Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$527

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved

Trades

200

lifetime

Volume

$105.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$527

Open exposure

$6.55K

6 positions

First seen

2026-09-11

last 10-27 06:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

97% 83% -$12,427

Politics

2% 76% -$303

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% 64% -$2

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+6,151	$5,229	92¢	$5.7K	+$461	10-27 06:06
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+703	$600	94¢	$658	+$58	10-21 21:36
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+226	$76	34¢	$78	+$1	10-25 15:33
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes	+80	$66	92¢	$74	+$8	10-21 21:43
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+363	$33	8¢	$31	-$2	10-26 13:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	+20	$19	100¢	$20	+$1	10-25 19:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	32	$37.6K	24,455	18,304	+6,151	open	—	10-27 06:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$16.1K	96,083	0	+96,083	No	-$16,054	09-15 12:18
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?	6	$15.9K	8,970	8,970	+0	Yes	+$375	10-20 20:11
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	4	$13.9K	8,725	8,725	+0	Yes	+$68	10-21 20:53
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	3	$9.8K	5,398	5,398	+0	Yes	+$824	10-21 20:39
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	36	$8.0K	11,316	827	+10,489	Yes	+$2,334	10-26 15:59
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	1	$600	703	0	+703	open	—	10-21 21:36
Will Trump say "Democrat" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	5	$599	635	0	+635	Yes	+$37	10-23 13:27
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$596	300	300	+0	No	+$2	10-26 15:18
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	2	$408	462	0	+462	No	-$408	10-25 00:43
Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	6	$251	311	0	+311	Yes	+$59	10-25 00:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?	5	$234	199	122	+77	Yes	-$2	09-20 18:13
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	7	$161	104	104	+0	Up	+$7	09-18 20:10
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20?	2	$145	75	75	+0	Yes	+$5	09-20 16:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	09-29 18:14
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	2	$95	296	296	+0	open	—	09-29 18:17
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$76	226	0	+226	open	—	10-25 15:33
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	3	$70	50	20	+30	No	+$0	09-22 10:35
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	1	$66	80	0	+80	open	—	10-21 21:43
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$61	36	36	+0	open	—	09-29 18:17
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	2	$60	31	31	+0	No	+$0	09-18 19:50
will warsh say ai during september press conference 20260909	2	$42	22	22	+0	Yes	+$2	09-16 20:42
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	09-18 19:47
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	2	$40	27	27	+0	Yes	$0	09-29 18:18
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	$0	09-29 18:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 13:40 UTC	5	$37	29	19	+11	Up	+$8	09-17 13:43
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$33	363	0	+363	open	—	10-26 13:38
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17?	1	$30	33	0	+33	Yes	+$3	09-17 07:39
spx up or down on september 17 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	Up	+$0	09-17 13:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	2	$28	14	14	+0	Yes	$0	10-18 06:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 06:06:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	244	94¢	$229	0xab891b…
10-27 06:06:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	194	94¢	$182	0x094155…
10-27 03:08:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x3cd469…
10-27 03:08:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xd11649…
10-27 03:07:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x5a61ac…
10-27 03:07:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x5d1b1e…
10-27 03:07:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xc44cff…
10-27 03:07:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x8cd2b9…
10-27 03:07:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xaa1f45…
10-27 03:07:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	522	94¢	$490	0xb03a2c…
10-27 03:07:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	363	94¢	$340	0xa59a39…
10-27 03:07:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	875	94¢	$820	0x60e826…
10-27 03:07:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	240	94¢	$225	0x24c418…
10-26 15:59:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	740	40¢	$294	0xa0e265…
10-26 15:42:48	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	827	37¢	$305	0x168f04…
10-26 15:18:35	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	827	35¢	$293	0x977c59…
10-26 15:18:12	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0x7fb7c1…
10-26 13:38:21	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	333	9¢	$30	0x66edea…
10-26 13:37:27	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x74cb29…
10-25 20:07:09	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,075	74¢	$800	0x519e9b…
10-25 20:05:17	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,685	72¢	$1,220	0xa8b19b…
10-25 20:04:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,200	94¢	$2,068	0xb9ca70…
10-25 19:15:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1cd257…
10-25 15:43:21	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x112fb3…
10-25 15:33:33	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	174	34¢	$59	0x4d35d5…
10-25 15:33:32	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0xa76bec…
10-25 14:47:02	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x11f77e…
10-25 01:16:53	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3,520	71¢	$2,500	0x128a1a…
10-25 01:16:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0xaf0fbe…
