Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$146

Unrealized P&L

-$26

Hit rate

95.8%

Resolved (90d)

573

Trades (90d)

1,666

1,666 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$22.8K

$22.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$665

30 positions

First seen

2026-09-04

last 10-21 07:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

55% 83% +$12

Politics

28% 71% +$7

Crypto

9% 78% +$41

Sports

6% 54% -$208

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 377 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	No	+91	$79	99¢	$90	+$11	09-09 11:11
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	-73	-$40	99¢	$-72	-$32	09-12 12:36
Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	+37	$35	96¢	$36	+$1	09-11 05:48
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+36	$32	99¢	$36	+$4	09-05 13:02
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	+37	$35	96¢	$36	+$1	09-11 05:48
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	-36	-$31	98¢	$-35	-$4	09-12 14:38
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+30	$30	100¢	$30	+$0	09-09 14:51
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+30	$30	97¢	$29	-$1	09-09 14:51
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026?	No	+26	$26	100¢	$26	$0	09-09 19:39
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026?	No	+26	$26	100¢	$26	+$0	09-09 19:39
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026?	No	+26	$26	100¢	$26	$0	09-09 19:39
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026?	No	+26	$26	100¢	$26	$0	09-09 19:39
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?	No	+26	$26	98¢	$26	$0	09-09 19:39
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?	No	+26	$23	96¢	$25	+$2	09-09 19:39
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?	No	+26	$26	93¢	$24	-$1	09-09 19:39
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+30	$24	79¢	$24	-$1	09-09 14:51
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	-30	-$22	72¢	$-21	+$0	09-11 15:06
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?	No	+20	$19	91¢	$18	-$1	09-08 17:24
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	No	+20	$12	79¢	$16	+$3	09-08 17:24
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	+11	$7	96¢	$11	+$3	09-10 17:36
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	No	+20	$12	44¢	$9	-$3	09-08 17:24
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	No	+7	$7	99¢	$7	$0	09-09 02:21
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	+10	$2	64¢	$6	+$5	09-09 05:46
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	No	+26	$4	12¢	$3	-$1	09-09 19:39
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?	No	+40	$5	6¢	$3	-$3	09-11 05:48
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	+11	$9	20¢	$2	-$7	09-10 17:36
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	-20	-$1	7¢	$-1	$0	09-17 21:32
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	No	+20	$1	7¢	$1	+$0	09-11 11:55
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	No	+7	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	09-09 02:21
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	No	+18	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	09-09 11:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	14	$1.5K	1,476	0	+1,476	No	+$6	09-09 14:38
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	15	$1.5K	1,461	0	+1,461	No	+$2	09-09 14:37
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	29	$898	899	62	+837	No	+$1	09-19 15:36
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	29	$863	865	96	+769	No	+$2	09-12 12:54
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	29	$854	865	96	+769	No	+$13	09-11 22:34
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	28	$839	865	96	+769	No	+$32	09-11 23:11
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	28	$674	842	119	+723	No	+$209	09-11 16:57
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	17	$613	613	348	+265	No	+$1	09-15 04:09
Will LAPTOP not launch by December 31?	9	$523	530	0	+530	No	+$7	09-09 12:08
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	12	$309	311	0	+311	No	+$3	09-10 15:08
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	12	$306	311	0	+311	No	+$5	09-10 15:08
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	13	$270	270	0	+270	No	+$0	09-08 13:12
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	13	$267	270	0	+270	No	+$4	09-08 13:12
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	30	$262	961	0	+961	Yes	-$262	09-11 08:51
Will LAPTOP launch on Solana?	7	$208	210	0	+210	No	+$1	09-08 16:22
Will The Grammys win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?	9	$168	168	0	+168	No	+$0	09-06 10:18
Will The Tonys win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?	9	$168	168	0	+168	No	+$0	09-06 10:18
Will The Golden Globes win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?	9	$168	168	0	+168	No	+$0	09-06 10:18
Will The Oscars win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?	11	$165	168	0	+168	No	+$3	09-06 10:19
Will MrBeast's latest video get less than 50 million views on day 2?	4	$161	161	0	+161	No	+$0	09-07 11:40
Will Miriam Shor – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?	3	$159	159	0	+159	No	+$0	09-07 01:30
Will Brittany Allen – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?	3	$159	159	0	+159	No	+$1	09-07 01:30
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 56 and 59 million views on day 2?	3	$154	154	0	+154	No	+$0	09-07 11:40
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?	3	$145	145	0	+145	No	+$0	09-07 21:25
Will Richard Jenkins – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?	7	$144	144	0	+144	No	+$0	09-07 02:20
Will Nick Offerman – “Death By Lightning” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?	7	$143	144	0	+144	No	+$0	09-07 02:20
Will Richard Gadd – “Half Man” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?	7	$143	144	0	+144	No	+$1	09-07 02:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 10?	4	$141	142	0	+142	No	+$1	09-10 15:29
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on September 7?	5	$135	136	0	+136	No	+$1	09-07 14:04
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on September 7?	5	$134	136	0	+136	No	+$1	09-07 14:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 07:30:14	Will Chase DeLauter win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x59316c…
10-19 17:08:30	Will an independent win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xc37190…
10-01 16:11:53	Will ANSEM be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x51bf8a…
09-29 05:57:18	Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xab9c1a…
09-28 14:42:23	Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x1da4c5…
09-26 14:06:39	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland be 2,450,000 or more?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x32fa39…
09-23 08:26:38	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x58d56b…
09-23 07:43:25	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	91	0¢	$0	0x0e8874…
09-22 22:46:26	Will the median home value in Miami be at least $1,196,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x202152…
09-22 17:46:25	Will the median home value in Miami be at least $1,196,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xe367c9…
09-22 17:10:15	Will ANSEM be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x2826c0…
09-21 15:01:58	Will the median home value in Miami be less than $1,017,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xb788ab…
09-21 13:07:20	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,176,000 and $1,198,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0x168e2d…
09-21 13:07:15	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,242,000 and $1,264,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0xc298ed…
09-21 13:07:15	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,198,000 and $1,220,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0xaa2ba1…
09-19 16:59:24	Will the median home value in Miami be less than $1,017,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x6dede6…
09-19 15:36:09	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0xef3581…
09-17 21:32:01	Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xe5b564…
