Insecure-Sector — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.30K

Unrealized P&L

+$49

Hit rate

52.2%

Resolved

235

Trades

649

lifetime

Volume

$21.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$149

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 10-29 15:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

75% 31% -$2,005

Crypto

18% 66% -$148

Politics

7% 55% -$143

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	+150	$46	54¢	$81	+$35	10-28 11:21
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	+190	$44	34¢	$64	+$20	10-28 11:22
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	+98	$10	5¢	$5	-$5	10-29 15:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	5	$733	836	836	+0	No	+$73	05-11 14:00
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	7	$599	654	654	+0	No	+$329	05-22 07:31
Will Yodchanan Wongsawat be the next prime minister of Thailand?	2	$570	299	299	+0	No	+$25	02-23 08:54
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	7	$540	1,327	1,327	+0	Yes	-$20	05-26 14:40
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	6	$441	1,462	945	+517	No	-$219	05-25 06:13
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	6	$420	589	565	+23	Yes	+$203	04-09 15:24
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	6	$372	293	293	+0	Yes	+$202	03-17 15:20
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	5	$347	599	599	+0	No	-$33	05-13 19:40
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 90 114	7	$337	737	180	+557	No	-$213	03-20 15:27
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	9	$334	701	674	+28	No	+$33	04-09 15:24
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 115 139	9	$313	714	714	+0	Yes	-$100	03-21 07:35
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$300	1,200	0	+1,200	No	-$300	02-20 11:56
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	4	$278	180	180	+0	Yes	+$77	03-09 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$275	289	250	+39	Down	+$64	10-27 14:44
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	7	$267	891	200	+691	No	-$175	04-12 12:04
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	7	$255	701	701	+0	Yes	+$21	05-22 07:31
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 240 259	6	$253	816	196	+620	No	-$167	04-12 12:04
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	7	$245	409	396	+13	No	-$41	04-07 11:07
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	3	$238	327	326	+0	No	+$38	05-13 10:30
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	11	$237	638	638	+0	Yes	-$87	03-20 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$232	134	134	+0	Down	+$32	10-27 14:39
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$225	128	128	+0	open	—	10-24 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$209	111	111	+0	Up	+$9	10-26 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	6	$209	234	234	+0	Down	-$91	10-25 13:48
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 90 114	3	$208	206	206	+0	Yes	+$60	03-14 11:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$208	126	126	+0	Down	+$8	10-25 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$206	108	108	+0	Down	+$6	10-25 12:28
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 220 239	8	$202	915	299	+616	No	-$64	04-11 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$202	103	103	+0	Down	+$2	10-24 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$202	103	103	+0	Up	+$2	10-26 12:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:08:47	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	10¢	$10	0x973e14…
10-29 15:08:01	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	3¢	$3	0xc04c20…
10-29 14:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9dda45…
10-28 15:44:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	45	58¢	$26	0x738aea…
10-28 15:44:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xe618fd…
10-28 15:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0xa3a6b3…
10-28 15:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x020e81…
10-28 14:54:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	144	70¢	$100	0x6df447…
10-28 14:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	159	16¢	$25	0xb08b02…
10-28 14:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	120	21¢	$25	0x774c8d…
10-28 13:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xa1fee4…
10-28 13:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xe184b5…
10-28 12:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x1948da…
10-28 12:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x64c9fb…
10-28 12:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	39	57¢	$22	0x653c6e…
10-28 12:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x58592c…
10-28 12:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	86	99¢	$85	0x765cff…
10-28 12:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xb178af…
10-28 11:22:11	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	25¢	$14	0xacc38d…
10-28 11:21:59	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x9006cd…
10-28 11:20:11	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x094326…
10-28 11:19:59	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0x135823…
10-28 11:18:49	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xcc0f5a…
10-28 11:18:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	18¢	$7	0x3b985d…
10-28 01:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x412192…
10-28 01:30:14	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x702c4e…
10-27 17:12:32	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0xdf77ce…
10-27 16:15:57	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0x2af9bd…
10-27 16:15:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	30¢	$45	0x5d10d9…
10-27 15:25:21	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	244	50¢	$123	0x13eeb0…
10-27 15:17:38	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	59¢	$22	0x8bf521…
10-27 14:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	39	65¢	$25	0xe4542d…
10-27 14:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	250	60¢	$150	0x02d9b3…
10-27 14:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x8ba481…
10-27 14:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	134	99¢	$132	0xa6ac2e…
10-27 14:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0x7d3106…
10-26 14:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	155	65¢	$100	0x2d7583…
10-26 14:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	111	98¢	$109	0x4dfcf1…
10-26 14:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xfc2554…
10-26 14:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xf6b5df…
10-26 13:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	49	25¢	$12	0x3fbfbe…
10-26 13:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x41e2ea…
10-26 13:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x68c865…
10-26 13:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	34	64¢	$22	0xee647a…
10-26 13:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xea972f…
10-26 13:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	43	71¢	$31	0x5801d4…
10-26 13:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x69ec75…
10-26 12:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0xb4470f…
10-26 12:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x75a9bd…
10-26 12:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0xb61f12…
10-26 12:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x9fdf63…
10-26 12:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x3a7611…
10-26 12:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x6aa4ea…
10-26 08:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xccda95…
10-26 08:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xba3012…
10-26 08:22:39	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	57	64¢	$36	0x9eaece…
10-25 16:22:24	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	3¢	$3	0x9c4f28…
10-25 16:21:08	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	144	7¢	$10	0x4e02d1…
10-25 16:20:50	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0x548835…
10-25 14:38:42	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x35c573…
10-25 14:38:32	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x92202b…
10-25 14:38:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	35¢	$13	0xf17156…
10-25 13:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	132	25¢	$33	0x521062…
10-25 13:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xc8ab5f…
10-25 13:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	64	17¢	$11	0x4c7029…
10-25 13:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x380db8…
10-25 13:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	39	38¢	$15	0xe1a120…
10-25 13:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xb3045b…
10-25 13:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	42	20¢	$8	0x85caef…
10-25 13:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x1e1356…
10-25 13:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	126	85¢	$108	0xcdd62f…
10-25 13:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	126	79¢	$100	0x651ed3…
10-25 12:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	108	99¢	$106	0x64f257…
10-25 12:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x3a0804…
10-25 12:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	32	81¢	$26	0x80852b…
10-25 12:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x09ce8e…
10-25 12:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x27f939…
10-25 12:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0x27cb4f…
10-25 12:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xdc6404…
10-25 12:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xf166d0…
10-25 12:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0xd22fc0…
10-25 12:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x63a3f8…
10-25 11:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	38¢	$4	0x21d2d1…
10-25 11:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd18ec5…
10-25 07:09:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0x6ba2dd…
10-25 07:09:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	14¢	$7	0x92443b…
10-25 07:08:14	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x1d461b…
10-24 16:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x20b7b4…
10-24 16:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x3ee351…
10-24 16:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x86ef9e…
10-24 16:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	43	53¢	$23	0x8344a4…
10-24 16:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x5a6c44…
10-24 16:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xedc0c4…
10-24 16:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	40	81¢	$32	0xb007eb…
10-24 16:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	82¢	$25	0xf99494…
10-24 16:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x555d92…
10-24 16:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	22	7¢	$2	0x267ec1…
10-24 16:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xd59857…
10-24 15:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x72e70c…
10-24 15:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xc94162…