Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$103

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-23

last 10-07 18:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 52% -$4

Other

36% 0% -$15

Politics

4% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	5	$16	643	643	+0	open	—	09-30 16:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 12:40 UTC	8	$8	6	6	+0	Down	$0	09-26 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	5	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	10-02 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	10-02 22:22
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	2	$4	10	10	+0	Yes	-$2	10-03 20:04
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	3	$4	22	22	+0	No	-$4	10-04 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	10-02 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	4	$4	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	09-23 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	09-24 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	09-23 17:00
trump renames ai by september 30	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	09-23 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	$0	10-02 21:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 10:30 UTC	4	$3	3	3	+0	Down	-$1	10-03 10:33
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	1	$3	7	0	+7	No	-$3	09-30 16:16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2	$3	6	6	+0	No	-$1	10-07 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	3	$3	3	1	+1	Down	-$1	09-24 00:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 10:25 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	10-03 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	10-02 22:31
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2	$2	7	7	+0	No	-$2	10-07 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	10-03 10:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	09-23 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	09-23 17:21
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	1	$2	8	0	+8	No	-$2	09-30 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	$0	09-23 17:27
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	2	$1	20	20	+0	No	-$1	10-04 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$1	1	1	+0	Down	-$1	09-23 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$1	8	8	+0	Down	-$1	10-02 22:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 12:35 UTC	2	$1	1	1	+0	Down	-$1	09-26 12:38
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	1	$1	500	0	+500	No	-$1	10-07 11:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 12:50 UTC	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	-$1	09-26 12:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 18:37:07	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x62bb72…
10-07 18:27:57	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x791ce3…
10-07 11:44:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xcad34e…
10-07 11:44:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x610e72…
10-07 11:26:50	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x29847b…
10-04 10:12:59	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x8c8627…
10-04 10:12:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x90e459…
10-03 20:04:44	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xd1bd23…
10-03 20:04:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x2b85ea…
10-03 10:33:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 10:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x02e8d4…
10-03 10:31:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb84d63…
10-03 10:31:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x6a89d1…
10-03 10:30:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x982fad…
10-03 10:25:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 10:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x883093…
10-03 10:25:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x203bdc…
10-03 10:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x0fe33e…
10-03 10:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb1e6dd…
10-02 22:56:27	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x14a36b…
10-02 22:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xd4b907…
10-02 22:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5ef55b…
10-02 22:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xd0d82b…
10-02 22:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1b12d4…
10-02 22:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x6bafef…
10-02 22:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb8c926…
10-02 22:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x9cd9c3…
10-02 22:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd18c02…
10-02 22:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xe6c542…
10-02 22:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4dae74…
10-02 22:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	57¢	$1	0x1f3c32…
10-02 22:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfec6da…
10-02 21:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x387dab…
10-02 21:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x64497c…
10-02 21:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x700d56…
10-02 21:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xaddc18…
10-02 21:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xa38465…
10-02 21:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd9b16a…
10-02 21:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x35da9e…
10-02 21:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x71bf3f…
10-02 21:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x17ce80…
10-02 20:37:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x556650…
10-02 20:36:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdc3b0b…
09-30 16:17:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x1e9895…
09-30 16:16:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x2585ef…
09-30 16:08:45	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	363	2¢	$6	0x2bf57b…
09-27 12:49:59	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x94e485…
09-26 17:52:56	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	1¢	$1	0xad4b8e…
09-26 12:50:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb66f89…
09-26 12:43:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 12:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb6b7e0…
09-26 12:42:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x250088…
09-26 12:42:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 12:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xf327b8…
09-26 12:41:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc6f0b1…
09-26 12:41:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 12:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xad734d…
09-26 12:41:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xcb3f69…
09-26 12:40:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 12:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x3403a5…
09-26 12:40:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x36bb1d…
09-26 12:38:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 12:35 UTC	Up	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x016924…
09-26 12:36:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb30bfe…
09-26 11:54:09	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	174	1¢	$2	0xac6fee…
09-24 00:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb26a4c…
09-24 00:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x178b62…
09-24 00:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8b316b…
09-24 00:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x49078e…
09-24 00:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd3e082…
09-24 00:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x72e677…
09-24 00:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa33482…
09-23 23:59:28	trump renames ai by september 30	No	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x6599ff…
09-23 17:28:59	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x21f468…
09-23 17:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x1f20b5…
09-23 17:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x63bb3d…
09-23 17:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc4c789…
09-23 17:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x193415…
09-23 17:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x9bdc6a…
09-23 17:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8da5b9…
09-23 17:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x431cd6…
09-23 17:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x10d0c5…
09-23 17:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7209a7…
09-23 17:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb9a4ca…
09-23 16:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3b7859…
09-23 16:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x174de1…
09-23 16:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc79b50…
09-23 16:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x83c8b0…
09-23 16:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa49fbe…
09-23 16:31:49	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	643	1¢	$7	0x7169b7…