e0…
06-21 07:21:08	open above 9 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xea2634…
06-21 07:20:31	open above 8 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8571ef…
06-21 07:20:01	open above 9 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x4b6a8b…
06-21 07:19:49	open above 9 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xadb8ee…
06-21 07:17:44	Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x11a58f…
06-21 07:17:19	Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x0e2016…
06-21 07:15:47	will ng reach 4 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0xcb9a75…
06-21 07:11:44	nflx above 130 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc5afab…
06-21 07:11:29	nflx above 140 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x24459a…
06-21 07:10:05	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $1.00-$2.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0911df…
06-21 07:09:14	open above 7pt5 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x645d45…
06-21 07:08:34	open above 2 on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x724514…
06-21 07:08:14	open above 1pt5 on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x83d6fc…
06-17 06:15:40	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	294	99¢	$290	0xe22340…
06-16 16:05:50	will xrp reach 2pt2 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7220cc…
06-16 05:17:00	open above 2 on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe4c09e…
06-13 05:14:48	will ng dip to 2 50 by june 15 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x666254…
06-13 04:04:48	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of June 15 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x66db8b…
06-10 06:05:24	nflx above 110 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0xddb06f…
06-10 06:04:36	open above 7 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x5e6253…
06-10 06:03:15	will ng reach 3 90 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf2a543…
06-10 05:58:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	198	91¢	$180	0xf8c72d…
06-09 12:02:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	99	92¢	$91	0x3970f9…
06-09 11:59:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	17	92¢	$15	0x09c3a9…
06-09 11:17:01	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	82	92¢	$76	0x50ccfc…
06-09 09:26:34	will wti dip to 65 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x948320…
06-07 01:28:27	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x1bab7e…
06-07 01:27:37	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x795de2…
06-07 01:27:21	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xcb3a4f…
06-07 01:26:19	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa18052…