Knotty-Success — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

289

Trades

290

lifetime

Volume

$6.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-31 09:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 223 days

Categories

Other

98% 100% +$9

Politics

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 31?	1	$29	29	+29	open	—	10-31 09:39
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 30?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	10-30 09:35
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	10-29 17:34
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 29?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-29 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-28 05:03
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-27 08:02
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 26?	1	$28	29	+29	No	+$0	10-26 07:48
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 24?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	10-24 07:13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 22?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	10-22 09:59
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 20?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	10-20 04:41
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 19?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	10-19 07:59
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	10-18 07:38
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 17?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	10-17 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 16?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	10-16 08:41
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 15?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	10-15 08:18
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	10-14 08:28
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 13?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	10-13 08:09
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 12?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	10-12 07:44
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 11?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	10-11 07:19
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 8?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	10-08 07:21
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 7?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	10-07 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 6?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	10-06 07:22
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 4?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	10-04 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	10-03 04:21
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	10-02 07:27
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	10-01 07:59
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on September 30?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	09-30 07:42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 29?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	09-29 09:06
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 28?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	09-28 09:06
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 27?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	09-27 08:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 09:39:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 31?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe3e64c…
10-30 09:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x8709f2…
10-29 17:34:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x5d6dfd…
10-29 08:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x3bce31…
10-28 05:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xfbaa0c…
10-27 08:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x2b4ddc…
10-26 07:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0x9e1f9a…
10-24 07:13:26	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 24?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc4e549…
10-22 09:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 22?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x497a29…
10-20 04:41:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 20?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf4fa51…
10-19 07:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 19?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xfcb578…
10-18 07:38:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc9aad4…
10-17 08:12:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 17?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xcec827…
10-16 08:41:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x8e1afe…
10-15 08:18:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1c4901…
10-14 08:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf365c2…
10-13 08:09:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x7a2091…
10-12 07:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 12?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x6d9776…
10-11 07:19:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x78cfc1…
10-08 07:21:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf75039…
10-07 09:12:35	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 7?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x7b2b08…
10-06 07:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x267a6e…
10-04 09:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 4?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x8ddd78…
10-03 04:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x7d7f27…
10-02 07:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xaea2fc…
10-01 07:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x882b54…
09-30 07:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3fe054…
09-29 09:06:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd8f183…
09-28 09:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 28?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x7fbe9b…
09-27 08:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa8bcab…
09-25 08:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf9f6ac…
09-24 06:46:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xebb11c…
09-23 05:20:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x83d6b0…
09-22 07:20:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1ef31e…
09-21 08:28:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x9ad36a…
09-20 05:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x942325…
09-19 07:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1a049d…
09-18 01:15:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5c27ce…
09-17 03:47:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x119e0a…
09-16 00:18:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on September 16?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf815a5…
09-15 07:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x6c97af…
09-14 06:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 14?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe3810c…
09-12 09:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe22867…
09-11 07:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xde45fb…
09-10 02:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C or below on September 10?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa9444e…
09-09 01:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5790f7…
09-08 01:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb83c36…
09-07 02:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 7?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5c8819…
09-06 07:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x459356…
09-05 09:39:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x358353…
09-04 08:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x56cbfa…
09-03 07:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 3?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb8109a…
09-01 01:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 31?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x896406…
08-30 07:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc8ab94…
08-29 06:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 29?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb4127c…
08-28 02:04:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x898d29…
08-27 01:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x903f5f…
08-26 08:03:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on August 26?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x83dc38…
08-25 06:47:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x73b962…
08-24 09:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x801e54…
08-23 07:41:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x576dbd…
08-22 06:40:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 22?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xeb1c94…
08-21 02:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 20?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xbad12f…
08-20 08:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd9ffd1…
08-19 07:37:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x94ff9d…
08-18 03:57:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 18?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xfdd90e…
08-17 06:58:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd83f89…
08-16 10:49:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xafb0c3…
08-15 08:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 15?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd36563…
08-14 06:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x25373e…
08-13 07:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x1a3616…
08-12 07:21:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 12?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x090841…
08-11 00:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x1295b7…
08-10 00:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 9?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb796db…
08-09 01:08:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe66e91…
08-08 07:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 8?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x66c4ed…
08-07 00:31:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb79c48…
08-06 00:29:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x42c61d…
08-05 07:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 5?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x9783c9…
08-04 06:09:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on August 4?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5ec0a3…
08-03 01:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x53ea6c…
08-02 01:09:35	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x48b200…
08-01 00:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x161cc2…
07-31 07:44:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x99a83b…
07-30 00:33:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xcfa49b…
07-29 05:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on July 29?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x586f26…
07-28 05:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xab5873…
07-27 07:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf136e6…
07-26 06:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x4b223e…
07-25 00:43:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 25?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x24cc8d…
07-24 06:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on July 24?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc43c18…
07-23 09:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe149b0…
07-23 02:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x0dde38…
07-22 01:38:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x65039a…
07-20 23:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x61c389…
07-20 02:12:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 19?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa49ab3…
07-18 22:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 18?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xd14f98…
07-17 23:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 17?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x6f4523…
07-17 05:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x0f9bb4…
07-16 07:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 16?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x615481…