Understated-Reversal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.03K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.3%

Resolved

827

Trades

1,698

lifetime

Volume

$19.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 08-12 06:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 37% -$1,034

Other

6% 26% +$25

Sports

0% 33% -$17

Politics

0% 50% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 14:15 UTC	5	$475	517	230	+287	Up	-$15	02-02 14:32
ethereum above 2000 on february 16	14	$440	743	631	+112	No	-$3	02-16 15:04
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-03 17:00 UTC	9	$380	743	329	+414	Down	-$207	02-03 20:59
ethereum up or down on february 7	7	$337	480	409	+70	Up	+$141	02-07 12:34
solana up or down on february 7	4	$300	218	218	+0	Up	+$8	02-07 11:09
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-02 05:00 UTC	2	$298	250	250	+0	Up	+$159	02-02 07:55
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-10 09:00 UTC	4	$255	254	254	+0	Down	-$25	02-10 12:10
ethereum up or down february 25 4am et	4	$245	233	233	+0	Up	+$27	02-25 09:53
bitcoin up or down on february 2	2	$223	202	202	+0	Up	+$23	02-02 14:17
crint can are 2026 02 13	6	$210	260	260	+0	UAE	+$143	02-13 13:01
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-06 17:00 UTC	2	$209	168	168	+0	Up	+$45	02-06 17:28
crint aus lka 2026 02 16	9	$191	298	298	+0	Sri Lanka	-$21	02-16 16:37
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-25 09:00 UTC	2	$188	281	281	+0	Up	+$3	02-25 10:42
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-07 17:00 UTC	2	$186	208	208	+0	Up	-$14	02-07 17:35
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-06 13:00 UTC	4	$183	196	117	+79	Up	+$28	02-06 16:18
solana up or down on february 17	4	$183	236	236	+0	Up	-$6	02-17 10:24
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-25 13:00 UTC	2	$173	115	115	+0	Up	-$14	02-25 14:38
solana up or down on february 10	4	$169	410	410	+0	Down	-$13	02-10 11:10
ethereum up or down february 25 1pm et	2	$166	165	165	+0	Up	+$22	02-25 18:30
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-25 05:00 UTC	4	$161	229	229	+0	Up	+$51	02-25 08:53
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-02 13:00 UTC	2	$161	145	145	+0	Up	+$1	02-02 15:12
ethereum up or down february 1 10pm et	4	$157	220	78	+142	Down	-$2	02-02 05:29
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-16 05:00 UTC	3	$156	267	267	+0	Up	$0	02-16 06:47
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-07 05:00 UTC	2	$149	106	106	+0	Down	+$45	02-07 07:31
ethereum up or down on february 6	6	$146	359	359	+0	Up	+$25	02-06 16:12
ethereum up or down february 2 5am et	5	$143	158	158	+0	Down	-$17	02-02 10:36
ethereum up or down on february 10	5	$140	391	157	+234	Down	-$30	02-10 09:03
ethereum up or down on february 12	7	$136	427	370	+57	Down	+$46	02-12 16:53
solana up or down on february 14	5	$136	184	135	+49	Up	-$29	02-13 20:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 14:45 UTC	4	$134	209	206	+3	Down	-$106	02-02 14:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 06:34:42	bitcoin above 66k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	336	0¢	$2	0x1e8617…
08-12 06:31:24	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x58ca25…
08-12 06:31:18	Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	13	9¢	$1	0x24a3ea…
08-06 12:07:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xb7b38e…
08-06 08:55:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x2813e2…
08-06 08:28:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1d7878…
08-06 08:27:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xd673c2…
08-06 08:17:00	bitcoin above 64k on august 6 2026	No	BUY	312	8¢	$25	0x6d9baa…
08-05 16:10:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x9969f7…
08-05 16:09:56	Will the Atlanta Hawks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	SELL	82	2¢	$2	0x967288…
08-05 16:09:50	Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	32	5¢	$2	0xca0274…
08-05 16:09:39	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	667	0¢	$2	0x336cac…
08-04 15:47:14	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-04 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbdbb26…
08-04 15:19:54	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-04 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0xe35e01…
08-04 15:19:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	635	5¢	$31	0xfe62d8…
08-04 15:19:00	Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0xaf307b…
08-04 14:12:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xda2135…
08-04 12:13:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	606	3¢	$21	0x555943…
08-04 12:13:03	will reya launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	24	18¢	$4	0x7c18b8…
08-04 11:09:14	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 11:00 UTC	Down	SELL	19	37¢	$7	0x600dff…
08-04 11:08:14	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x8ac247…
08-04 11:06:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 11:00 UTC	Down	SELL	40	44¢	$18	0x6127b6…
08-04 10:57:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x715056…
08-04 10:56:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	72	1¢	$1	0x5c5f2f…
08-04 10:56:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	167	2¢	$3	0x169717…
08-04 10:53:18	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x0d551d…
08-04 10:53:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa7e049…
08-04 10:52:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xdbadb7…
08-04 10:51:35	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	118	10¢	$12	0xab28b0…
08-04 10:51:27	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	161	3¢	$5	0x5f3ea2…
08-04 10:51:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	455	3¢	$11	0x0c617e…
08-04 10:51:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	116	13¢	$15	0x07ab49…
08-04 10:48:50	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x958b36…
08-04 10:31:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x4c3e3b…
08-03 14:02:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-03 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	35	13¢	$5	0xcdfc0d…