09-17 19:50:19	Will AI solve 5 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xb52811…
09-17 16:31:31	Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xb9c54e…
09-17 11:42:46	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,300,000 and 4,500,000?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x272563…
09-16 21:45:21	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x05e981…
09-16 21:45:19	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xd4a66d…
09-16 21:45:19	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x46c194…
09-16 17:15:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x9e7062…
09-15 09:30:58	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	314	0¢	$0	0x90eb33…
09-15 04:09:57	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	348	0¢	$0	0x1c0886…
09-14 23:11:36	Will "DTF St. Louis" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x432e18…
09-14 21:44:03	Will the San Diego Padres have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x5c19a7…
09-14 16:17:37	Will "DTF St. Louis" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	SELL	215	0¢	$0	0xe94faf…
09-14 08:23:30	Will there be between 25 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x2686ed…
09-13 23:03:09	Will there be between 25 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x2f79df…
09-13 22:46:28	Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xdf6e55…
09-13 13:08:06	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in September?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x1acaa3…
09-13 11:05:40	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,161,000 and $1,196,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xd340b3…
09-13 11:05:40	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,017,000 and $1,053,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xb2c210…
09-13 11:05:40	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,053,000 and $1,089,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0x01c9cd…
09-13 09:12:31	Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xaa96f9…
09-12 20:23:34	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0x7b9aca…
09-12 18:53:18	Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	SELL	81	0¢	$0	0x92abad…
09-12 17:11:15	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x0f7349…
09-12 14:38:58	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	36	86¢	$31	0x527131…
09-12 12:54:03	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	96	0¢	$0	0x7e25db…
09-12 12:36:09	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	73	55¢	$40	0xc9fb50…
09-12 09:21:31	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	314	0¢	$0	0xa71c14…
09-12 08:03:30	Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x91cb0b…
09-12 00:30:43	Will Parker Messick win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x93b4cb…
09-11 23:32:36	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x9d30e0…
09-11 23:26:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0x3e981d…
09-11 23:11:12	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	96	3¢	$3	0xb909b5…
09-11 22:34:58	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	96	1¢	$1	0x0c8e1c…
09-11 21:07:09	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$3	0x0ac92f…
09-11 20:29:45	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xbe1c82…
09-11 19:48:21	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xc4d9e6…
09-11 18:39:45	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 88% or more?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x82104f…
09-11 18:02:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xc6b295…
09-11 17:59:34	Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?	Yes	SELL	57	11¢	$6	0xe0c568…
09-11 17:47:06	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x77de31…
09-11 16:57:54	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	52	17¢	$9	0xf962f1…
09-11 16:51:18	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	Yes	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0xc69a61…
09-11 16:50:15	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x90b553…
09-11 16:48:27	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x48445f…
09-11 16:13:15	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x54beed…
09-11 15:35:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xab1d86…
09-11 15:27:37	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 975,000 and 1,050,000?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x211774…
09-11 15:19:57	Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xbece57…
09-11 15:17:06	Will MrBeast's next video get between 77.5 and 78.0 million views on day 6?	Yes	SELL	19	40¢	$8	0x2b0888…
09-11 15:08:06	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 58.0 in September?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x25e9e1…
09-11 15:08:00	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in September?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x841768…
09-11 15:08:00	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 55.0 and 57.9 in September?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x3bd8d9…
09-11 15:06:03	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	30	72¢	$22	0x03c8fa…
09-11 15:03:46	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0xbcabd2…
09-11 15:03:39	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	67	17¢	$11	0x85fc72…
09-11 14:03:07	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in September?	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xf4f934…
09-11 14:03:07	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 55.0 and 57.9 in September?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xed2ae2…
09-11 14:03:07	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in September?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd08a94…
09-11 14:03:07	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 58.0 in September?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x251723…
09-11 14:01:58	Will MrBeast's next video get between 77.5 and 78.0 million views on day 6?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xa47b09…
09-11 14:01:58	Will MrBeast's next video get 78.0 million or more views on day 6?	No	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x02dc95…
09-11 14:00:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe9c4b7…
09-11 14:00:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd28d4a…
09-11 14:00:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc2b63d…
09-11 14:00:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xac09c1…
09-11 14:00:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x952b67…
09-11 14:00:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x865566…
09-11 14:00:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4670db…
09-11 14:00:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1900b0…
09-11 14:00:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc18856…
09-11 14:00:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbf7b0a…
09-11 14:00:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x888429…
09-11 14:00:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x654a9b…
09-11 14:00:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3233ac…
09-11 14:00:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x278acd…
09-11 13:59:13	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on September 11?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xb8cb01…
09-11 13:59:13	Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on September 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x88ffb8…
09-11 13:59:13	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on September 11?	No	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x5ebf49…
09-11 13:59:13	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on September 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x550589…
09-11 13:56:18	Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on September 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9f2a25…
09-11 13:56:18	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on September 11?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x8e9860…
09-11 13:56:18	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on September 11?	No	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x2569a2…