10-25 01:16:20	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	350	71¢	$248	0x440465…
10-25 01:16:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0x9e0134…
10-25 01:15:56	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0x8bab68…
10-25 01:14:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	169	70¢	$119	0x2250f5…
10-25 01:13:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,200	94¢	$3,008	0xfedad6…
10-25 00:53:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6da261…
10-25 00:43:29	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x08497d…
10-25 00:01:32	Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xd59cae…
10-24 23:58:23	Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x1bc79e…
10-24 08:41:36	Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	150	82¢	$123	0x8c7de5…
10-24 08:34:42	Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x93d4d6…
10-24 08:34:24	Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	42	80¢	$33	0x1f4d97…
10-24 04:38:11	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	444	90¢	$400	0x61b699…
10-23 18:15:00	Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x8497f1…
10-23 13:56:50	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	36	33¢	$12	0x6a121e…
10-23 13:54:24	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x67f3f8…
10-23 13:53:47	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xb41252…
10-23 13:53:18	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	249	76¢	$190	0xaa956f…
10-23 13:52:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x9e33ac…
10-23 13:50:27	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xb7e127…
10-23 13:47:20	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x50a9fd…
10-23 13:46:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	76¢	$153	0x2f2a56…
10-23 13:45:56	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	76¢	$153	0xa3695c…
10-23 13:44:09	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xcefbcd…
10-23 13:43:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x8f015a…
10-23 13:42:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	121	76¢	$92	0x5ae514…
10-23 13:42:08	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xc456f0…
10-23 13:41:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xd4d4e6…
10-23 13:41:32	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x4f1f95…
10-23 13:41:29	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	70	76¢	$53	0xe9ea43…
10-23 13:41:24	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x5d990b…
10-23 13:41:06	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x3dae85…
10-23 13:40:32	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	400	76¢	$305	0x8beda0…
10-23 13:40:17	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xd39e77…
10-23 13:40:09	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x925b95…
10-23 13:39:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xa96caf…
10-23 13:39:50	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x6ac198…
10-23 13:39:42	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xb0b28b…
10-23 13:39:32	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	364	76¢	$278	0x68b94e…
10-23 13:37:26	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	151	76¢	$115	0xbc9f05…
10-23 13:27:51	Will Trump say "Democrat" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xa89826…
10-23 13:27:45	Will Trump say "Democrat" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x81d62c…
10-23 13:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x901861…
10-22 18:56:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xf19132…
10-22 18:55:14	will trump say democrat 5 times during his midterm rally in iowa	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x53e913…
10-22 18:48:05	Will Trump say "Democrat" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	280	94¢	$263	0x422401…
10-22 18:22:59	Will Trump say "Democrat" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x762047…
10-22 18:22:09	Will Trump say "Democrat" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xb652e6…
10-22 18:11:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	537	94¢	$505	0xf6a1ca…
10-22 14:24:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xd13f33…
10-21 21:43:00	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	82¢	$66	0xa80dbf…
10-21 21:36:48	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	703	85¢	$600	0x377f7c…
10-21 20:57:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,700	88¢	$5,896	0xf21860…
10-21 20:53:48	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	6,257	100¢	$6,251	0x877885…
10-21 20:40:15	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	6,257	80¢	$5,000	0x64da67…
10-21 20:39:24	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	5,398	99¢	$5,324	0x526aac…
10-21 20:35:35	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	707	99¢	$700	0x5583f8…
10-21 20:30:23	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	2,468	29¢	$716	0xadfb5d…
10-21 19:08:09	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	2,468	77¢	$1,900	0x42a89c…
10-21 19:07:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,250	86¢	$1,937	0xee01c9…
10-21 18:45:05	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	4,691	81¢	$3,800	0xf8d9fe…
10-21 18:44:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4,500	86¢	$3,870	0x1d5468…
10-21 16:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0x94c385…
10-21 16:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xade75a…
10-20 20:30:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9,000	86¢	$7,740	0x300e22…
10-20 20:11:11	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	489	92¢	$449	0xed2da2…
10-20 20:10:51	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	8,482	91¢	$7,677	0x75bceb…
10-20 18:01:32	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	698	86¢	$600	0xa86751…
10-20 17:40:03	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	4,700	86¢	$4,042	0xd17b14…
10-20 17:39:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5,515	86¢	$4,743	0xcb054f…
10-20 16:44:47	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	3,550	87¢	$3,088	0x8ae7a2…