08-03 14:00:57	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	23	22¢	$5	0x1bea36…
08-03 13:52:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x47a759…
08-03 13:52:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xa584dd…
08-03 13:49:47	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-03 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x7343fb…
08-03 13:43:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xcf1311…
08-03 13:30:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 13:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x51c864…
08-03 13:27:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x1fb64b…
08-03 13:27:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xc1e1ef…
08-03 13:25:50	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-03 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x01d7c6…
08-03 12:45:47	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-03 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x145bf3…
08-03 12:43:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x06e0a8…
08-03 12:32:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x1ca5a6…
08-02 23:45:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x4cd77e…
08-02 23:45:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x47d202…
08-02 23:18:24	Will the Atlanta Hawks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	82	4¢	$3	0x2d0017…
08-02 23:17:00	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	161	3¢	$5	0x26db2c…
08-02 23:13:59	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$4	0x7b3d40…
08-02 23:09:18	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-02 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0x3e5dca…
08-02 23:09:05	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-02 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0x2f5ac4…
08-02 23:07:47	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-02 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	102	26¢	$27	0x45c31e…
08-02 22:57:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0xf00432…
08-02 22:55:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0x54e03b…
08-02 22:54:50	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x00b8e6…
08-02 22:38:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	152	2¢	$3	0xe34dcd…
08-02 22:32:18	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-02 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	203	7¢	$15	0xe26a64…
08-02 19:50:15	bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x44d617…
08-02 19:48:29	bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x3fd330…
08-02 19:47:33	ethereum up or down august 2 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	93	3¢	$3	0x9a4763…
08-02 18:50:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 18:45 UTC	Down	SELL	36	95¢	$35	0x7acb73…
08-02 18:50:35	bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	113	12¢	$13	0xc6c99e…
08-02 18:46:53	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-02 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0xae1ed6…
08-02 18:46:45	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-02 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	98	6¢	$6	0x860f32…
08-02 18:44:57	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-02 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	184	5¢	$10	0x0e1b29…
08-02 18:44:41	bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	113	4¢	$4	0x58d77f…
08-02 18:44:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xa39035…
08-02 18:44:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	217	0¢	$1	0x812f67…
08-02 18:43:54	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	384	0¢	$1	0xeb69e5…
08-02 18:13:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xa51cbd…
08-02 18:13:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x6a2d1f…
08-02 18:12:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xa3d042…
08-02 18:07:29	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 18:00 UTC	Down	SELL	88	35¢	$31	0x93ffc8…
08-02 18:05:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0xde51e5…
08-02 17:58:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	141	7¢	$10	0x94ef17…
08-02 17:44:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xb604d2…
08-02 17:42:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 17:30 UTC	Down	SELL	64	25¢	$16	0xd844df…
08-02 17:41:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x158435…
08-02 17:35:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x480977…
08-02 17:03:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x0279ad…
08-02 17:03:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	114	3¢	$4	0x278ada…
08-02 16:59:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 16:45 UTC	Down	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xf7559a…
08-02 16:58:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 16:45 UTC	Down	SELL	26	96¢	$24	0xdb610c…
08-02 16:45:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	26	59¢	$15	0x467ae1…
08-02 16:44:56	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x29a434…
08-02 15:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0xaac565…
08-02 15:39:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x85a344…
08-02 15:39:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xfeb51c…
08-02 13:03:50	bitcoin up or down on august 2 2026	Down	SELL	124	31¢	$38	0xe3ff66…
08-02 08:56:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x4b7316…
08-02 08:55:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	369	2¢	$9	0x04c339…
08-02 08:54:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf86d5f…
08-02 08:52:53	Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	62	10¢	$6	0xbaad5b…
08-02 08:52:33	will reya launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x361e98…
08-02 08:52:09	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xa47365…
08-02 08:50:42	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	124	16¢	$20	0x9fbf8d…
08-02 08:50:21	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	167	11¢	$18	0x23917e…