Tired-Departure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.76K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.3%

Resolved

42,222

Trades

137,420

lifetime

Volume

$745.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 11-04 16:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 224 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 54% -$7,957

Other

2% 50% +$199

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1614 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	57	$2.5K	5,220	0	+5,220	Up	-$14	11-01 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	66	$2.4K	5,040	0	+5,040	Down	+$162	10-24 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	60	$2.1K	4,500	0	+4,500	Up	+$78	10-25 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	91	$2.0K	4,357	0	+4,357	Down	-$173	10-25 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	20	$1.8K	2,520	0	+2,520	Down	-$586	11-01 16:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:30 UTC	66	$1.7K	3,240	0	+3,240	Up	-$38	10-17 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	63	$1.5K	2,198	0	+2,198	Up	-$416	10-17 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	32	$1.5K	2,614	0	+2,614	Up	-$157	10-25 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	30	$1.3K	1,756	0	+1,756	Down	-$516	10-17 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	26	$1.3K	2,160	0	+2,160	Down	-$219	10-21 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	87	$1.3K	2,160	0	+2,160	Down	-$215	11-01 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	27	$1.3K	1,996	0	+1,996	Up	-$263	10-25 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	92	$1.2K	1,800	0	+1,800	Up	-$345	10-25 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	48	$1.2K	1,080	991	+89	Down	-$67	10-16 01:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	65	$1.2K	2,160	0	+2,160	Down	-$122	10-25 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	16	$1.2K	2,700	0	+2,700	Down	-$293	10-25 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	54	$1.2K	2,700	0	+2,700	Down	-$108	10-25 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	22	$1.2K	1,800	0	+1,800	Down	+$82	10-21 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	41	$1.2K	2,160	0	+2,160	Down	-$88	10-31 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	32	$1.2K	1,440	0	+1,440	Down	-$432	10-25 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	44	$1.1K	1,800	0	+1,800	Down	-$218	11-02 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	59	$1.1K	1,613	0	+1,613	Down	-$392	10-23 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	37	$1.1K	2,160	0	+2,160	Down	+$0	10-23 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	30	$1.1K	1,693	0	+1,693	Up	+$221	10-23 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	11	$1.1K	1,620	0	+1,620	Down	-$335	10-25 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	15	$1.0K	1,640	0	+1,640	Down	-$226	10-29 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	25	$1.0K	2,180	0	+2,180	Down	+$56	10-26 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	44	$1.0K	2,160	0	+2,160	Down	+$53	10-28 00:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:30 UTC	13	$1.0K	1,800	0	+1,800	Down	-$117	10-17 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	8	$1.0K	1,440	0	+1,440	Down	-$293	10-25 10:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 17:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x837d32…
11-04 17:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x66a6cc…
11-04 17:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	180	1¢	$2	0xef8a1c…
11-04 17:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	180	45¢	$81	0x5d2f5b…
11-04 17:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xb480a8…
11-04 17:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x9ec2fd…
11-04 17:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x8fc03c…
11-04 17:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x065fb0…
11-04 16:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	156	38¢	$59	0x779f90…
11-04 16:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	44¢	$11	0x093aec…
11-04 16:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x6e8cec…
11-04 16:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	85¢	$18	0x2e42c3…
11-04 16:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x6d0cdd…
11-04 16:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0xe6ab3a…
11-04 16:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe6a868…
11-04 16:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x4baed2…
11-04 16:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x4cdfa1…
11-04 15:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0xb33bb4…
11-04 15:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	74	95¢	$70	0xb80f4b…
11-04 15:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	120	97¢	$116	0xa610b7…
11-04 15:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x0954d2…
11-04 15:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0x81a560…
11-04 15:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7e8a12…
11-04 15:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x798aff…
11-04 15:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xc075c6…
11-04 15:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	120	62¢	$74	0xa44f81…
11-04 15:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	84	70¢	$59	0x74e77f…
11-04 15:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	72¢	$26	0xae2808…
11-04 15:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	74	73¢	$54	0xc19b37…
11-04 15:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	180	1¢	$2	0xf1156b…
11-04 14:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x8c63a1…
11-04 14:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x69b3cb…
11-04 14:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x0c7b0f…
11-04 14:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x08e5d5…
11-04 14:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x1774cd…
11-04 14:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$16	0xe04397…
11-04 14:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xab001a…
11-04 14:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x196721…
11-04 14:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xd8f137…
11-04 14:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x909719…
11-04 14:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	86	15¢	$13	0x0c480b…
11-04 14:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x50840a…
11-04 14:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xbf08d8…
11-04 13:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x8e10aa…
11-04 13:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x5df6f4…
11-04 13:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	175	5¢	$9	0x18edef…
11-04 13:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd2e8c7…
11-04 13:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	180	73¢	$131	0x383f93…
11-04 13:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xe32933…
11-04 13:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0x48fc39…
11-04 13:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0x4572ee…
11-04 13:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	73¢	$24	0x379348…
11-04 13:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0x1ec0c6…
11-04 13:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	57	73¢	$42	0xe279a6…
11-04 13:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0xba0296…
11-04 13:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0xd39cb2…
11-04 13:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0xaebaba…
11-04 13:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0x8f8473…
11-04 13:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0x1daa84…
11-04 13:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x11e9ed…
11-04 13:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x8f6d9f…
11-04 13:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa3fba6…
11-04 13:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0x76e634…
11-04 13:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x388d1d…
11-04 13:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6d298c…
11-04 13:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb95ba7…
11-04 13:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x525714…
11-04 13:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x31fc19…
11-04 13:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	180	56¢	$101	0xf5180f…
11-04 12:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	49	86¢	$42	0xe1b664…
11-04 12:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x89f8ad…
11-04 12:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x33f69e…
11-04 12:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0x168215…
11-04 12:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0xeb3526…
11-04 12:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xe47c3f…
11-04 12:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	180	86¢	$155	0xbcf4c7…
11-04 12:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	180	90¢	$162	0x503117…
11-04 12:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	86	46¢	$40	0xdf6128…
11-04 12:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x10924e…
11-04 12:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x8b1bd4…
11-04 12:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	55	46¢	$25	0x81605e…
11-04 12:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc7549d…
11-04 11:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	27¢	$7	0x05a2a6…
11-04 11:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x605a82…
11-04 11:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	31¢	$10	0xe2cff5…
11-04 11:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xd3845e…
11-04 11:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	38¢	$12	0xdb5c8b…
11-04 11:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd26fe2…
11-04 11:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	42¢	$11	0x03a83f…
11-04 11:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	42¢	$9	0xf8f16d…
11-04 11:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	62¢	$10	0x19014b…
11-04 11:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x042902…
11-04 11:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x5424bc…
11-04 11:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x97b60c…
11-04 11:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x27224d…
11-04 11:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	64¢	$0	0xfc4e58…
11-04 11:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x43bab5…
11-04 11:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xeaaf49…
11-04 11:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	44¢	$12	0xd2110d…
11-04 11:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xff76ac…