Bubbly-Stonework — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$84

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 11-01 13:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Sports

65% 47% -$4

Other

25% 0% -$8

Politics

8% 0% $0

Crypto

3% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	11-01 12:35
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	3	$9	10	5	+5	Raptors	+$1	05-02 02:48
Lakers vs. Rockets	3	$9	10	5	+5	Lakers	+$1	05-02 04:42
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	4	$7	7	7	+0	Yes	$0	04-30 17:53
nba min den 2026 04 20	2	$6	5	5	+0	Timberwolves	+$2	04-21 05:21
76ers vs. Celtics	2	$5	10	0	+10	76ers	+$0	05-03 00:23
Pistons vs. Magic	2	$5	10	0	+10	Pistons	+$0	05-01 23:45
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	1	$4	50	0	+50	No	-$4	09-17 17:59
Celtics vs. 76ers	2	$4	10	0	+10	76ers	+$1	05-01 01:03
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	2	$4	10	0	+10	Timberwolves	+$1	05-05 03:48
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	3	$3	6	1	+5	Timberwolves	-$2	05-01 04:53
Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by October 31?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	11-01 13:00
Knicks vs. Hawks	1	$2	5	0	+5	Knicks	-$2	04-30 23:18
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	2	$2	5	5	+0	No	-$2	10-14 05:51
nba phi bos 2026 04 21	2	$2	5	5	+0	76ers	-$2	04-22 01:21
nba por sas 2026 04 19	1	$1	20	0	+20	Spurs	-$1	04-20 02:49
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$1	5	0	+5	Knicks	-$1	05-05 00:26
Magic vs. Pistons	1	$1	5	0	+5	Pistons	-$1	05-03 19:45
bitcoin above 86k on january 31	6	$1	40	0	+40	No	-$1	01-31 04:35
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$1	5	0	+5	Knicks	-$1	05-06 23:16
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$1	5	0	+5	Thunder	-$1	05-08 02:37
will the total number of tsa passengers for january 29 be less than 2000000	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	01-30 09:08
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$1	7	0	+7	No	-$1	07-28 05:35
bitcoin above 80k on january 30	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	01-30 12:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 13:00:15	Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by October 31?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x836e74…
11-01 12:35:16	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x113e20…
10-14 05:51:23	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x2cc6a8…
09-17 18:00:22	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbeba1e…
09-17 17:59:19	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xff5091…
07-28 05:35:15	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x203882…
05-08 02:37:14	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x680990…
05-06 23:16:05	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x74613a…
05-05 03:48:08	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x0e01c2…
05-05 02:10:04	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x341eb1…
05-05 00:26:46	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xeb000b…
05-03 19:45:16	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xc0b5c1…
05-03 00:23:20	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xb11f02…
05-03 00:21:06	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x06ca6d…
05-02 04:42:16	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1a9a75…
05-02 02:48:32	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x48945a…
05-02 02:48:26	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Raptors	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xeed4a0…
05-02 01:51:00	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x62ce96…
05-02 00:16:28	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xbf253a…
05-01 23:47:22	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x1ddead…
05-01 23:45:26	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x810edc…
05-01 23:12:30	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa9fb95…
05-01 04:53:46	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa9634c…
05-01 03:21:16	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Nuggets	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6023d3…
05-01 02:22:10	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x0683ac…
05-01 01:03:26	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x160af5…
05-01 00:29:36	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x9b79ad…
04-30 23:18:48	Knicks vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x51ddb0…
04-30 17:53:32	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xc301b6…
04-30 17:52:08	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x31b938…
04-30 08:27:54	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xa5f831…
04-30 08:27:34	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0076e8…
04-22 01:21:14	nba phi bos 2026 04 21	Celtics	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x646885…
04-22 01:10:10	nba phi bos 2026 04 21	Celtics	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf4d521…
04-21 05:21:36	nba min den 2026 04 20	Timberwolves	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xea708c…
04-21 03:50:46	nba min den 2026 04 20	Timberwolves	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x66fc46…
04-20 02:49:10	nba por sas 2026 04 19	Trail Blazers	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x0c849e…
01-31 04:35:20	bitcoin above 86k on january 31	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x410f76…
01-31 04:35:10	bitcoin above 86k on january 31	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xed7eb9…
01-31 04:34:50	bitcoin above 86k on january 31	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x6d0048…
01-31 04:30:20	bitcoin above 86k on january 31	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xffd58f…
01-31 04:29:26	bitcoin above 86k on january 31	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x230e2e…
01-31 04:29:00	bitcoin above 86k on january 31	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x8b40bf…
01-30 12:19:46	bitcoin above 80k on january 30	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc322be…
01-30 09:08:48	will the total number of tsa passengers for january 29 be less than 2000000	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4de25f…