Tired-Departure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.57K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

42,024

Trades

136,786

lifetime

Volume

$732.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 11-02 21:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 222 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 54% -$5,773

Other

2% 50% +$199

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1614 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	57	$2.5K	5,220	0	+5,220	Up	-$14	11-01 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	66	$2.4K	5,040	0	+5,040	Down	+$162	10-24 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	60	$2.1K	4,500	0	+4,500	Up	+$78	10-25 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	91	$2.0K	4,357	0	+4,357	Down	-$173	10-25 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	20	$1.8K	2,520	0	+2,520	Down	-$586	11-01 16:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:30 UTC	66	$1.7K	3,240	0	+3,240	Up	-$38	10-17 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	63	$1.5K	2,198	0	+2,198	Up	-$416	10-17 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	32	$1.5K	2,614	0	+2,614	Up	-$157	10-25 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	30	$1.3K	1,756	0	+1,756	Down	-$516	10-17 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	26	$1.3K	2,160	0	+2,160	Down	-$219	10-21 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	87	$1.3K	2,160	0	+2,160	Down	-$215	11-01 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	27	$1.3K	1,996	0	+1,996	Up	-$263	10-25 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	92	$1.2K	1,800	0	+1,800	Up	-$345	10-25 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	48	$1.2K	1,080	991	+89	Down	-$67	10-16 01:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	65	$1.2K	2,160	0	+2,160	Down	-$122	10-25 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	16	$1.2K	2,700	0	+2,700	Down	-$293	10-25 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	54	$1.2K	2,700	0	+2,700	Down	-$108	10-25 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	22	$1.2K	1,800	0	+1,800	Down	+$82	10-21 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	41	$1.2K	2,160	0	+2,160	Down	-$88	10-31 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	32	$1.2K	1,440	0	+1,440	Down	-$432	10-25 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	44	$1.1K	1,800	0	+1,800	Down	-$218	11-02 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	59	$1.1K	1,613	0	+1,613	Down	-$392	10-23 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	37	$1.1K	2,160	0	+2,160	Down	+$0	10-23 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	30	$1.1K	1,693	0	+1,693	Up	+$221	10-23 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	11	$1.1K	1,620	0	+1,620	Down	-$335	10-25 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	15	$1.0K	1,640	0	+1,640	Down	-$226	10-29 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	25	$1.0K	2,180	0	+2,180	Down	+$56	10-26 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	44	$1.0K	2,160	0	+2,160	Down	+$53	10-28 00:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:30 UTC	13	$1.0K	1,800	0	+1,800	Down	-$117	10-17 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	8	$1.0K	1,440	0	+1,440	Down	-$293	10-25 10:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 22:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0xbcaf66…
11-02 22:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x9c14e8…
11-02 22:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	36	68¢	$25	0x9a4204…
11-02 22:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	68¢	$16	0x487955…
11-02 22:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$0	0xa80da0…
11-02 22:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x56f5be…
11-02 22:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0xeaba97…
11-02 22:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x83d784…
11-02 22:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x01f40f…
11-02 22:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	120	57¢	$68	0x2ead74…
11-02 21:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x5888a6…
11-02 21:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	12¢	$4	0x19c3b2…
11-02 21:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xcb9f05…
11-02 21:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	65	12¢	$8	0xa2c0eb…
11-02 21:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x33b694…
11-02 21:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	180	1¢	$2	0xebd9a5…
11-02 21:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x6956c2…
11-02 21:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x6a9ff3…
11-02 21:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	41	19¢	$8	0x37d781…
11-02 21:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	116	56¢	$65	0xa9825a…
11-02 21:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	64	56¢	$36	0x90a776…
11-02 20:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	180	46¢	$83	0x027434…
11-02 20:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x5ef6bc…
11-02 20:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	46	24¢	$11	0x2cc992…
11-02 20:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	21¢	$5	0xa291d0…
11-02 20:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	23¢	$9	0xe83062…
11-02 20:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0xca0677…
11-02 20:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xb12900…
11-02 20:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xda8e0a…
11-02 20:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	45	31¢	$14	0x79f80a…
11-02 20:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x04d313…
11-02 20:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xc9a9fd…
11-02 20:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x896267…
11-02 20:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x81f816…
11-02 20:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0x4a702a…
11-02 20:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	85	89¢	$75	0x643e7f…
11-02 20:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	180	91¢	$164	0x72351b…
11-02 20:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xf90dcc…
11-02 20:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x97c29f…
11-02 19:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xa2440b…
11-02 19:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	12¢	$3	0x640b3c…
11-02 19:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x42e01b…
11-02 19:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xd1aad3…
11-02 19:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	12¢	$3	0x17b736…
11-02 19:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x000bdc…
11-02 19:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	49	12¢	$6	0x60d99e…
11-02 19:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x3a190a…
11-02 19:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xd98512…
11-02 19:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	17¢	$4	0x0ef6de…
11-02 19:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xcfb372…
11-02 19:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	99	17¢	$17	0xa0b9b5…
11-02 19:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xcabf6b…
11-02 19:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	26¢	$9	0x80c35b…
11-02 19:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0xafe970…
11-02 19:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0x53607b…
11-02 19:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x3e1dcb…
11-02 19:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0x178914…
11-02 19:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x307ae7…
11-02 19:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0x838223…
11-02 19:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xfeeb17…
11-02 19:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x5980e3…
11-02 19:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	32¢	$5	0xaf4bdf…
11-02 19:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x25f32e…
11-02 19:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	41¢	$4	0x1faafd…
11-02 19:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xdcceab…
11-02 19:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x9b87ee…
11-02 19:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x316880…
11-02 19:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xd52fd8…
11-02 19:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xee8388…
11-02 19:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xd1a7ea…
11-02 19:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	17¢	$8	0x4fab00…
11-02 19:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x032188…
11-02 19:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	120	41¢	$49	0x9ca8c5…
11-02 19:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$4	0xecd893…
11-02 19:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0xdf8a33…
11-02 18:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x7b8600…
11-02 18:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfc92e2…
11-02 18:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xa6723c…
11-02 18:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x5fdaf2…
11-02 18:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x4f4fab…
11-02 18:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	15¢	$7	0x827b14…
11-02 18:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	99	26¢	$26	0xbc39c1…
11-02 18:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x903067…
11-02 18:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xbb8c94…
11-02 17:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	62	90¢	$56	0x6b1f33…
11-02 17:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xe2c36f…
11-02 17:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xa30699…
11-02 17:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x705533…
11-02 17:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x9b0341…
11-02 17:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	62	28¢	$17	0x109080…
11-02 17:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	120	71¢	$85	0xb6f075…
11-02 17:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	120	35¢	$42	0x71881e…
11-02 17:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa7648d…
11-02 17:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x376073…
11-02 17:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x8f456c…
11-02 17:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xd6d776…
11-02 16:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	42¢	$12	0xb18c54…
11-02 16:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x3468e6…
11-02 16:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	133	62¢	$82	0x0b95b0…
11-02 16:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0xf4cc2f…